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Cost Projections for Utility-Scale Battery Storage: 2021 Update

Technical Report ·
DOI:https://doi.org/10.2172/1786976· OSTI ID:1786976

In this work we describe the development of cost and performance projections for utility-scale lithium-ion battery systems, with a focus on 4-hour duration systems. The projections are developed from an analysis of recent publications that consider utility-scale storage costs. The suite of publications demonstrates varied cost reductions for battery storage over time. Figure ES-1 shows the low, mid, and high cost projections developed in this work (on a normalized basis) relative to the published values. Figure ES-2 shows the overall capital cost for a 4-hour battery system based on those projections, with storage costs of $$\$$$$143/kWh, $$\$$$$198/kWh, and $$\$$$$248/kWh in 2030 and $$\$$$$87/kWh, $$\$$$$149/kWh, and $$\$$$$248/kWh in 2050. Battery variable operations and maintenance costs, lifetimes, and efficiencies are also discussed, with recommended values selected based on the publications surveyed.

Research Organization:
National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), Golden, CO (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE), Renewable Power Office. Solar Energy Technologies Office; USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE), Renewable Power Office. Water Power Technologies Office; USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE), Renewable Power Office. Wind Energy Technologies Office; USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE), Strategic Programs Office
DOE Contract Number:
AC36-08GO28308
OSTI ID:
1786976
Report Number(s):
NREL/TP--6A20-79236; MainId:33462; UUID:ab181061-b3dc-4e09-bf0c-b6b78da5df3f; MainAdminID:24545
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

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