Skip to main content
U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

Frequency–Magnitude Statistics of Laboratory Foreshocks Vary With Shear Velocity, Fault Slip Rate, and Shear Stress

Journal Article · · Journal of Geophysical Research. Solid Earth
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1029/2021jb022175· OSTI ID:1831052
 [1];  [2];  [3];  [4]
  1. Univ. of Texas Inst. for Geophysics, Austin, TX (United States); Pennsylvania State Univ
  2. Univ. of Texas Inst. for Geophysics, Austin, TX (United States)
  3. Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA (United States)
  4. La Sapienza Univ. di Roma (Italy)
Understanding the nucleation phase of earthquakes is key for advancing earthquake hazard assessment and improving earthquake early warning systems. However, little progress has been made in this area due to a poor understanding of nucleation processes and incomplete seismic and fault zone measurements. The ability to integrate measured fault zone properties with seismic data could significantly improve our understanding of how earthquakes begin and whether there are systematic variations in seismic properties preceding failure. In this work, we use high-resolution laboratory measurements of fault zone properties along with acoustic emission data to document temporal variations of foreshock properties. Our data show that foreshock size increases with shear stress, loading rate, and fault slip rate. We propose that the preseismic fault slip rate and fault zone thickness (i.e., porosity) work in concert to modulate foreshock properties.
Research Organization:
Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA (United States); Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
US National Science Foundtion; USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE), Renewable Power Office. Geothermal Technologies Office; USDOE Office of Science (SC), Basic Energy Sciences (BES). Chemical Sciences, Geosciences & Biosciences Division
Grant/Contract Number:
EE0008763; SC0020512
OSTI ID:
1831052
Alternate ID(s):
OSTI ID: 2539921
Journal Information:
Journal of Geophysical Research. Solid Earth, Journal Name: Journal of Geophysical Research. Solid Earth Journal Issue: 11 Vol. 126; ISSN 2169-9313
Publisher:
American Geophysical UnionCopyright Statement
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

References (122)

