skip to main content
OSTI.GOV title logo U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

Title: Introduction to CAUSES: Description of Weather and Climate Models and Their Near-Surface Temperature Errors in 5 day Hindcasts Near the Southern Great Plains

Journal Article · · Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JD027199· OSTI ID:1426306
ORCiD logo [1]; ORCiD logo [1]; ORCiD logo [2]; ORCiD logo [3]; ORCiD logo [4]; ORCiD logo [5]; ORCiD logo [6]; ORCiD logo [7]; ORCiD logo [8]; ORCiD logo [3]; ORCiD logo [5]; ORCiD logo [5]; ORCiD logo [8]; ORCiD logo [5];  [7]; ORCiD logo [8]; ORCiD logo [5]; ORCiD logo [4]; ORCiD logo [9]; ORCiD logo [2] more »; ORCiD logo [6]; ORCiD logo [2]; ORCiD logo [2]; ORCiD logo [1] « less
  1. Met Office, Exeter UK
  2. Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore CA USA
  3. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading UK
  4. CNRM, Météo-France/CNRS, Toulouse France
  5. Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland WA USA
  6. NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton VA USA
  7. Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, Paris France
  8. Environment and Climate Change Canada, Victoria British Columbia Canada
  9. Academia Sinica, Taipei Taiwan

We introduce the Clouds Above the United States and Errors at the Surface (CAUSES) project with its aim of better understanding the physical processes leading to warm screen temperature biases over the American Midwest in many numerical models. In this first of four companion papers, 11 different models, from nine institutes, perform a series of 5 day hindcasts, each initialized from reanalyses. After describing the common experimental protocol and detailing each model configuration, a gridded temperature data set is derived from observations and used to show that all the models have a warm bias over parts of the Midwest. Additionally, a strong diurnal cycle in the screen temperature bias is found in most models. In some models the bias is largest around midday, while in others it is largest during the night. At the Department of Energy Atmospheric Radiation Measurement Southern Great Plains (SGP) site, the model biases are shown to extend several kilometers into the atmosphere. Finally, to provide context for the companion papers, in which observations from the SGP site are used to evaluate the different processes contributing to errors there, it is shown that there are numerous locations across the Midwest where the diurnal cycle of the error is highly correlated with the diurnal cycle of the error at SGP. This suggests that conclusions drawn from detailed evaluation of models using instruments located at SGP will be representative of errors that are prevalent over a larger spatial scale.

Research Organization:
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States); Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL), Livermore, CA (United States); Met Office, Exeter (United Kingdom)
Sponsoring Organization:
Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER). Earth and Environmental Systems Science Division
Contributing Organization:
Met Office (UK), LLNL (USA), PNNL (USA), ECMWF (UK), Meteofrance/CNRM/CNRS (France), LMD (France), Academia Sinica (Taiwan)
Grant/Contract Number:
AC52-07NA27344; SC0014122; SC0005259; AC05-76RL01830; AC02-05CH11231; DARI-0292
OSTI ID:
1426306
Alternate ID(s):
OSTI ID: 1426307; OSTI ID: 1429920; OSTI ID: 1438772; OSTI ID: 1501543
Report Number(s):
PNNL-SA-126058; LLNL-JRNL-732218
Journal Information:
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Journal Name: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres Vol. 123 Journal Issue: 5; ISSN 2169-897X
Publisher:
American Geophysical UnionCopyright Statement
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Citation Metrics:
Cited by: 55 works
Citation information provided by
Web of Science

References (83)

