Historical (1750–2014) anthropogenic emissions of reactive gases and aerosols from the Community Emissions Data System (CEDS)

Hoesly, Rachel M.; Smith, Steven J.; Feng, Leyang; Klimont, Zbigniew; Janssens-Maenhout, Greet; Pitkanen, Tyler; Seibert, Jonathan J.; Vu, Linh; Andres, Robert J.; Bolt, Ryan M.; Bond, Tami C.; Dawidowski, Laura; Kholod, Nazar; Kurokawa, June-ichi; Li, Meng; Liu, Liang; Lu, Zifeng; Moura, Maria Cecilia P.; O'Rourke, Patrick R.; Zhang, Qiang

doi:10.5194/gmd-11-369-2018

Title: Historical (1750–2014) anthropogenic emissions of reactive gases and aerosols from the Community Emissions Data System (CEDS)

Journal Article · Mon Jan 29 00:00:00 EST 2018 · Geoscientific Model Development (Online)

DOI:https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-369-2018· OSTI ID:1474478

^[1];

^[2];

^[1]; Klimont, Zbigniew ^[3]; Janssens-Maenhout, Greet ^[4]; Pitkanen, Tyler ^[1]; Seibert, Jonathan J. ^[1]; Vu, Linh ^[1];

^[5]; Bolt, Ryan M. ^[1]; Bond, Tami C. ^[6]; Dawidowski, Laura ^[7];

^[1]; Kurokawa, June-ichi ^[8]; Li, Meng ^[9]; Liu, Liang ^[6]; Lu, Zifeng ^[10]; Moura, Maria Cecilia P. ^[1]; O'Rourke, Patrick R. ^[1]; Zhang, Qiang ^[9]

Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States). Joint Global Change Research Inst.
Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States). Joint Global Change Research Inst.; Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD (United States). Dept. of Atmospheric and Oceanic Science
International Inst. for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg (Austria)
European Commission, Ispra (Italy). Joint Research Centre/Directorate Energy, Transport and Climate
Oak Ridge National Lab. (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States). Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center
Univ. of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, IL (United States). Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering
National Atomic Energy Commission (CNEA), Buenos Aires (Argentina)
Asia Center for Air Pollution Research (ACAP), Niigata (Japan). Japan Environmental Sanitation Center (JESC) and Atmospheric Research Dept.
Tsinghua Univ., Beijing (China). Dept. of Earth System Science
Argonne National Lab. (ANL), Argonne, IL (United States). Energy System Division

Abstract. We present a new data set of annual historical (1750–2014) anthropogenic chemically reactive gases (CO, CH₄, NH₃, NO_x, SO₂, NMVOCs), carbonaceous aerosols (black carbon – BC, and organic carbon – OC), and CO₂ developed with the Community Emissions Data System (CEDS). We improve upon existing inventories with a more consistent and reproducible methodology applied to all emission species, updated emission factors, and recent estimates through 2014. The data system relies on existing energy consumption data sets and regional and country-specific inventories to produce trends over recent decades. All emission species are consistently estimated using the same activity data over all time periods. Emissions are provided on an annual basis at the level of country and sector and gridded with monthly seasonality. These estimates are comparable to, but generally slightly higher than, existing global inventories. Emissions over the most recent years are more uncertain, particularly in low- and middle-income regions where country-specific emission inventories are less available. Future work will involve refining and updating these emission estimates, estimating emissions' uncertainty, and publication of the system as open-source software.

