Simulated Changes in Tropical Cyclone Size, Accumulated Cyclone Energy and Power Dissipation Index in a Warmer Climate

Wehner, Michael

doi:10.3390/oceans2040039

Simulated Changes in Tropical Cyclone Size, Accumulated Cyclone Energy and Power Dissipation Index in a Warmer Climate

Journal Article · Mon Oct 11 00:00:00 EDT 2021 · Oceans

DOI:https://doi.org/10.3390/oceans2040039· OSTI ID:1825337

Detection, attribution and projection of changes in tropical cyclone intensity statistics are made difficult from the potentially decreasing overall storm frequency combined with increases in the peak winds of the most intense storms as the climate warms. Multi-decadal simulations of stabilized climate scenarios from a high-resolution tropical cyclone permitting atmospheric general circulation model are used to examine simulated global changes from warmer temperatures, if any, in estimates of tropical cyclone size, accumulated cyclonic energy and power dissipation index. Changes in these metrics are found to be complicated functions of storm categorization and global averages of them are unlikely to easily reveal the impact of climate change on future tropical cyclone intensity statistics.

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Sponsoring Organization:: USDOE

OSTI ID:: 1825337

Journal Information:: Oceans, Journal Name: Oceans Journal Issue: 4 Vol. 2; ISSN 2673-1924; ISSN OBSCAL

Publisher:: MDPI AGCopyright Statement

Country of Publication:: Country unknown/Code not available

Language:: English

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