Projected wood energy impact on US forest wood resources

Conference · Fri Dec 31 04:00:00 EST 1993

OSTI ID:140271

Skog, K E ^[1]

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1. USDA Forest Service, Madison, WI (United States)

The USDA Forest Service has developed long-term projections of wood energy use as part of a 1993 assessment of demand for and supply of resources from forest and range lands in the United States. To assess the impact of wood energy demand on timber resources, a market equilibrium model based on linear programming was developed to project residential, industrial, commercial, and utility wood energy use from various wood energy sources: roundwood from various land sources, primary wood products mill residue, other wood residue, and black liquor. Baseline projections are driven by projected price of fossil fuels compared to price of wood fuels and the projected increase in total energy use in various end uses. Wood energy use is projected to increase from 2.67 quad in 1986 to 3.5 quad in 2030 and 3.7 quad in 2040. This is less than the DOE National Energy Strategy projection of 5.5 quad in 2030. Wood energy from forest sources (roundwood) is projected to increase from 3.1 billion (10{sup 9}) ft{sup 3} in 1986 to 4.4. billion ft{sup 3} in 2030 and 4.8 billion ft{sup 3} in 2040 (88, 124 and 136 million m{sup 3}, respectively). This rate of increase of roundwood use for fuel -- 0.8 percent per year -- is virtually the same as the projected increase rate for roundwood for pulpwood. Pulpwood roundwood is projected to increase from 4.2 billion ft{sup 3} in 1986 to 6.0 billion ft{sup 3} in 2030 and 6.4 billion ft{sup 3} in 2040 (119, 170 and 183 million m{sup 3}, respectively).

• Research Organization: National Renewable Energy Lab., Golden, CO (United States)
• OSTI ID: 140271
• Report Number(s): NREL/CP--200-5768-Vol.1; CONF-9308106--Vol.1; ON: DE93010050
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

09 BIOMASS FUELS
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
ENERGY DEMAND
ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS
FORECASTING
FORESTS
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES
RENEWABLE RESOURCES
RESOURCE MANAGEMENT
SOCIO-ECONOMIC FACTORS
WOOD FUELS
WOOD WASTES