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Vulnerability of Louisiana’s coastal wetlands to present-day rates of relative sea-level rise

Journal Article · · Nature Communications
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms14792· OSTI ID:1623880
 [1];  [2];  [2]
  1. Tulane Univ., New Orleans, LA (United States). Dept. of Earth and Environmental Sciences; DOE/OSTI
  2. Tulane Univ., New Orleans, LA (United States). Dept. of Earth and Environmental Sciences

Coastal Louisiana has lost about 5,000 km2 of wetlands over the past century and concern exists whether remaining wetlands will persist while facing some of the world’s highest rates of relative sea-level rise (RSLR). Here we analyse an unprecedented data set derived from 274 rod surface-elevation table-marker horizon stations, to determine present-day surface-elevation change, vertical accretion and shallow subsidence rates. Comparison of vertical accretion rates with RSLR rates at the land surface (present-day RSLR rates are 12±8 mm per year) shows that 65% of wetlands in the Mississippi Delta (SE Louisiana) may keep pace with RSLR, whereas 58% of the sites in the Chenier Plain (SW Louisiana) do not, rendering much of this area highly vulnerable to RLSR. At least 60% of the total subsidence rate occurs within the uppermost 5–10 m, which may account for the higher vulnerability of coastal Louisiana wetlands compared to their counterparts elsewhere.

Research Organization:
Tulane Univ., New Orleans, LA (United States). Dept. of Earth and Environmental Sciences
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER)
Grant/Contract Number:
SC0006700
OSTI ID:
1623880
Journal Information:
Nature Communications, Journal Name: Nature Communications Journal Issue: 1 Vol. 8; ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher:
Nature Publishing GroupCopyright Statement
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

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Predicting marsh vulnerability to sea-level rise using Holocene relative sea-level data journal July 2018
Association between localized geohazards in West Texas and human activities, recognized by Sentinel-1A/B satellite radar imagery journal March 2018
U.S. Pacific coastal wetland resilience and vulnerability to sea-level rise journal February 2018
Assessing coastal wetland vulnerability to sea-level rise along the northern Gulf of Mexico coast: Gaps and opportunities for developing a coordinated regional sampling network journal September 2017
Ecosystem respiration in coastal tidal flats can be modelled from air temperature, plant biomass and inundation regime preprint April 2018
Thresholds of sea-level rise rate and sea-level rise acceleration rate in a vulnerable coastal wetland journal November 2017
Integrating geochronologic and instrumental approaches across the Bengal Basin journal November 2019
Recent subsidence rates for Barataria Basin, Louisiana journal May 2019
Riverine Sediment Contribution to Distal Deltaic Wetlands: Fourleague Bay, LA journal September 2018
Blue Crab Abundance and Survival in a Fragmenting Coastal Marsh System journal April 2020
Sea Level Rise Impacts to Coastal Marshes may be Ameliorated by Natural Sedimentation Events journal February 2018
Use of NDVI and Landscape Metrics to Assess Effects of Riverine Inputs on Wetland Productivity and Stability journal April 2019
Modeled Sediment Availability, Deposition, and Decadal Land Change in Coastal Louisiana Marshes under Future Relative Sea Level Rise Scenarios journal June 2019
Time‐Varying Emulator for Short and Long‐Term Analysis of Coastal Flood Hazard Potential journal December 2019
Impacts of Seagrass Dynamics on the Coupled Long‐Term Evolution of Barrier‐Marsh‐Bay Systems journal January 2020
A Coupled Biomorpho‐Geomechanical Model of Tidal Marsh Evolution journal November 2019
Future response of global coastal wetlands to sea-level rise journal September 2018
The role of sedimentation and natural compaction in a prograding delta: insights from the mega Mekong delta, Vietnam journal July 2018
Sensitivity of freshwater species under single and multigenerational exposure to seawater intrusion journal December 2018
Coastal wetland adaptation to sea level rise: Quantifying potential for landward migration and coastal squeeze journal May 2018
Will fluctuations in salt marsh–mangrove dominance alter vulnerability of a subtropical wetland to sea‐level rise? journal November 2017
Future response of global coastal wetlands to sea-level rise. text January 2018
Land Subsidence in Coastal Environments: Knowledge Advance in the Venice Coastland by TerraSAR-X PSI journal July 2018
Detecting the Morphology of Prograding and Retreating Marsh Margins—Example of a Mega-Tidal Bay journal December 2019
GOM20: A Stable Geodetic Reference Frame for Subsidence, Faulting, and Sea-Level Rise Studies along the Coast of the Gulf of Mexico journal January 2020
Measuring rates of present-day relative sea-level rise in low-elevation coastal zones: a critical evaluation journal January 2019
Measuring rates of present-day relative sea-level rise in low-elevation coastal zones: A critical evaluation posted_content July 2018

Figures / Tables (6)


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