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Title: Synthesis and Review: an inter-method comparison of climate change impacts on agriculture

Journal Article · · Environmental Research Letters

The agricultural sector is one of the most sensitive to climate change, with potentially significant implications for food security and welfare. Alternative methodological approaches—such as process models, statistical models and integrated assessment models—have been used to estimate climate impacts on agriculture, not always with consistent results. This focus issue intends to shed light on the sign and order of magnitude of agricultural impacts under 2 °C and higher warming levels. This letter synthesizes the set of articles in the focus issue that have been tasked with providing a systematic assessment of how results from these different methodological approaches compare and why they are different. From this synthesis, we offer thoughts on research priorities going forward to fill key voids in the literature on this important topic.

Research Organization:
Stanford Univ., CA (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER)
Grant/Contract Number:
SC0005171
OSTI ID:
1457199
Alternate ID(s):
OSTI ID: 1509885
Journal Information:
Environmental Research Letters, Journal Name: Environmental Research Letters Vol. 13 Journal Issue: 7; ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher:
IOP PublishingCopyright Statement
Country of Publication:
United Kingdom
Language:
English
Citation Metrics:
Cited by: 20 works
Citation information provided by
Web of Science

References (10)

An AgMIP framework for improved agricultural representation in integrated assessment models journal November 2017
Economic impacts of climate change on agriculture: a comparison of process-based and statistical yield models journal May 2017
Comparing and combining process-based crop models and statistical models with some implications for climate change journal September 2017
Assessing agricultural risks of climate change in the 21st century in a global gridded crop model intercomparison journal December 2013
The Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP): Protocols and pilot studies journal March 2013
Climate change effects on agriculture: Economic responses to biophysical shocks journal December 2013
Nonlinear temperature effects indicate severe damages to U.S. crop yields under climate change journal August 2009
Quantifying the indirect impacts of climate on agriculture: an inter-method comparison journal October 2017
Simulated vs. empirical weather responsiveness of crop yields: US evidence and implications for the agricultural impacts of climate change journal July 2017
The poverty implications of climate-induced crop yield changes by 2030 journal October 2010

Cited By (2)

Effects of elevated carbon dioxide on metal transport in soil-crop system: results from a field rice and wheat experiment journal April 2019
Climate impacts on long-term silage maize yield in Germany journal May 2019

Figures / Tables (1)