Modeling Economic Interdependence in Deterrence Using a Serious Game

Journal Article · Sun Jul 01 00:00:00 EDT 2018 · Journal on Policy and Complex Systems

DOI:https://doi.org/10.18278/jpcs.4.2.8· OSTI ID:1487423

Epifanovskaya, Laura Wyman Edwards ^[1]; Lakkaraju, Kiran ^[2]; Letchford, Joshua ^[2]; Stites, Mallory Catherine ^[2]; Reinhardt, Jason Christian ^[2]; Whetzel, Jonathan ^[2]

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1. Sandia National Lab. (SNL-CA), Livermore, CA (United States)
2. Sandia National Lab. (SNL-CA), Livermore, CA (United States); Sandia National Lab. (SNL-NM), Albuquerque, NM (United States)

In order to understand the effect of economic interdependence on conflict and on deterrents to conflict, and to assess the viability of online games as experiments to perform research, an online serious game was used to gather data on economic, political, and military factors in the game setting. These data were operationalized in forms analogous to variables from the real-world Militarized Interstate Disputes (MIDs) dataset. A set of economic predictor variables was analyzed using linear mixed effects regression models in an attempt to discover relationships between the predictor variables and conflict outcomes. Differences between the online game results and results from the real world are discussed.

• Research Organization: Sandia National Laboratories (SNL-CA), Livermore, CA (United States); Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM (United States)
• Sponsoring Organization: USDOE National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA)
• Grant/Contract Number: AC04-94AL85000
• OSTI ID: 1487423
• Report Number(s): SAND--2018-7419J; 665647
• Journal Information: Journal on Policy and Complex Systems, Journal Name: Journal on Policy and Complex Systems Journal Issue: 2 Vol. 4; ISSN 2372-8590
• Publisher: Policy Studies Organization
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS
conflict
deterrence
international relations
serious game
wargame