Regional Shelter Analysis – External Gamma Radiation Exposure Methodology
- Lawrence Livermore National Lab. (LLNL), Livermore, CA (United States)
During normal operations, buildings can protect their occupants from outdoor hazards, including nuclear fallout and other external gamma radiation hazards. Purposeful sheltering can increase this protection. The physics of building protection against external gamma radiation is relatively well understood and we can characterize the protection afforded by individual buildings. However, an operationally efficient, regional-scale methodology to account for building protection effects has not previously been available. Such a method is necessary because (a) the overwhelming majority of the US population is indoors at any given time and (b) a regional-level building protection methodology could better estimate populations truly at risk in emergencies, support improved decision-making (shelter vs. evacuation decisions), and help guide resources towards those most at risk. The Regional Shelter Analysis (RSA) methodology provides a comprehensive, yet operationally efficient method for population-based risk analyses. Specifically, it accounts for (a) building protection distributions (within and among different buildings) and (b) population postures (how people are distributed within and outside of buildings). The RSA method could support a common operating picture by providing user specific results that have the resolution appropriate for individual user’s needs while still being consistent with the information being provided to the other users. The method employs existing building and population databases and is compatible with most modern exposure and injury assessment tools. This report presents the RSA methodology and discusses general operational considerations, with a focus on external gamma radiation exposures. To place this work in the context of prior efforts and current initiatives, a focused literature review is provided that identifies the relevant literature, scientific findings, and datasets from a variety of scientific fields. Other reports in this series will discuss (a) the inhalation exposure pathway and (b) specific RSA implementations.
- Research Organization:
- Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL), Livermore, CA (United States)
- Sponsoring Organization:
- USDOE National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA)
- DOE Contract Number:
- AC52-07NA27344
- OSTI ID:
- 1825367
- Report Number(s):
- LLNL-TR-788418; 963115
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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