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Title: Inferring the Joint Demographic History of Multiple Populations from Multidimensional SNP Frequency Data

Journal Article · · PLoS Genetics
 [1];  [2];  [3];  [3]
  1. Los Alamos National Lab. (LANL), Los Alamos, NM (United States). Center for Nonlinear Studies. Theoretical Biology and Biophysics
  2. Univ. of Chicago, IL (United States). Human Genetics
  3. Cornell Univ., Ithaca, NY (United States). Biological Statistics and Computational Biology

Demographic models built from genetic data play important roles in illuminating prehistorical events and serving as null models in genome scans for selection. We introduce an inference method based on the joint frequency spectrum of genetic variants within and between populations. For candidate models we numerically compute the expected spectrum using a diffusion approximation to the one-locus, two-allele Wright-Fisher process, involving up to three simultaneous populations. Our approach is a composite likelihood scheme, since linkage between neutral loci alters the variance but not the expectation of the frequency spectrum. We thus use bootstraps incorporating linkage to estimate uncertainties for parameters and significance values for hypothesis tests. Our method can also incorporate selection on single sites, predicting the joint distribution of selected alleles among populations experiencing a bevy of evolutionary forces, including expansions, contractions, migrations, and admixture. We model human expansion out of Africa and the settlement of the New World, using 5 Mb of noncoding DNA resequenced in 68 individuals from 4 populations (YRI, CHB, CEU, and MXL) by the Environmental Genome Project. We infer divergence between West African and Eurasian populations 140 thousand years ago (95% confidence interval: 40–270 kya). This is earlier than other genetic studies, in part because we incorporate migration. We estimate the European (CEU) and East Asian (CHB) divergence time to be 23 kya (95% c.i.: 17–43 kya), long after archeological evidence places modern humans in Europe. Finally, we estimate divergence between East Asians (CHB) and Mexican-Americans (MXL) of 22 kya (95% c.i.: 16.3–26.9 kya), and our analysis yields no evidence for subsequent migration. Furthermore, combining our demographic model with a previously estimated distribution of selective effects among newly arising amino acid mutations accurately predicts the frequency spectrum of nonsynonymous variants across three continental populations (YRI, CHB, CEU).

Research Organization:
Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL), Los Alamos, NM (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER). Biological Systems Science Division
Grant/Contract Number:
AC52-06NA25396
OSTI ID:
1627278
Journal Information:
PLoS Genetics, Vol. 5, Issue 10; ISSN 1553-7404
Publisher:
Public Library of ScienceCopyright Statement
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

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The divergence history of European blue mussel species reconstructed from Approximate Bayesian Computation: the effects of sequencing techniques and sampling strategies. text January 2018
Extracting population genetics information from a diploid genome sequence journal April 2014
Ultraconserved elements (UCEs) illuminate the population genomics of a recent, high-latitude avian speciation event posted_content July 2018
Evolutionary networks from RAD seq loci point to hybrid origins of Medicago carstiensis and Medicago cretacea journal September 2019
Genomic analyses provide insights into the history of tomato breeding journal October 2014
Modeling the Multiple Facets of Speciation-with-Gene-Flow toward Inferring the Divergence History of Lake Whitefish Species Pairs (Coregonus clupeaformis) journal August 2017
Genomic Basis of Convergent Island Phenotypes in Boa Constrictors journal October 2019
GADMA: Genetic algorithm for inferring demographic history of multiple populations from allele frequency spectrum data journal February 2020
Genomic Divergence during Speciation Driven by Adaptation to Altitude journal September 2013
Keeping It Local: Evidence for Positive Selection in Swedish Arabidopsis thaliana journal August 2014
Population Genomics Reveals Low Genetic Diversity and Adaptation to Hypoxia in Snub-Nosed Monkeys journal August 2016
PoMo: An Allele Frequency-Based Approach for Species Tree Estimation journal July 2015
Genomic islands of divergence or opportunities for introgression? journal March 2017