Physicochemical processes of frictional healing: Effects of water on stick-slip stress drop and friction of granular fault gouge: AFFECT OF WATER ON STICK-SLIP FRICTION journal May 2014
On the stress dependence of the earthquake b value journal March 2015
Preslip and cascade processes initiating laboratory stick slip journal August 2014
Short-term probabilistic earthquake risk assessment considering time-dependent b values : Time-DEPENDENT journal February 2016
Poromechanics of stick-slip frictional sliding and strength recovery on tectonic faults: POROMECHANICS OF STICK-SLIP journal October 2015
Acoustic emission signature of mechanical failure: Insights from ring-shear friction experiments on granular materials: AE Signature of Mechanical Failure journal March 2017
On the evolution of elastic properties during laboratory stick-slip experiments spanning the transition from slow slip to dynamic rupture: PRECURSORS TO THE SPECTRUM OF SLIP MODES journal December 2016
Slow and fast ruptures on a laboratory fault controlled by loading characteristics: SLOW AND FAST LABORATORY FAULT RUPTURES journal May 2017
Estimating Fault Friction From Seismic Signals in the Laboratory journal February 2018
Critical Evolution of Damage Toward System-Size Failure in Crystalline Rock journal February 2018
California foreshock sequences suggest aseismic triggering process: FORESHOCKS SUGGEST ASEISMIC PROCESS journal June 2013
Acoustic emissions document stress changes over many seismic cycles in stick-slip experiments: AEs DOCUMENT STRESS CHANGES journal May 2013
Microslips as precursors of large slip events in the stick-slip dynamics of sheared granular layers: A discrete element model analysis: 3-D DEM MODELING OF STICK SLIP journal August 2013
Foreshocks during the nucleation of stick-slip instability: FORESHOCKS DURING STICK-SLIP NUCLEATION journal June 2013
Time-Dependent Friction and the Mechanics of Stick-Slip book January 1978
The accommodation of large strains in the upper lithosphere of the earth and other solids by self-similar fault systems: the geometrical origin of b-Value journal September 1983
A Physical Scaling Relation Between the Size of an Earthquake and its Nucleation Zone Size journal December 2000
The accommodation of large strains in the upper lithosphere of the earth and other solids by self-similar fault systems: the geometrical origin of b-Value journal September 1983
A Comparison of Seismicity Characteristics and Fault Structure Between Stick–Slip Experiments and Nature journal November 2013
Seismic and Aseismic Preparatory Processes Before Large Stick–Slip Failure journal October 2020
Effect of Sliding Rate on the Activity of Acoustic Emission During Stable Sliding journal July 2003
Earthquake prediction journal January 1968
Earthquake source nucleation: A physical model for short-term precursors journal September 1992
Earthquake source nucleation: A physical model for short-term precursors journal September 1992
Far-field triggering of foreshocks near the nucleation zone of the 5 September 2012 (MW 7.6) Nicoya Peninsula, Costa Rica earthquake journal December 2015
Microscale characterization of rupture nucleation unravels precursors to faulting in rocks journal October 2017
Evolution of b-value during the seismic cycle: Insights from laboratory experiments on simulated faults journal January 2018
Modelling fluid flow in complex natural fault zones: Implications for natural and human-induced earthquake nucleation journal January 2020
Competition between preslip and deviatoric stress modulates precursors for laboratory earthquakes journal January 2021
Friction of simulated fault gouge for a wide range of velocities and normal stresses journal December 1999
Rate dependence of AE activity during frictional sliding: RATE DEPENDENCE OF AE ACTIVITY DURING FRICTIONAL SLIDING journal May 2002
Influence of grain characteristics on the friction of granular shear zones: GRAIN SHAPE INFLUENCE ON FRICTION journal October 2002
Effect of humidity on granular friction at room temperature: EFFECT OF HUMIDITY ON GRANULAR FRICTION journal November 2002
Brittle-ductile transition and associated seismicity: Experimental and numerical studies and relationship with the b value : BRITTLE-DUCTILE TRANSITION AND SEISMICITY journal January 2003
Strain rate and temperature dependence of Omori law scaling constants of AE data: Implications for earthquake foreshock-aftershock sequences journal January 2004
Influence of particle characteristics on granular friction journal January 2005
Premonitory acoustic emissions and stick-slip in natural and smooth-faulted Westerly granite journal January 2009
Shear-induced dilatancy of fluid-saturated faults: Experiment and theory journal January 2009
Micromechanics of asperity rupture during laboratory stick slip experiments: ASPERITY RUPTURE MICROMECHANICS journal June 2011
Decade‐scale decrease in b value prior to the M 9‐class 2011 Tohoku and 2004 Sumatra quakes journal October 2012
Generic dependence of the frequency-size distribution of earthquakes on depth and its relation to the strength profile of the crust: THE journal February 2013
Earthquake Catalog‐Based Machine Learning Identification of Laboratory Fault States and the Effects of Magnitude of Completeness journal December 2018
Foreshocks and Mainshock Nucleation of the 1999 M w 7.1 Hector Mine, California, Earthquake journal February 2019
Pervasive Foreshock Activity Across Southern California journal August 2019
Can Precursory Moment Release Scale With Earthquake Magnitude? A View From the Laboratory journal November 2019
On the Statistical Significance of Foreshock Sequences in Southern California journal February 2020
Elastic Impact Consequences for High‐Frequency Earthquake Ground Motion journal March 2020
A Consistent High‐Resolution Catalog of Induced Seismicity in Basel Based on Matched Filter Detection and Tailored Post‐Processing journal August 2019
Earthquake Initiation From Laboratory Observations and Implications for Foreshocks journal December 2019
Acoustic Energy Release During the Laboratory Seismic Cycle: Insights on Laboratory Earthquake Precursors and Prediction journal August 2020
Large Earthquakes Driven by Fluid Overpressure: The Apennines Normal Faulting System Case journal March 2020
Preseismic Fault Creep and Elastic Wave Amplitude Precursors Scale With Lab Earthquake Magnitude for the Continuum of Tectonic Failure Modes journal April 2020
The Spatiotemporal Evolution of Granular Microslip Precursors to Laboratory Earthquakes journal August 2020
B‐Positive: A Robust Estimator of Aftershock Magnitude Distribution in Transiently Incomplete Catalogs journal February 2021
Impact Versus Frictional Earthquake Models for High‐Frequency Radiation in Complex Fault Zones journal August 2021
