Quasi-stationary Planetary Scale Waves in Modern Climate Models
- Lawrence Livermore National Lab. (LLNL), Livermore, CA (United States)
- Massachusetts Inst. of Technology (MIT), Cambridge, MA (United States)
- National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO (United States)
We evaluate climate model simulations of geopotential height at the largest space-time scales, considering the first Fourier components (in longitude) of long-term climatological means. Quasi-stationary planetary scale waves emerge from this analysis. Variations of these waves are important components of climate change, for example associated with regional drought. Systematic examination of their long-term climatology provides context for understanding their evolution in time. We compare four reanalysis datasets with “historical runs” from the latest version of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) and find general agreement, but we also identify model errors outside the range of both observational uncertainty and the uncertainty implied by interannual variability. Errors in wave phase have possible implications for climate model projections of regional climate and of shifting weather patterns. One model in the set we examine, originally created nearly 20 years before the others, exhibits noticeably greater errors.
- Research Organization:
- Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL), Livermore, CA (United States)
- Sponsoring Organization:
- USDOE National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA)
- DOE Contract Number:
- AC52-07NA27344
- OSTI ID:
- 1716593
- Report Number(s):
- LLNL-TR-816668; 1026199
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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