Implementation of Noah land surface model advances in the National Centers for Environmental Prediction operational mesoscale Eta model journal November 2003
Tropospheric sulfur cycle in the Canadian general circulation model journal November 1999
A New Second-Order Turbulence Closure Scheme for the Planetary Boundary Layer journal July 1997
Developing long-term single-column model/cloud system–resolving model forcing data using numerical weather prediction products constrained by surface and top of the atmosphere observations journal January 2004
A modified parameterization of flux-profile relationships in the surface layer using different roughness length values for heat and momentum journal January 1995
Spatiotemporal Variations in Soil Water: First Results from the ARM SGP CART Network journal February 2003
Simulation of shallow cumuli and their transition to deep convective clouds by cloud-resolving models with different third-order turbulence closures journal January 2006
LMDZ5B: the atmospheric component of the IPSL climate model with revisited parameterizations for clouds and convection journal April 2012
Development of high resolution land surface parameters for the Community Land Model journal January 2012
An updated length-scale formulation for turbulent mixing in clear and cloudy boundary layers journal October 2004
A One-Dimensional Entraining/Detraining Plume Model and Its Application in Convective Parameterization journal December 1990
A physically based scheme for the treatment of stratiform clouds and precipitation in large-scale models. I: Description and evaluation of the microphysical processes journal July 1997
Modeling the Trade-Wind Cumulus Boundary Layer. Part I: Testing the Ensemble Cloud Relations Against Numerical Data journal November 1981
Initial Tendencies of Cloud Regimes in the Met Office Unified Model journal February 2008
Implementation and validation of a new prognostic large-scale cloud and precipitation scheme for climate and data-assimilation purposes journal January 2002
On the Representation of High-Latitude Boundary Layer Mixed-Phase Cloud in the ECMWF Global Model journal September 2014
CAUSES: Attribution of Surface Radiation Biases in NWP and Climate Models near the U.S. Southern Great Plains journal April 2018
Assessment of Physical Parameterizations Using a Global Climate Model with Stretchable Grid and Nudging journal April 2007
Diagnosis of the summertime warm and dry bias over the U.S. Southern Great Plains in the GFDL climate model using a weather forecasting approach: GFDL CLIMATE MODEL SUMMERTIME BIAS journal September 2006
Improved Low-Cloud Simulation from the Community Atmosphere Model with an Advanced Third-Order Turbulence Closure journal July 2015
Representation of Clouds in Large-Scale Models journal November 1993
Sensitivity of climate simulations to the parameterization of cumulus convection in the Canadian climate centre general circulation model journal September 1995
A Radiation Algorithm with Correlated- k Distribution. Part I: Local Thermal Equilibrium journal February 2005
The Met Office Unified Model Global Atmosphere 6.0/6.1 and JULES Global Land 6.0/6.1 configurations journal January 2017
Unified treatment of dry convective and stratocumulus-topped boundary layers in the ECMWF model journal January 2011
The Canadian land surface scheme (CLASS): Its history and future journal March 2000
Parameterization of Orography-Induced Turbulence in a Mesobeta--Scale Model journal August 1989
A dynamic global vegetation model for studies of the coupled atmosphere-biosphere system: DVGM FOR COUPLED CLIMATE STUDIES journal February 2005
Radiative transfer for inhomogeneous atmospheres: RRTM, a validated correlated-k model for the longwave journal July 1997
On the Nature of Soil Moisture in Land Surface Models journal August 2009
On the Distribution and Continuity of Water Substance in Atmospheric Circulations book January 1969
Development of a turbulence closure model for geophysical fluid problems journal January 1982
Integrating Cloud Processes in the Community Atmosphere Model, Version 5 journal September 2014
A Simple Parameterization of the Large-Scale Effects of Cumulus Convection journal December 1985
The Impact of Convection on ENSO: From a Delayed Oscillator to a Series of Events journal November 2008
Les 25 ans du système de prévision numérique du temps IFS/Arpège journal January 2015
The Midlatitude Continental Convective Clouds Experiment (MC3E) journal September 2016
A simplified Extended Kalman Filter for the global operational soil moisture analysis at ECMWF
  • de Rosnay, Patricia; Drusch, Matthias; Vasiljevic, Drasko
  • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Vol. 139, Issue 674 https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2023
journal September 2012
A New Cloud Physics Parameterization in a Large-Eddy Simulation Model of Marine Stratocumulus journal January 2000
The ERA-Interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system journal April 2011
A Hierarchy of Turbulence Closure Models for Planetary Boundary Layers journal October 1974
Combined influence of atmospheric physics and soil hydrology on the simulated meteorology at the SIRTA atmospheric observatory journal August 2012