High-frequency spectral falloff of earthquakes, fractal dimension of complex rupture, b value, and the scaling of strength on faults journal April 1991
Dilatancy, compaction, and slip instability of a fluid-infiltrated fault journal November 1995
Detailed observations of California foreshock sequences: Implications for the earthquake initiation process journal October 1996
Mapping the frequency-magnitude distribution in asperities: An improved technique to calculate recurrence times? journal July 1997
Depth dependence of earthquake frequency-magnitude distributions in California: Implications for rupture initiation journal July 1997
Microfracturing and the inelastic deformation of rock in compression journal February 1968
Time-dependent friction in rocks journal July 1972
Changes in seismic velocity and attenuation during deformation of granite journal November 1977
Frequency characteristics of acoustic emission in rocks under uniaxial compression and its relation to the fracturing process to failure journal January 1982
Frequency characteristics of acoustic emission in rocks under uniaxial compression and its relation to the fracturing process to failure journal January 1982
Frictional behavior and constitutive modeling of simulated fault gouge journal January 1990
Frictional behavior and constitutive modeling of simulated fault gouge journal January 1990
Earthquake Precursors journal March 1899
Quasi-static fault growth and shear fracture energy in granite journal March 1991
Role of pore fluids in the generation of seismic precursors to shear fracture journal September 1992
Scaling of the critical slip distance for seismic faulting with shear strain in fault zones journal April 1993
Occurrence patterns of foreshocks to large earthquakes in the western United States journal May 1996
Implications for prediction and hazard assessment from the 2004 Parkfield earthquake journal October 2005
Variations in earthquake-size distribution across different stress regimes journal September 2005
The long precursory phase of most large interplate earthquakes journal March 2013
Precursory changes in seismic velocity for the spectrum of earthquake failure modes journal August 2016
Were changes in stress state responsible for the 2019 Ridgecrest, California, earthquakes? journal June 2020
Nucleation of the 1999 Izmit earthquake by a triggered cascade of foreshocks journal June 2018
Similarity of fast and slow earthquakes illuminated by machine learning journal December 2018
Real-time discrimination of earthquake foreshocks and aftershocks journal October 2019
The debate on the prognostic value of earthquake foreshocks: A meta-analysis journal February 2014
Accelerated nucleation of the 2014 Iquique, Chile Mw 8.2 Earthquake journal April 2016
Stress drop–magnitude dependence of acoustic emissions during laboratory stick-slip journal November 2020
Size distribution of Parkfield's microearthquakes reflects changes in surface creep rate journal March 2013
Granular temperature measured experimentally in a shear flow by acoustic energy journal September 2017
Transition from Rolling to Jamming in Thin Granular Layers journal December 2008
Granular temperature measured experimentally in a shear flow by acoustic energy journal September 2017
Transition from Rolling to Jamming in Thin Granular Layers journal December 2008
Earthquake prediction: a new physical basis journal January 1984
A reinterpretation of the precursory seismic b-value anomaly from fracture mechanics journal January 1989
From precursors to prediction: a few recent cases from Greece journal December 1997
Earthquake prediction: a new physical basis journal January 1984
A reinterpretation of the precursory seismic b-value anomaly from fracture mechanics journal January 1989
From precursors to prediction: a few recent cases from Greece journal December 1997
Slow Earthquakes, Preseismic Velocity Changes, and the Origin of Slow Frictional Stick-Slip journal August 2013
Recognizing Foreshocks from the 1 April 2014 Chile Earthquake journal May 2014
Intense foreshocks and a slow slip event preceded the 2014 Iquique Mw 8.1 earthquake journal July 2014
Earthquake Prediction: Variation of Seismic Velocities before the San Francisco Earthquake journal May 1973
Earthquake Prediction: A Physical Basis journal August 1973
Seismic Evidence for an Earthquake Nucleation Phase journal May 1995
Searching for hidden earthquakes in Southern California journal April 2019
What allows seismic events to grow big?: Insights from b-value and fault roughness analysis in laboratory stick-slip experiments journal July 2017
What allows seismic events to grow big?: Insights from b-value and fault roughness analysis in laboratory stick-slip experiments journal July 2017
Laboratory-Derived Friction laws and Their Application to Seismic Faulting journal May 1998
Minimum Magnitude of Completeness in Earthquake Catalogs: Examples from Alaska, the Western United States, and Japan journal August 2000
Assessing the Quality of Earthquake Catalogues: Estimating the Magnitude of Completeness and Its Uncertainty journal April 2005
Rate Dependence of Acoustic Emissions Generated during Shear of Simulated Fault Gouge journal December 2007
Earthquake Arrival Association with Backprojection and Graph Theory journal October 2019
Characterizing Acoustic Signals and Searching for Precursors during the Laboratory Seismic Cycle Using Unsupervised Machine Learning journal March 2019
Pseudoprospective Evaluation of the Foreshock Traffic-Light System in Ridgecrest and Implications for Aftershock Hazard Assessment journal July 2020
New Opportunities to Study Earthquake Precursors journal July 2020
Inconsistencies and Lurking Pitfalls in the Magnitude–Frequency Distribution of High-Resolution Earthquake Catalogs journal December 2020
Frequency of earthquakes in California* journal October 1944
The frequency-magnitude relation of microfracturing in rock and its relation to earthquakes journal February 1968
Change in b -values during movement on cut surfaces in granite journal April 1978
Testing a model of earthquake nucleation journal December 1995
Frequency of earthquakes in California* journal October 1944
The frequency-magnitude relation of microfracturing in rock and its relation to earthquakes journal February 1968
Change in b -values during movement on cut surfaces in granite journal April 1978
Testing a model of earthquake nucleation journal December 1995
Critical Size of the Nucleation Zone of Earthquake Rupture Inferred from Immediate Foreshock Activity. journal January 1993
Strong foreshock signal preceding the L'Aquila (Italy) earthquake (Mw 6.3) of 6 April 2009 journal January 2010

Similar Records

Foreshock properties illuminate nucleation processes of slow and fast laboratory earthquakes
Journal Article · Wed Jun 28 20:00:00 EDT 2023 · Nature Communications · OSTI ID:2418669