Skip to main content
U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

Improved ELMv1-ECA simulations of zero-curtain periods and cold-season CH4 and CO2 emissions at Alaskan Arctic tundra sites

Journal Article · · The Cryosphere (Online)
 [1];  [2];  [2];  [3]
  1. Lawrence Berkeley National Lab. (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States); Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA (United States); University of Washington
  2. Lawrence Berkeley National Lab. (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States)
  3. Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA (United States)
Field measurements have shown that cold-season methane (CH4) and carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions contribute a substantial portion to the annual net carbon emissions in permafrost regions. However, most earth system land models do not accurately reproduce cold-season CH4 and CO2 emissions, especially over the shoulder (i.e., thawing and freezing) seasons. Here we use the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) land model version 1 (ELMv1-ECA) to tackle this challenge and fill the knowledge gap of how cold-season CH4 and CO2 emissions contribute to the annual totals at Alaska Arctic tundra sites. Specifically, we improved the ELMv1-ECA soil water phase-change scheme, environmental controls on microbial activity, and the methane module. Results demonstrate that both soil temperature and the duration of zero-curtain periods (i.e., the fall period when soil temperatures linger around 0°C) simulated by the updated ELMv1-ECA were greatly improved; e.g., the mean absolute error (MAE) in zero-curtain durations at 12 cm depth was reduced by 62 % on average. Furthermore, the MAEs of simulated cold-season carbon emissions at three tundra sites were improved by 72 % and 70 % on average for CH4 and CO2, respectively. Overall, CH4 emitted during the early cold season (September and October), which often includes most of the zero-curtain period in Arctic tundra, accounted for more than 50 % of the total emissions throughout the entire cold season (September to May) in the model, compared with around 49.4 % (43 %–58 %) in observations. From 1950 to 2017, both CO2 emissions during the zero-curtain period and during the entire cold season showed increasing trends, for example, of 0.17 and 0.36 gC m-2 yr-1 at Atqasuk. This study highlights the importance of zero-curtain periods in facilitating cold-season CH4 and CO2 emissions from tundra ecosystems.
Research Organization:
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States); Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA (United States); University of Washington, Seattle, WA (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER); USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER). Biological Systems Science Division
Contributing Organization:
High Performance Computing at Berkeley Lab.; National Energy Research Scientific Computing Center
Grant/Contract Number:
AC02-05CH11231; SC0019063
OSTI ID:
1838201
Alternate ID(s):
OSTI ID: 1838204
OSTI ID: 1958128
Journal Information:
The Cryosphere (Online), Journal Name: The Cryosphere (Online) Journal Issue: 12 Vol. 15; ISSN 1994-0424
Publisher:
Copernicus Publications, EGUCopyright Statement
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

References (94)

Annual patterns and budget of CO 2 flux in an Arctic tussock tundra ecosystem journal March 2014
Sensitivity of decomposition rates of soil organic matter with respect to simultaneous changes in temperature and moisture journal February 2015
Accurate and efficient prediction of fine-resolution hydrologic and carbon dynamic simulations from coarse-resolution models: EFFICIENT PREDICTION OF HYDROLOGIC AND CARBON DYNAMICS journal February 2016
The Temperature Sensitivity (Q10) of Soil Respiration: Controlling Factors and Spatial Prediction at Regional Scale Based on Environmental Soil Classes journal February 2018
Long-Term Drainage Reduces CO 2 Uptake and CH 4 Emissions in a Siberian Permafrost Ecosystem : Drainage impact on Arctic carbon cycle journal December 2017
Mathematical Modelling of Arctic Polygonal Tundra with Ecosys : 1. Microtopography Determines How Active Layer Depths Respond to Changes in Temperature and Precipitation : Active Layer Depth in Polygonal Tundra journal December 2017
Mathematical Modelling of Arctic Polygonal Tundra with Ecosys: 2. Microtopography Determines How CO 2 and CH 4 Exchange Responds to Changes in Temperature and Precipitation : GHG Exchange in Arctic Polygonal Tundra journal December 2017
Evaluation and Enhancement of Permafrost Modeling With the NASA Catchment Land Surface Model: PERMAFROST MODELING WITH THE NASA CLSM journal November 2017
Improved Stefan Equation Correction Factors to Accommodate Sensible Heat Storage during Soil Freezing or Thawing: Improved Stefan Equation Correction Factors for Sensible Heat Verso journal September 2015
Plant transport and methane production as controls on methane flux from arctic wet meadow tundra journal March 1995
