Simulated wind speed and initial conditions over the WFIP2 region: Cold-front (D01)
- Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
The purpose of this work is to assess the sensitivity of the forecast for turbine height wind speed to initial condition (IC) uncertainties over the Columbia River Gorge and Columbia River Basin for two typical weather phenomena: a local thermal gradient induced by a marine air intrusion and passage of a cold front. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model data assimilation system (WRFDA) was used to generate ensemble ICs from the North American Regional Analysis (NARR) for the WRF model initialization. The simulated turbine-height wind speeds were categorized into four types using the self-organizing map (SOM) technique. This work advances understanding of IC uncertainties impacts on wind speed forecasts and locates the high-impact regions.
- Research Organization:
- Atmosphere to Electrons (A2e) Data Archive and Portal, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory; PNNL
- Sponsoring Organization:
- USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE), Wind and Water Technologies Office (EE-4W)
- OSTI ID:
- 1819817
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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