We present a fully Bayesian approach for the inference of radial profiles of impurity transport coefficients and compare its results to neoclassical, gyrofluid and gyrokinetic modeling. Using nested sampling, the Bayesian Impurity Transport InferencE (BITE) framework can handle complex parameter spaces with multiple possible solutions, offering great advantages in interpretative power and reliability with respect to previously demonstrated methods. BITE employs a forward model based on the pySTRAHL package, built on the success of the well-known STRAHL code [Dux, IPP Report, 2004], to simulate impurity transport in magnetically-confined plasmas. In this paper, we focus on calcium (Ca, Z=20) Laser Blow-Off injections into Alcator C-Mod plasmas. Multiple Ca atomic lines are diagnosed via high-resolution X-ray Imaging Crystal Spectroscopy and Vacuum Ultra-Violet measurements. We analyze a sawtoothing I-mode discharge for which neoclassical and turbulent (quasilinear and nonlinear) predictions are also obtained. Here, we find good agreement in diffusion across the entire radial extent, while turbulent convection and density profile peaking are estimated to be larger in experiment than suggested by theory. Efforts and challenges associated with the inference of experimental pedestal impurity transport are discussed.
Sciortino, F., et al. "Inference of experimental radial impurity transport on Alcator C-Mod: Bayesian parameter estimation and model selection." Nuclear Fusion, vol. 60, no. 12, Sep. 2020. https://doi.org/10.1088/1741-4326/abae85
Sciortino, F., Howard, N. T., Marmar, E. S., Odstrcil, T., Cao, N. M., Dux, R., Hubbard, A. E., Hughes, J. W., Irby, J. H., Marzouk, Y. M., Milanese, L. M., Reinke, M. L., Rice, J. E., & Rodriguez-Fernandez, P. (2020). Inference of experimental radial impurity transport on Alcator C-Mod: Bayesian parameter estimation and model selection. Nuclear Fusion, 60(12). https://doi.org/10.1088/1741-4326/abae85
Sciortino, F., Howard, N. T., Marmar, E. S., et al., "Inference of experimental radial impurity transport on Alcator C-Mod: Bayesian parameter estimation and model selection," Nuclear Fusion 60, no. 12 (2020), https://doi.org/10.1088/1741-4326/abae85
@article{osti_1785642,
author = {Sciortino, F. and Howard, N. T. and Marmar, E. S. and Odstrcil, T. and Cao, N. M. and Dux, R. and Hubbard, A. E. and Hughes, J. W. and Irby, J. H. and Marzouk, Y. M. and others},
title = {Inference of experimental radial impurity transport on Alcator C-Mod: Bayesian parameter estimation and model selection},
annote = {We present a fully Bayesian approach for the inference of radial profiles of impurity transport coefficients and compare its results to neoclassical, gyrofluid and gyrokinetic modeling. Using nested sampling, the Bayesian Impurity Transport InferencE (BITE) framework can handle complex parameter spaces with multiple possible solutions, offering great advantages in interpretative power and reliability with respect to previously demonstrated methods. BITE employs a forward model based on the pySTRAHL package, built on the success of the well-known STRAHL code [Dux, IPP Report, 2004], to simulate impurity transport in magnetically-confined plasmas. In this paper, we focus on calcium (Ca, Z=20) Laser Blow-Off injections into Alcator C-Mod plasmas. Multiple Ca atomic lines are diagnosed via high-resolution X-ray Imaging Crystal Spectroscopy and Vacuum Ultra-Violet measurements. We analyze a sawtoothing I-mode discharge for which neoclassical and turbulent (quasilinear and nonlinear) predictions are also obtained. Here, we find good agreement in diffusion across the entire radial extent, while turbulent convection and density profile peaking are estimated to be larger in experiment than suggested by theory. Efforts and challenges associated with the inference of experimental pedestal impurity transport are discussed.},
doi = {10.1088/1741-4326/abae85},
url = {https://www.osti.gov/biblio/1785642},
journal = {Nuclear Fusion},
issn = {ISSN 0029-5515},
number = {12},
volume = {60},
place = {United States},
publisher = {IOP Science},
year = {2020},
month = {09}}
BAYESIAN INFERENCE AND MAXIMUM ENTROPY METHODS IN SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING: 24th International Workshop on Bayesian Inference and Maximum Entropy Methods in Science and Engineering, AIP Conference Proceedingshttps://doi.org/10.1063/1.1835238
7TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR DATA AND THEIR APPLICATIONS - ICAMDATA-2010, AIP Conference Proceedingshttps://doi.org/10.1063/1.3585817