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Research Organization:: Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States); Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States); Argonne National Laboratory (ANL), Argonne, IL (United States)

Sponsoring Organization:: Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER). Earth and Environmental Systems Science Division; National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)

Grant/Contract Number:: AC05-00OR22725; NNH15AZ64I; AC05-76RLO1830; AC02-06CH11357

OSTI ID:: 1474478

Alternate ID(s):: OSTI ID: 1421326; OSTI ID: 1482098

Report Number(s):: PNNL-SA-123932

Journal Information:: Geoscientific Model Development (Online), Vol. 11, Issue 1; ISSN 1991-9603

Publisher:: European Geosciences UnionCopyright Statement

Country of Publication:: United States

Language:: English

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Cited by: 718 works

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Black Carbon Amplifies Haze Over the North China Plain by Weakening the East Asian Winter Monsoon Lou, Sijia; Yang, Yang; Wang, Hailong Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 46, Issue 1 https://doi.org/10.1029/2018gl080941	journal	January 2019
Changes in Global Tropospheric OH Expected as a Result of Climate Change Over the Last Several Decades Nicely, Julie M.; Canty, Timothy P.; Manyin, Michael Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 123, Issue 18 https://doi.org/10.1029/2018jd028388	journal	September 2018
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Larger Sensitivity of Precipitation Extremes to Aerosol Than Greenhouse Gas Forcing in CMIP5 Models Lin, Lei; Wang, Zhili; Xu, Yangyang Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres https://doi.org/10.1029/2018jd028821	journal	August 2018
Methyl, Ethyl, and Propyl Nitrates: Global Distribution and Impacts on Reactive Nitrogen in Remote Marine Environments Fisher, Jenny A.; Atlas, Elliot L.; Barletta, Barbara Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 123, Issue 21 https://doi.org/10.1029/2018jd029046	journal	November 2018
Desert Dust, Industrialization, and Agricultural Fires: Health Impacts of Outdoor Air Pollution in Africa Bauer, Susanne E.; Im, Ulas; Mezuman, Keren Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 124, Issue 7 https://doi.org/10.1029/2018jd029336	journal	April 2019
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Decreasing Trend in Formaldehyde Detected From 20‐Year Record at Wollongong, Southeast Australia Lieschke, Kaitlyn J.; Fisher, Jenny A.; Paton‐Walsh, Clare Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 46, Issue 14 https://doi.org/10.1029/2019gl083757	journal	July 2019
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Ocean Biogeochemistry Control on the Marine Emissions of Brominated Very Short‐Lived Ozone‐Depleting Substances: A Machine‐Learning Approach Wang, Siyuan; Kinnison, Douglas; Montzka, Stephen A. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 124, Issue 22 https://doi.org/10.1029/2019jd031288	journal	November 2019
An Overview of the Atmospheric Component of the Energy Exascale Earth System Model Rasch, P. J.; Xie, S.; Ma, P. ‐L. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Vol. 11, Issue 8 https://doi.org/10.1029/2019ms001629	journal	August 2019
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Unraveling driving forces explaining significant reduction in satellite-inferred Arctic surface albedo since the 1980s Zhang, Rudong; Wang, Hailong; Fu, Qiang Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 116, Issue 48 https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1915258116	journal	November 2019
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FTIR time series of stratospheric NO ₂ over Hefei, China, and comparisons with OMI and GEOS-Chem model data Yin, Hao; Sun, Youwen; Liu, Cheng Optics Express, Vol. 27, Issue 16 https://doi.org/10.1364/oe.27.0a1225	journal	January 2019
Exploring the relationship between surface PM_2.5 and meteorology in Northern India Schnell, Jordan L.; Naik, Vaishali; Horowitz, Larry W. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 18, Issue 14 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-10157-2018	journal	January 2018
Foreign and domestic contributions to springtime ozone over China Ni, Ruijing; Lin, Jintai; Yan, Yingying Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 18, Issue 15 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-11447-2018	journal	January 2018
Trends in China's anthropogenic emissions since 2010 as the consequence of clean air actions Zheng, Bo; Tong, Dan; Li, Meng Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 18, Issue 19 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-14095-2018	journal	January 2018