The Time and Place of European Admixture in Ashkenazi Jewish History posted_content January 2016
Robust estimation of recent effective population size from number of independent origins in soft sweeps posted_content January 2018
Assessing connectivity despite high diversity in island populations of a malaria mosquito journal September 2019
Population‐level inferences from environmental DNA—Current status and future perspectives journal September 2019
On the maintenance of genetic variation and adaptation to environmental change: considerations from population genomics in fishes: genetic variation and adaptive potential in fishes journal September 2016
Revisiting comparisons of genetic diversity in stable and declining species: assessing genome-wide polymorphism in North American bumble bees using RAD sequencing journal January 2014
Combined next-generation sequencing and morphology reveal fine-scale speciation in Crocodile Skinks (Squamata: Scincidae: Tribolonotus ) journal January 2015
Can the experimental evolution programme help us elucidate the genetic basis of adaptation in nature? journal October 2015
Evolutionary processes and cellular functions underlying divergence in Alexandrium minutum journal September 2016
Incipient speciation driven by hypertrophied lips in Midas cichlid fishes? journal March 2017
Whole-genome sequencing approaches for conservation biology: Advantages, limitations and practical recommendations journal September 2017
Long‐term in situ persistence of biodiversity in tropical sky islands revealed by landscape genomics journal January 2018
The role of hybridization during ecological divergence of southwestern white pine ( Pinus strobiformis ) and limber pine ( P. flexilis ) journal March 2018
Genomic evidence for asymmetric introgression by sexual selection in the common wall lizard journal October 2018
Novel ecological and climatic conditions drive rapid adaptation in invasive Florida Burmese pythons journal October 2018
Pleistocene glacial cycles drive isolation, gene flow and speciation in the high-elevation Andes journal June 2018
Adaptive Evolution of Multiple Traits Through Multiple Mutations at a Single Gene journal March 2013
Reconstructing Native American Migrations from Whole-Genome and Whole-Exome Data journal December 2013
An ancestral haplotype of the human PERIOD2 gene associates with reduced sensitivity to light-induced melatonin suppression journal June 2017
Estimating Allele Age and Selection Coefficient from Time-Serial Data journal October 2012
Independent Molecular Basis of Convergent Highland Adaptation in Maize journal June 2015
The Effect of an Extreme and Prolonged Population Bottleneck on Patterns of Deleterious Variation: Insights from the Greenlandic Inuit journal February 2017
Evolutionary genomics of epidemic visceral leishmaniasis in the Indian subcontinent text January 2016
The divergence history of European blue mussel species reconstructed from Approximate Bayesian Computation: the effects of sequencing techniques and sampling strategies journal January 2018
Assessing models of speciation under different biogeographic scenarios; an empirical study using multi‐locus and RNA ‐seq analyses journal January 2016
Do different rates of gene flow underlie variation in phenotypic and phenological clines in a montane grasshopper community? journal December 2019
Analysis of 6,515 exomes reveals the recent origin of most human protein-coding variants journal November 2012
Yak whole-genome resequencing reveals domestication signatures and prehistoric population expansions journal December 2015
Estimating the mutation load in human genomes journal May 2015
Phylogeographic model selection leads to insight into the evolutionary history of four-eyed frogs journal July 2016
Narrow thermal tolerance and low dispersal drive higher speciation in tropical mountains journal November 2018
Using bioinformatics to predict the functional impact of SNVs journal December 2010
Genome-Wide SNP Analysis Reveals Population Structure and Demographic History of the Ryukyu Islanders in the Southern Part of the Japanese Archipelago journal August 2014
Whole-Genome Sequencing of Native Sheep Provides Insights into Rapid Adaptations to Extreme Environments journal July 2016
Phenotypic and Genetic Structure Support Gene Flow Generating Gene Tree Discordances in an Amazonian Floodplain Endemic Species journal January 2018
Inferring the Demographic History of Inbred Species From Genome-Wide SNP Frequency Data posted_content December 2019
Geometry of the sample frequency spectrum and the perils of demographic inference posted_content December 2017