Impacts of the triggering function of cumulus parameterization on warm-season diurnal rainfall cycles at the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement Southern Great Plains site: CONVECTIVE TRIGGER ON SGP NOCTURNAL RAIN journal October 2015
The Monte Carlo Independent Column Approximation: an assessment using several global atmospheric models
  • Barker, H. W.; Cole, J. N. S.; Morcrette, J. -J.
  • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Vol. 134, Issue 635 https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.303
journal July 2008
The Canadian Seasonal to Interannual Prediction System. Part I: Models and Initialization journal August 2013
Implementation of a New Assimilation Scheme for Soil and Surface Variables in a Global NWP Model journal April 2000
A Multiscale Nonhydrostatic Atmospheric Model Using Centroidal Voronoi Tesselations and C-Grid Staggering journal September 2012
Cloud-Ensemble Relations Based on the Gamma Probability Distribution for the Higher-Order Models of the Planetary Boundary Layer journal December 1982
An Overview of the Results of the Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project (AMIP I) journal January 1999
A mass-flux convection scheme for regional and global models journal April 2001
A Revised Hydrology for the ECMWF Model: Verification from Field Site to Terrestrial Water Storage and Impact in the Integrated Forecast System journal June 2009
CLOUDS AND MORE: ARM Climate Modeling Best Estimate Data: A New Data Product for Climate Studies journal January 2010
Unified Modeling and Prediction of Weather and Climate: A 25-Year Journey journal December 2012
Real‐time and retrospective forcing in the North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS) project journal October 2003
The Canadian Fourth Generation Atmospheric Global Climate Model (CanAM4). Part I: Representation of Physical Processes journal February 2013
Role of eastward propagating convection systems in the diurnal cycle and seasonal mean of summertime rainfall over the U.S. Great Plains journal January 2006
A turbulence scheme allowing for mesoscale and large-eddy simulations journal January 2000
On the Correspondence between Mean Forecast Errors and Climate Errors in CMIP5 Models journal February 2014
Causes of model dry and warm bias over central U.S. and impact on climate projections journal October 2017
CAUSES: Diagnosis of the Summertime Warm Bias in CMIP5 Climate Models at the ARM Southern Great Plains Site journal March 2018
Parameterization of the surface-layer exchange coefficients for atmospheric models journal August 1996
Design and performance of a new cloud microphysics scheme developed for the ECHAM general circulation model journal June 1996
Assessing the CAM5 physics suite in the WRF-Chem model: implementation, resolution sensitivity, and a first evaluation for a regional case study journal January 2014
A Simple Parameterization of Land Surface Processes for Meteorological Models journal March 1989
The Arm Climate Research Facility: A Review of Structure and Capabilities journal March 2013
The Gaussian Cloud Model Relations journal February 1977
The Variability of Modeled Tropical Precipitation journal August 2004
An improved hindcast approach for evaluation and diagnosis of physical processes in global climate models: AN IMPROVED HINDCAST APPROACH journal November 2015
Impact of a New Radiation Package, McRad, in the ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System journal December 2008
The multi-institution North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS): Utilizing multiple GCIP products and partners in a continental distributed hydrological modeling system journal January 2004
A scheme for predicting layer clouds and their water content in a general circulation model journal January 1990
Representing Equilibrium and Nonequilibrium Convection in Large-Scale Models journal February 2014
Using regime analysis to identify the contribution of clouds to surface temperature errors in weather and climate models: Cloud-Regime Analysis and Surface Temperature Errors
  • Van Weverberg, Kwinten; Morcrette, Cyril J.; Ma, Hsi-Yen
  • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Vol. 141, Issue 693 https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2603
journal September 2015
A parametric model of vertical eddy fluxes in the atmosphere journal September 1979
Black carbon ageing in the Canadian Centre for Climate modelling and analysis atmospheric general circulation model journal January 2005
The role of shallow convection in the water and energy cycles of the atmosphere journal October 2005
Impact of 3-D topography on surface radiation budget over the Tibetan Plateau journal September 2012
The SURFEXv7.2 land and ocean surface platform for coupled or offline simulation of earth surface variables and fluxes journal January 2013
Parameterization improvements and functional and structural advances in Version 4 of the Community Land Model journal January 2011
Operational assimilation of ASCAT surface soil wetness at the Met Office journal January 2011
CAUSES: On the Role of Surface Energy Budget Errors to the Warm Surface Air Temperature Error Over the Central United States journal March 2018
A variational method for orographic filtering in NWP and climate models journal July 2006
The CNRM-CM5.1 global climate model: description and basic evaluation journal January 2012