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Aerosols in atmospheric chemistry and biogeochemical cycles of nutrients Kanakidou, Maria; Myriokefalitakis, Stelios; Tsigaridis, Kostas Columbia University https://doi.org/10.7916/d86x0tzp	text	January 2018
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Modulation of the ENSO on Winter Aerosol Pollution in the Eastern Region of China Sun, Jiaren; Li, Haiyan; Zhang, Wenjun Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 123, Issue 21 https://doi.org/10.1029/2018jd028534	journal	November 2018
Impact of Anthropogenic Emission Injection Height Uncertainty on Global Sulfur Dioxide and Aerosol Distribution Yang, Yang; Smith, Steven J.; Wang, Hailong Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 124, Issue 8 https://doi.org/10.1029/2018jd030001	journal	April 2019
Constraining Aging Processes of Black Carbon in the Community Atmosphere Model Using Environmental Chamber Measurements Wang, Yuan; Ma, Po‐Lun; Peng, Jianfei Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Vol. 10, Issue 10 https://doi.org/10.1029/2018ms001387	journal	October 2018
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Atmospheric Acetaldehyde: Importance of Air‐Sea Exchange and a Missing Source in the Remote Troposphere Wang, Siyuan; Hornbrook, Rebecca S.; Hills, Alan Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 46, Issue 10 https://doi.org/10.1029/2019gl082034	journal	May 2019
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Causes of climate change over the historical record Hegerl, Gabriele C.; Brönnimann, Stefan; Cowan, Tim IOP Publishing https://doi.org/10.7892/boris.138214	text	January 2019
The PRIMAP-hist national historical emissions time series (1750-2019) v2.3 Gütschow, Johannes; Günther, Annika; Pflüger, Mika Zenodo https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5175154	dataset	January 2021
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The global aerosol-climate model ECHAM6.3-HAM2.3-Part 2: Cloud evaluation, aerosol radiative forcing, and climate sensitivity Neubauer, David; Ferrachat, Sylvaine; Siegenthaler-Le Drian, Colombe ETH Zurich https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-b-000361964	text	January 2019
Six-year source apportionment of submicron organic aerosols from near-continuous highly time-resolved measurements at SIRTA (Paris area, France) Zhang, Yunjiang; Favez, Olivier; Petit, Jean-Eudes Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 19, Issue 23 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-14755-2019	journal	January 2019
Reflecting on progress since the 2005 NARSTO emissions inventory report Day, Melissa; Pouliot, George; Hunt, Sherri Taylor & Francis https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.9722255	text	January 2019
What is the potential of silver fir to thrive under warmer and drier climate? Vitasse, Yann; Bottero, Alessandra; Rebetez, Martine Springer https://doi.org/10.7892/boris.132332	text	January 2019
Evaluating Modeled Impact Metrics for Human Health, Agriculture Growth, and Near-Term Climate: EVALUATING MODELED IMPACT METRICS Seltzer, K. M.; Shindell, D. T.; Faluvegi, G. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 122, Issue 24 https://doi.org/10.1002/2017jd026780	journal	December 2017
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Abundance and Emission Flux of the Anthropogenic Iron Oxide Aerosols From the East Asian Continental Outflow Yoshida, Atsushi; Ohata, Sho; Moteki, Nobuhiro Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 123, Issue 19 https://doi.org/10.1029/2018jd028665	journal	October 2018
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Arctic Amplification Response to Individual Climate Drivers Stjern, Camilla Weum; Lund, Marianne Tronstad; Samset, Bjørn Hallvard Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres https://doi.org/10.1029/2018jd029726	journal	July 2019
Blue skies over China: The effect of pollution-control on solar power generation and revenues Labordena, Mercè; Neubauer, David; Folini, Doris PLOS ONE, Vol. 13, Issue 11 https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0207028	journal	November 2018
Emission or atmospheric processes? An attempt to attribute the source of large bias of aerosols in eastern China simulated by global climate models Fan, Tianyi; Liu, Xiaohong; Ma, Po-Lun Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 18, Issue 2 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-1395-2018	journal	January 2018
