Impacts of Future Climate-Driven Runoff on Six County WWT Facilities in New Jersey
- Argonne National Laboratory (ANL), Argonne, IL (United States)
The occurrence of extreme storms and associated flood hazards has increased in most regions in recent decades (Groisman et al. 2005, Alexander et al. 2006, Hegerl et al. 2011, Min et al. 2011). Extensive data on weather extremes since 1910 kept by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)’s National Climatic Data Center have shown an increasing trend (reaching more than 20%) in U.S. one-day extreme precipitation events. This trend is expected to continue in the future, with likely intensification of heavy precipitation events (Kunkel et al. 2010, Westra et al. 2013). Recently, Argonne has performed dynamic downscaling from global climate model (GCM) projections with high-resolution regional climate model, Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) and projected future climate conditions for the middle of century (2035-2064). For this project, we incorporated our future climate projections into our hydrological modeling to evaluate potential effects of changing climate on streamflow near the six county WWT facilities in New Jersey to improve our understanding of climate-driven precipitation impacts and use this information to inform the potential risk of precipitation-affected infrastructures. The information for the future projected hydrological flow discharges was also provided to support a storm surge study. The study was expanded later to quantify likelihood of river discharges near WWT facilities with a statistical approach and informed the flood risk contributed by the river discharges.
- Research Organization:
- Argonne National Laboratory (ANL), Argonne, IL (United States)
- Sponsoring Organization:
- USDOE; US Department of Homeland Security (DHS)
- DOE Contract Number:
- AC02-06CH11357
- OSTI ID:
- 1573499
- Report Number(s):
- ANL/EVS-19/8; 155961
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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