Metamodeling Time-Temperature Creep Parameters

Haque, Mohammad Shafinul; Stewart, Calvin M.

doi:10.1115/1.4045887

Title: Metamodeling Time-Temperature Creep Parameters

Journal Article · Wed Mar 18 00:00:00 EDT 2020 · Journal of Pressure Vessel Technology

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1115/1.4045887· OSTI ID:1799872

Haque, Mohammad Shafinul ^[1]; Stewart, Calvin M. ^[2]

DLH Department of Engineering, Angelo State University, 2601 West Avenue N, San Angelo, TX 76909
Department of Mechanical Engineering, The University of Texas at El Paso, 500 West University Avenue, El Paso, TX 79902

Abstract There exist many time-temperature parameter (TTP) models for creep rupture prediction of components including the Larson–Miller (LM), Manson–Haferd (MH), Manson–Brown (MB), Orr–Sherby–Dorn (OSD), Manson–Succop (MS), Graham–Walles (GW), Chitty–Duval (CD), Goldhoff–Sherby (GS) models. It remains a challenge to determine which model is “best”, capable of accurate interpolation and physically realistic extrapolation of creep rupture data for a given material. In this study, metamodeling is applied to create a unified TTP metamodel that combines and regresses into twelve TTP models (eight existing and four newly derived). An analysis of the mathematical problems that exist in TTP models is provided. A matlab code is written that can: (1) calibrate the material constants of any of the twelve TTP models (using the metamodel); (2) determine the most suitable stress-parameter function; (3) and report the normalized mean square error (NMSE) of rupture predictions for a given material database. Using the metamodel, and code, a design engineer can make an intelligent selection of the “best” TTP model for creep resistant design. This process is demonstrated using four isotherms of alloy P91 creep rupture data. To assess the influence of material, further validation is performed on alloys Hastelloy X, 304SS, and 316SS. It is determined that the “best” model is dependent on material type and the quality and quantity of available data.

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Research Organization:: Univ. of Texas at El Paso, TX (United States)

Sponsoring Organization:: USDOE Office of Fossil Energy (FE)

DOE Contract Number:: FE0027581

OSTI ID:: 1799872

Journal Information:: Journal of Pressure Vessel Technology, Vol. 142, Issue 3; ISSN 0094-9930

Publisher:: ASME

Country of Publication:: United States

Language:: English

References (19)

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