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Chinese blue days: a novel index and spatio-temporal variations Wang, Su; Huang, Gang; Lin, Jintai Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 14, Issue 7 https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab29bb	journal	July 2019
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The global aerosol–climate model ECHAM6.3–HAM2.3 – Part 2: Cloud evaluation, aerosol radiative forcing, and climate sensitivity Neubauer, David; Ferrachat, Sylvaine; Siegenthaler-Le Drian, Colombe Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 12, Issue 8 https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-3609-2019	journal	January 2019
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Historical Emissions (1851-2014) - CEDS - v2016-07-26 Hoesly, Rachel; Smith, Steven; Feng, Leyang Earth System Grid Federation https://doi.org/10.22033/esgf/input4mips.1116	dataset	January 2016
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Historical Emissions (1750 - 2014) - CEDS - v2017-05-18 Hoesly, Rachel; Smith, Steven; Feng, Leyang Earth System Grid Federation https://doi.org/10.22033/esgf/input4mips.1241	dataset	January 2017
input4MIPs.PNNL-JGCRI.emissions.CMIP.CEDS-2017-08-30 Hoesly, Rachel; Smith, Steven; Feng, Leyang Earth System Grid Federation https://doi.org/10.22033/esgf/input4mips.1604	dataset	January 2017
The PRIMAP-hist national historical emissions time series (1750-2019) v2.3.1 Gütschow, Johannes; Günther, Annika; Pflüger, Mika Zenodo https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5494497	dataset	January 2021
Rapid conversion of isoprene photooxidation products in terrestrial plants Canaval, Eva; Millet, Dylan B.; Zimmer, Ina Communications Earth & Environment, Vol. 1, Issue 1 https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-020-00041-2	journal	November 2020
Tropospheric Ozone Assessment Report: Present-day distribution and trends of tropospheric ozone relevant to climate and global atmospheric chemistry model evaluation Gaudel, A.; Cooper, O. R.; Ancellet, G. Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene, Vol. 6 https://doi.org/10.1525/elementa.291	journal	January 2018
The Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service global and regional emissions (April 2019 version) Granier, C.; Darras, S.; Denier van der Gon, H. Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service https://doi.org/10.24380/d0bn-kx16	text	January 2019
Quantification of Atmospheric Ammonia Concentrations: A Review of Its Measurement and Modeling Nair, Arshad Arjunan; Yu, Fangqun Atmosphere, Vol. 11, Issue 10 https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos11101092	journal	October 2020
A high-resolution gridded inventory of coal mine methane emissions for India and Australia Sadavarte, Pankaj; Pandey, Sudhanshu; Maasakkers, Joannes D. arXiv https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2107.10317	preprint	January 2021
Correcting model biases of CO in East Asia: impact on oxidant distributions during KORUS-AQ Gaubert, Benjamin; Emmons, Louisa K.; Raeder, Kevin Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 20, Issue 23 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-14617-2020	journal	January 2020
Uncertainty in aerosol radiative forcing impacts the simulated global monsoon in the 20th century Shonk, Jonathan K. P.; Turner, Andrew G.; Chevuturi, Amulya Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 20, Issue 23 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-14903-2020	journal	December 2020
Bias in CMIP6 models as compared to observed regional dimming and brightening Moseid, Kine Onsum; Schulz, Michael; Storelvmo, Trude Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 20, Issue 24 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-16023-2020	journal	January 2020
An evaluation of global organic aerosol schemes using airborne observations Pai, Sidhant J.; Heald, Colette L.; Pierce, Jeffrey R. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 20, Issue 5 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-2637-2020	journal	January 2020
Comprehensive isoprene and terpene gas-phase chemistry improves simulated surface ozone in the southeastern US Schwantes, Rebecca H.; Emmons, Louisa K.; Orlando, John J. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 20, Issue 6 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-3739-2020	journal	January 2020
Fourier transform infrared time series of tropospheric HCN in eastern China: seasonality, interannual variability, and source attribution Sun, Youwen; Liu, Cheng; Zhang, Lin Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 20, Issue 9 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-5437-2020	journal	May 2020
