Material world: forecasting household appliance ownership in a growing global economy

Conference · Tue Apr 23 00:00:00 EDT 2019

OSTI ID:1602846

Letschert, Virginie ^[1]; McNeil, Michael ^[1]

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1. Lawrence Berkeley National Lab. (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States). Environmental Energy Technologies Division

This paper presents a methodology for modeling residential appliance uptake as a function of macroeconomic variables, and presents forecasts of appliance diffusion through 2030 for several scenarios of economic (GDP) growth. The approach followed allows the modeler to construct a bottom­-up analysis based at the end use and the household level. It captures the appliance uptake and the saturation effect which will affect the energy demand growth in the residen­tial sector. With this approach, the modeler can also account for stock changes in technology and efficiency as a function of time.

• Research Organization: Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States)
• Sponsoring Organization: USDOE Office of Science (SC)
• DOE Contract Number: AC02-05CH11231
• OSTI ID: 1602846
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English