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Adaptation of fan motor and VFD efficiency correlations using Bayesian inference

Journal Article · · Science and Technology for the Built Environment
 [1];  [2];  [3];  [3]
  1. Engie Axima, Nantes (France); Lawrence Berkeley National Lab. (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States)
  2. Lawrence Berkeley National Lab. (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States)
  3. Mines ParisTech, PSL (France)

Energy performance contracts (EPC) are types of agreements in which a service provider guarantees that customers’ buildings will achieve a specified energy performance (i.e., minimum energy savings) to reduce the risk of their investment in energy efficiency improvements. EPC requires prediction of future energy consumption of the building, at the design stage, before construction or major retrofit. To this end, building energy simulations taking into account all the major energy-using components are performed. In particular, fans can contribute significantly to the total building consumption. The overall efficiency of fans is the combination of three factors: mechanical, motor, and variable frequency drive (VFD). Manufacturers usually provide fan mechanical efficiency curves for a broad operating range. In contrast, motor and VFD efficiencies are generally given at rating conditions only. To represent part-load conditions, correlations are typically used to estimate motor and VFD efficiency variations, to evaluate the overall electricity consumption. The first aim of this study is to evaluate existing correlations for motor and VFD efficiency as a function of load and speed, by comparison with manufacturer data, for a vendor that has shared its detailed test data. While VFD efficiency correlations from the literature provide reasonable accuracy against real data, motor correlations under predict actual motor efficiency at low loads. Finally, the second aim of the paper is to improve such correlations using Bayesian inference to fit the available data.

Research Organization:
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE Office of Science (SC)
Grant/Contract Number:
AC02-05CH11231
OSTI ID:
1603522
Journal Information:
Science and Technology for the Built Environment, Journal Name: Science and Technology for the Built Environment Journal Issue: 7 Vol. 25; ISSN 2374-4731
Publisher:
Taylor & FrancisCopyright Statement
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

References (16)

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Bayesian calibration of building energy models: Comparison of predictive accuracy using metered utility data of different temporal resolution journal September 2017
A Meta Model Based Bayesian Approach for Building Energy Models Calibration journal December 2017
Energy efficient control of variable speed pumps in complex building central air-conditioning systems journal February 2009
Validation of a Bayesian-based method for defining residential archetypes in urban building energy models journal January 2017
A comparison of methods for uncertainty and sensitivity analysis applied to the energy performance of new commercial buildings journal May 2018
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A review of uncertainty analysis in building energy assessment journal October 2018
Bayesian Logical Data Analysis for the Physical Sciences book January 2012
Evaluating the Approximation of the Affinity Laws and Improving the Efficiency Estimate for Variable Speed Pumps journal December 2013
Markov Chain Monte Carlo in Practice journal August 1997
Bayesian inference for psychometric functions journal May 2005
Markov Chain Monte Carlo in Practice book December 1995

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