Cloudy-sky contributions to the direct aerosol effect Myhre, Gunnar; Samset, Bjørn H.; Mohr, Christian W. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 20, Issue 14 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-8855-2020	journal	July 2020
Source attribution of Arctic black carbon and sulfate aerosols and associated Arctic surface warming during 1980–2018 Ren, Lili; Yang, Yang; Wang, Hailong Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 20, Issue 14 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-9067-2020	journal	January 2020
Development and evaluation of a new compact mechanism for aromatic oxidation in atmospheric models Bates, Kelvin H.; Jacob, Daniel J.; Li, Ke Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 21, Issue 24 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-18351-2021	journal	December 2021
Photochemical environment over Southeast Asia primed for hazardous ozone levels with influx of nitrogen oxides from seasonal biomass burning Marvin, Margaret R.; Palmer, Paul I.; Latter, Barry G. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 21, Issue 3 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-1917-2021	journal	February 2021
Global modeling studies of composition and decadal trends of the Asian Tropopause Aerosol Layer Bossolasco, Adriana; Jegou, Fabrice; Sellitto, Pasquale Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 21, Issue 4 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-2745-2021	journal	February 2021
Inverse modelling of carbonyl sulfide: implementation, evaluation and implications for the global budget Ma, Jin; Kooijmans, Linda M. J.; Cho, Ara Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 21, Issue 5 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-3507-2021	journal	March 2021
Global modeling of heterogeneous hydroxymethanesulfonate chemistry Song, Shaojie; Ma, Tao; Zhang, Yuzhong Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 21, Issue 1 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-457-2021	journal	January 2021
Comparison of past and future simulations of ENSO in CMIP5/PMIP3 and CMIP6/PMIP4 models Brown, Josephine R.; Brierley, Chris M.; An, Soon-Il Climate of the Past, Vol. 16, Issue 5 https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-1777-2020	journal	January 2020
A continued role of short-lived climate forcers under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways Lund, Marianne T.; Aamaas, Borgar; Stjern, Camilla W. Earth System Dynamics, Vol. 11, Issue 4 https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-977-2020	journal	November 2020
The Global Methane Budget 2000–2017 Saunois, Marielle; Stavert, Ann R.; Poulter, Ben Earth System Science Data, Vol. 12, Issue 3 https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-12-1561-2020	journal	January 2020
Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service TEMPOral profiles (CAMS-TEMPO): global and European emission temporal profile maps for atmospheric chemistry modelling Guevara, Marc; Jorba, Oriol; Tena, Carles Earth System Science Data, Vol. 13, Issue 2 https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-13-367-2021	journal	February 2021
WRF-GC (v1.0): online coupling of WRF (v3.9.1.1) and GEOS-Chem (v12.2.1) for regional atmospheric chemistry modeling – Part 1: Description of the one-way model Lin, Haipeng; Feng, Xu; Fu, Tzung-May Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 13, Issue 7 https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-3241-2020	journal	July 2020
Development of the global atmospheric chemistry general circulation model BCC-GEOS-Chem v1.0: model description and evaluation Lu, Xiao; Zhang, Lin; Wu, Tongwen Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 13, Issue 9 https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-3817-2020	journal	August 2020
Overview of the Norwegian Earth System Model (NorESM2) and key climate response of CMIP6 DECK, historical, and scenario simulations Seland, Øyvind; Bentsen, Mats; Olivié, Dirk Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 13, Issue 12 https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-6165-2020	journal	January 2020
Beijing Climate Center Earth System Model version 1 (BCC-ESM1): model description and evaluation of aerosol simulations Wu, Tongwen; Zhang, Fang; Zhang, Jie Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 13, Issue 3 https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-977-2020	journal	January 2020
The PRIMAP-hist national historical emissions time series (1750-2021) v2.4 Gütschow, Johannes; Pflüger, Mika Zenodo https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7179775	dataset	January 2022

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