Incorporating organic soil into a global climate model journal June 2007
The contribution of snow condition trends to future ground climate journal February 2009
River flow forecasting through conceptual models part I — A discussion of principles journal April 1970
The mathematical representation of freezing and thawing processes in variably-saturated, non-deformable soils journal October 2013
Strong temporal variability in methane fluxes from natural gas well pad soils journal August 2020
Quantifying CH4 concentration spikes above baseline and attributing CH4 sources to hydraulic fracturing activities by continuous monitoring at an off-site tower journal May 2020
Estimating influences of environmental drivers on soil heterotrophic respiration in the Athabasca River Basin, Canada journal February 2020
Microseepage in drylands: Flux and implications in the global atmospheric source/sink budget of methane journal July 2010
Responses of soil heterotrophic respiration to moisture availability: An exploration of processes and models journal April 2013
Intra-annual and interannual variability of ecosystem processes in shortgrass steppe journal August 2000
Improved modeling of permafrost dynamics in a GCM land-surface scheme: MODELING PERMAFROST DYNAMICS IN ALASKA BY CLM3 journal April 2007
Global pattern of temperature sensitivity of soil heterotrophic respiration (Q 10 ) and its implications for carbon-climate feedback : GLOBAL PATTERN OF TEMPERATURE SENSITIVITY journal May 2009
The Improved Freeze–Thaw Process of a Climate‐Vegetation Model: Calibration and Validation Tests in the Source Region of the Yellow River journal December 2018
Improved Simulation of Frozen‐Thawing Process in Land Surface Model (CLM4.5) journal December 2018
Temperature Response of Respiration Across the Heterogeneous Landscape of the Alaskan Arctic Tundra journal July 2018
Warming Effects of Spring Rainfall Increase Methane Emissions From Thawing Permafrost journal February 2019
Methane Efflux Measured by Eddy Covariance in Alaskan Upland Tundra Undergoing Permafrost Degradation journal September 2018
A Theory of Effective Microbial Substrate Affinity Parameters in Variably Saturated Soils and an Example Application to Aerobic Soil Heterotrophic Respiration journal April 2019
Representing Nitrogen, Phosphorus, and Carbon Interactions in the E3SM Land Model: Development and Global Benchmarking journal July 2019
The DOE E3SM Coupled Model Version 1: Overview and Evaluation at Standard Resolution journal July 2019
Sensitivity of Methane Emissions to Later Soil Freezing in Arctic Tundra Ecosystems journal August 2019
The DOE E3SM v1.1 Biogeochemistry Configuration: Description and Simulated Ecosystem‐Climate Responses to Historical Changes in Forcing journal September 2020
Mechanistic Modeling of Microtopographic Impacts on CO 2 and CH 4 Fluxes in an Alaskan Tundra Ecosystem Using the CLM‐Microbe Model journal December 2019
Assessing Impacts of Plant Stoichiometric Traits on Terrestrial Ecosystem Carbon Accumulation Using the E3SM Land Model journal April 2020
Modeled Microbial Dynamics Explain the Apparent Temperature Sensitivity of Wetland Methane Emissions journal November 2020
Winter and early spring CO 2 efflux from tundra communities of northern Alaska journal November 1998
Empirical equations for some soil hydraulic properties journal August 1978
The zero-curtain effect: Heat and mass transfer across an isothermal region in freezing soil journal July 1990
Acclimation of ecosystem CO2 exchange in the Alaskan Arctic in response to decadal climate warming journal August 2000
Temperature sensitivity of soil carbon decomposition and feedbacks to climate change journal March 2006
Net carbon dioxide losses of northern ecosystems in response to autumn warming journal January 2008
Weaker soil carbon–climate feedbacks resulting from microbial and abiotic interactions journal November 2014
Higher climatological temperature sensitivity of soil carbon in cold than warm climates journal October 2017
Geologic methane seeps along boundaries of Arctic permafrost thaw and melting glaciers journal May 2012
A moisture function of soil heterotrophic respiration that incorporates microscale processes journal July 2018
Substantial hysteresis in emergent temperature sensitivity of global wetland CH4 emissions journal April 2021
Large loss of CO2 in winter observed across the northern permafrost region journal October 2019
Global terrestrial carbon fluxes of 1999–2019 estimated by upscaling eddy covariance data with a random forest journal September 2020
Permafrost carbon-climate feedbacks accelerate global warming journal August 2011
Permafrost carbon−climate feedback is sensitive to deep soil carbon decomposability but not deep soil nitrogen dynamics journal March 2015
Cold season emissions dominate the Arctic tundra methane budget journal December 2015
Carbon dioxide sources from Alaska driven by increasing early winter respiration from Arctic tundra journal May 2017
Early and Late Winter CO 2 Efflux from Arctic Tundra in the Kuparuk River Watershed, Alaska, U.S.A. journal May 1999
