Assessing Tropical Cyclones’ Contribution to Precipitation over the Eastern United States and Sensitivity to the Variable-Resolution Domain Extent

Stansfield, Alyssa M.; Reed, Kevin A.; Zarzycki, Colin M.; Ullrich, Paul A.; Chavas, Daniel R.

doi:10.1175/jhm-d-19-0240.1

Assessing Tropical Cyclones’ Contribution to Precipitation over the Eastern United States and Sensitivity to the Variable-Resolution Domain Extent

Journal Article · Wed Jul 01 00:00:00 EDT 2020 · Journal of Hydrometeorology

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1175/jhm-d-19-0240.1· OSTI ID:1803075

Stansfield, Alyssa M. ^[1]; Reed, Kevin A. ^[2]; Zarzycki, Colin M. ^[3]; Ullrich, Paul A. ^[4]; Chavas, Daniel R. ^[5]

Stony Brook Univ., NY (United States); Stony Brook University
Stony Brook Univ., NY (United States)
Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA (United States)
Univ. of California, Davis, CA (United States)
Purdue Univ., West Lafayette, IN (United States)

Tropical cyclones (TCs) can subject an area to heavy precipitation for many hours, or even days, worsening the risk of flooding, which creates dangerous conditions for residents of the U.S. East and Gulf Coasts. To study the representation of TC-related precipitation over the eastern United States in current-generation global climate models, a novel analysis methodology is developed to track TCs and extract their associated precipitation using an estimate of their dynamical outer size. This methodology is applied to three variable-resolution (VR) configurations of the Community Atmosphere Model, version 5 (CAM5), with high-resolution domains over the North Atlantic and one low-resolution conventional configuration, as well as to a combination of reanalysis and observational precipitation data. Metrics and diagnostics such as TC counts, intensities, outer storm sizes, and annual mean total and extreme precipitation are compared between the CAM5 simulations and reanalysis/observations. The high-resolution VR configurations outperform the global low-resolution configuration for all variables in the North Atlantic. Realistic TC intensities are produced by the VR configurations. The total North Atlantic TC counts are lower than observations but better than reanalysis.

View Accepted Manuscript (DOE)

Research Organization:: Univ. of California, Davis, CA (United States)

Sponsoring Organization:: USDOE Office of Science (SC)

Grant/Contract Number:: SC0016605

OSTI ID:: 1803075

Journal Information:: Journal of Hydrometeorology, Journal Name: Journal of Hydrometeorology Journal Issue: 7 Vol. 21; ISSN 1525-755X

Publisher:: American Meteorological SocietyCopyright Statement

Country of Publication:: United States

Language:: English

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Assessing Tropical Cyclones’ Contribution to Precipitation over the Eastern United States and Sensitivity to the Variable-Resolution Domain Extent

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