Concurrent Changes in Extreme Hydroclimate Events in the Colorado River Basin

Bennett, Katrina E.; Talsma, Carl; Boero, Riccardo

doi:10.3390/w13070978

Concurrent Changes in Extreme Hydroclimate Events in the Colorado River Basin

Journal Article · Thu Apr 01 00:00:00 EDT 2021 · Water (Basel)

DOI:https://doi.org/10.3390/w13070978· OSTI ID:1773565

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Extreme events resulting in catastrophic damage have more than doubled in the last five years, costing hundreds of lives and thousands of homes, and heavily undermining regional economic stability. At present, most of these hydroclimatic extreme events are documented by the media as individual events; however, in scientific terms, many are better understood as concurrent events—concurrent extremes of both temperature and precipitation (e.g., drought, floods). This paper considers concurrent changes in hydroclimate extremes, including heatwaves, drought, flooding, and low flows, in six historical-to-future (1970–1999, 2070–2099) Earth System Model (ESM) climate scenarios for the Colorado River basin. Results indicate that temperature-driven Impacts (heatwaves, drought) have the strongest responses while precipitation-driven Impacts have weaker responses. All Impacts exhibit an increase in magnitude from synoptic to annual time scales, with heatwaves increasing in strength about three times at the annual time scale versus the synoptic, while low flows only increase slightly. Critical watersheds in the Colorado were identified, highlighting the Blue River basin, Uncompahgre, East Taylor, Salt/Verde watersheds, locations of important water infrastructures, water resources, and hydrological research. Our results indicate that concurrent extreme hydroclimate events are projected to increase in the future and intensify within critical regions of the Colorado River basin. Considering extreme hydroclimate events concurrently is an important step towards linking economic and social effects of these events and their associated instabilities on a regional scale.

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Research Organization:: Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL), Los Alamos, NM (United States)

Sponsoring Organization:: USDOE; USDOE Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) Program

Grant/Contract Number:: 89233218CNA000001

OSTI ID:: 1773565

Alternate ID(s):: OSTI ID: 1804352

Report Number(s):: LA-UR--20-27647; PII: w13070978

Journal Information:: Water (Basel), Journal Name: Water (Basel) Journal Issue: 7 Vol. 13; ISSN WATEGH; ISSN 2073-4441

Publisher:: MDPI AGCopyright Statement

Country of Publication:: Switzerland

Language:: English

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Concurrent Changes in Extreme Hydroclimate Events in the Colorado River Basin

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