Permafrost thaw and resulting soil moisture changes regulate projected high-latitude CO 2 and CH 4 emissions journal September 2015
Key indicators of Arctic climate change: 1971–2017 journal April 2019
Changes in precipitation and air temperature contribute comparably to permafrost degradation in a warmer climate journal January 2021
Warm-season net CO 2 uptake outweighs cold-season emissions over Alaskan North Slope tundra under current and RCP8.5 climate journal April 2021
Tundra ecosystems observed to be CO 2 sources due to differential amplification of the carbon cycle journal August 2013
Assessment of winter fluxes of CO 2 and CH 4 in boreal forest soils of central Alaska estimated by the profile method and the chamber method: a diagnosis of methane emission and implications for the regional carbon budget journal April 2007
Global Convergence in the Temperature Sensitivity of Respiration at Ecosystem Level journal July 2010
Comment on “Global Convergence in the Temperature Sensitivity of Respiration at Ecosystem Level” journal March 2011
FLUXNET-CH 4 Synthesis Activity: Objectives, Observations, and Future Directions journal July 2019
Analysis of Permafrost Thermal Dynamics and Response to Climate Change in the CMIP5 Earth System Models journal March 2013
Improvement of Soil Respiration Parameterization in a Dynamic Global Vegetation Model and Its Impact on the Simulation of Terrestrial Carbon Fluxes journal December 2018
Effects of Frozen Soil on Snowmelt Runoff and Soil Water Storage at a Continental Scale journal October 2006
The Partitioning of Evapotranspiration into Transpiration, Soil Evaporation, and Canopy Evaporation in a GCM: Impacts on Land–Atmosphere Interaction journal August 2007
Model Evaluation Guidelines for Systematic Quantification of Accuracy in Watershed Simulations journal January 2007
Network of Permafrost Observatories in North America and Russia dataset January 2016
Water Flow and Heat Transport in Frozen Soil: Numerical Solution and Freeze-Thaw Applications journal May 2004
Salt and Water Movement in Unsaturated Frozen Soil journal July 1972
An Analysis of Sensible and Latent Heat Flow in a Partially Frozen Unsaturated Soil journal May 1978
Steady-State Aerobic Microbial Activity as a Function of Soil Water Content journal January 1990
A Hybrid Reduced-Order Model of Fine-Resolution Hydrologic Simulations at a Polygonal Tundra Site journal January 2016
CARVE-ARCSS: Methane Loss From Arctic- Fluxes From the Alaskan North Slope, 2012-2014 collection January 2015
Arctic Vegetation Plots in Flux Tower Footprints, North Slope, Alaska, 2014 collection January 2017
ABoVE: CO2 and CH4 Fluxes and Meteorology at Flux Tower Sites, Alaska, 2015-2017 collection January 2018
The effect of vertically resolved soil biogeochemistry and alternate soil C and N models on C dynamics of CLM4 journal January 2013
A multi-scale comparison of modeled and observed seasonal methane emissions in northern wetlands journal January 2016
Interactions among temperature, moisture, and oxygen concentrations in controlling decomposition rates in a boreal forest soil journal January 2017
Hysteretic temperature sensitivity of wetland CH4 fluxes explained by substrate availability and microbial activity journal January 2020
Barriers to predicting changes in global terrestrial methane fluxes: analyses using CLM4Me, a methane biogeochemistry model integrated in CESM journal January 2011
Divergent predictions of carbon storage between two global land models: attribution of the causes through traceability analysis journal January 2016
Monthly gridded data product of northern wetland methane emissions based on upscaling eddy covariance observations journal January 2019
FLUXNET-CH4: a global, multi-ecosystem dataset and analysis of methane seasonality from freshwater wetlands journal January 2021
BAWLD-CH4: a comprehensive dataset of methane fluxes from boreal and arctic ecosystems journal January 2021
Impacts of microtopographic snow redistribution and lateral subsurface processes on hydrologic and thermal states in an Arctic polygonal ground ecosystem: a case study using ELM-3D v1.0 journal January 2018
Implementation and evaluation of a new methane model within a dynamic global vegetation model: LPJ-WHyMe v1.3.1 journal January 2010
The SURFEXv7.2 land and ocean surface platform for coupled or offline simulation of earth surface variables and fluxes journal January 2013
On the appropriate definition of soil profile configuration and initial conditions for land surface–hydrology models in cold regions journal January 2018
Process-level model evaluation: a snow and heat transfer metric journal January 2017
Permafrost variability over the Northern Hemisphere based on the MERRA-2 reanalysis journal January 2019
Large carbon cycle sensitivities to climate across a permafrost thaw gradient in subarctic Sweden journal January 2019
Simulation of permafrost and seasonal thaw depth in the JULES land surface scheme journal January 2011
CRU JRA v1.1: A forcings dataset of gridded land surface blend of Climatic Research Unit (CRU) and Japanese reanalysis (JRA) data; Jan.1901 - Dec.2017. dataset January 2019