Genome-wide sampling suggests island divergence accompanied by cryptic epigenetic plasticity in Canada lynx posted_content January 2018
genomalicious : serving up a smorgasbord of R functions for population genomic analyses posted_content January 2019
The consequences of not accounting for background selection in demographic inference journal October 2015
Inferring the age of a fixed beneficial allele journal December 2015
Detecting hybridization using ancient DNA journal March 2016
Genomic and phenomic analysis of island ant community assembly journal January 2020
Speciation history of European ( Anguilla anguilla ) and American eel ( A. rostrata ), analysed using genomic data journal January 2020
Phylogenomics of the genus Populus reveals extensive interspecific gene flow and balancing selection journal October 2019
Adaptive archaic introgression of copy number variants and the discovery of previously unknown human genes journal October 2019
Genetic diversity in India and the inference of Eurasian population expansion journal November 2010
The functional spectrum of low-frequency coding variation journal January 2011
A genome-wide scan for signatures of directional selection in domesticated pigs journal February 2015
Independent introductions and admixtures have contributed to adaptation of European maize and its American counterparts journal March 2017
Evolutionary history of Tibetans inferred from whole-genome sequencing journal April 2017
Human demographic history has amplified the effects of background selection across the genome journal June 2018
Inference of Historical Population-Size Changes with Allele-Frequency Data journal January 2020
Diabolical survival in Death Valley: recent pupfish colonization, gene flow and genetic assimilation in the smallest species range on earth text January 2016
Diverse demographic histories in a guild of hymenopteran parasitoids posted_content May 2021
Fine-grained habitat-associated genetic connectivity in an admixed population of mussels in the small isolated Kerguelen Islands journal January 2021
Genomic identification of founding haplotypes reveals the history of the selfing species Capsella rubella preprint January 2013
WFABC: a Wright-Fisher ABC-based approach for inferring effective population sizes and selection coefficients from time-sampled data text January 2014
Open source libraries and frameworks for biological data visualisation: A guide for developers journal February 2015
Early Austronesians: Into and Out Of Taiwan journal March 2014
Biased Gene Conversion Skews Allele Frequencies in Human Populations, Increasing the Disease Burden of Recessive Alleles journal October 2014
Ice-Age Climate Adaptations Trap the Alpine Marmot in a State of Low Genetic Diversity journal May 2019
The impact of recent population history on the deleterious mutation load in humans and close evolutionary relatives journal December 2016
Population structure and coalescence in pedigrees: Comparisons to the structured coalescent and a framework for inference journal June 2017
Recurrent bottlenecks in the malaria life cycle obscure signals of positive selection journal February 2014
Deep resequencing reveals excess rare recent variants consistent with explosive population growth journal November 2010
Fast diffusion of domesticated maize to temperate zones journal May 2017
Inferring the Dynamics of Effective Population Size Using Autosomal Genomes journal February 2016
MSMS: a coalescent simulation program including recombination, demographic structure and selection at a single locus journal June 2010
On Characterizing Adaptive Events Unique to Modern Humans journal January 2011
Ancient and Recent Selective Pressures Shaped Genetic Diversity at AIM2-Like Nucleic Acid Sensors journal March 2014
Partner-Drug Resistance and Population Substructuring of Artemisinin-Resistant Plasmodium falciparum in Cambodia journal June 2017
Impacts of Recurrent Hitchhiking on Divergence and Demographic Inference in Drosophila journal July 2018
Concordant changes in gene expression and nucleotides underlie independent adaptation to hydrogen-sulfide-rich environments journal September 2018
Crohn's Disease Risk Alleles on the NOD2 Locus Have Been Maintained by Natural Selection on Standing Variation journal January 2012
Genomic Analyses of Three Malaria Vectors Reveals Extensive Shared Polymorphism but Contrasting Population Histories journal January 2014
Genomic Evidence for Complex Domestication History of the Cultivated Tomato in Latin America journal January 2020
Thinking too positive? Revisiting current methods of population-genetic selection inference journal September 2014
Inference of super-exponential human population growth via efficient computation of the site frequency spectrum for generalized models journal July 2015
Archaic adaptive introgression in TBX15/WARS2 journal October 2016
Potential for rapid genetic adaptation to warming in a Great Barrier Reef coral journal June 2017
Genomic inferences of domestication events are corroborated by written records in Brassica rapa journal March 2017
Fantastic beasts and how to sequence them: genomic approaches for obscure model organisms journal August 2017
Machine Learning for Population Genetics: A New Paradigm journal October 2017
The Wright-Fisher Site Frequency Spectrum as a Perturbation of the Coalescent’s journal May 2018
The demographic history of African Drosophila melanogaster journal June 2018
The Site Frequency Spectrum under Finite and Time-Varying Mutation Rates journal July 2018
Pleistocene climate changes explain large-scale genetic variation in a dominant grassland species, Lolium perenne L journal September 2018
Quantification of GC-biased gene conversion in the human genome journal May 2015
Population history provides foundational knowledge for utilizing and developing native plant restoration materials journal September 2018
Fungal evolutionary genomics provides insight into the mechanisms of adaptive divergence in eukaryotes journal January 2014
Inference and analysis of population-specific fine-scale recombination maps across 26 diverse human populations journal October 2019
Contrasting signals of positive selection in genes involved in human skin-color variation from tests based on SNP scans and resequencing journal December 2011
Phred-Phrap package to analyses tools: a pipeline to facilitate population genetics re-sequencing studies journal January 2011
A world in a grain of sand: human history from genetic data journal January 2011
Sampling strategies for frequency spectrum-based population genomic inference journal December 2014
Evolutionary processes in non-model tree species and species complexes: inference from natural populations text January 2019
An Evolutionary Framework for Association Testing in Resequencing Studies journal November 2010
A Comprehensive Map of Mobile Element Insertion Polymorphisms in Humans journal August 2011
Natural Selection Affects Multiple Aspects of Genetic Variation at Putatively Neutral Sites across the Human Genome journal October 2011
Potential and limits for rapid genetic adaptation to warming in a Great Barrier Reef coral journal April 2018
Supervised machine learning reveals introgressed loci in the genomes of Drosophila simulans and D. sechellia journal April 2018
An estimator of first coalescent time reveals selection on young variants and large heterogeneity in rare allele ages among human populations journal August 2019
Eukaryote hybrid genomes journal November 2019
Both Positive and Negative Selection Pressures Contribute to the Polymorphism Pattern of the Duplicated Human CYP21A2 Gene journal November 2013
The Interplay between Natural Selection and Susceptibility to Melanoma on Allele 374F of SLC45A2 Gene in a South European Population journal August 2014
Adaptive Human CDKAL1 Variants Underlie Hormonal Response Variations at the Enteroinsular Axis journal September 2014
On the Prospect of Identifying Adaptive Loci in Recently Bottlenecked Populations journal November 2014
Bayesian inference of selection in the Wright-Fisher diffusion model journal June 2018
Using Ancient Samples in Projection Analysis journal January 2016
Identifying Genetic Signatures of Natural Selection Using Pooled Population Sequencing in Picea abies journal July 2016
A Temporal Perspective on the Interplay of Demography and Selection on Deleterious Variation in Humans journal March 2017
General Triallelic Frequency Spectrum Under Demographic Models with Variable Population Size journal January 2014
On Detecting Selective Sweeps Using Single Genomes journal January 2011
Assessing the Accuracy and Power of Population Genetic Inference from Low-Pass Next-Generation Sequencing Data journal January 2012
Genomic Signatures of Reinforcement journal April 2018
Biallelic Mutation-Drift Diffusion in the Limit of Small Scaled Mutation Rates preprint January 2014
The expected neutral frequency spectrum of linked sites preprint January 2016
Bayesian inference of species trees using diffusion models preprint January 2019
Background selection and biased gene conversion affect more than 95% of the human genome and bias demographic inferences text January 2018