Insights from a refined decomposition of cloud feedbacks

Zelinka, Mark D.; Zhou, Chen; Klein, Stephen A.

doi:10.1002/2016GL069917

Insights from a refined decomposition of cloud feedbacks

Journal Article · Mon Sep 05 00:00:00 EDT 2016 · Geophysical Research Letters

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL069917· OSTI ID:1357354

Zelinka, Mark D. ^[1]; Zhou, Chen ^[1]; Klein, Stephen A. ^[1]

Lawrence Livermore National Lab. (LLNL), Livermore, CA (United States)

Decomposing cloud feedback into components due to changes in several gross cloud properties provides valuable insights into its physical causes. Here we present a refined decomposition that separately considers changes in free tropospheric and low cloud properties, better connecting feedbacks to individual governing processes and avoiding ambiguities present in a commonly used decomposition. It reveals that three net cloud feedback components are robustly nonzero: positive feedbacks from increasing free tropospheric cloud altitude and decreasing low cloud cover and a negative feedback from increasing low cloud optical depth. Low cloud amount feedback is the dominant contributor to spread in net cloud feedback but its anticorrelation with other components damps overall spread. Furthermore, the ensemble mean free tropospheric cloud altitude feedback is roughly 60% as large as the standard cloud altitude feedback because it avoids aliasing in low cloud reductions. Implications for the “null hypothesis” climate sensitivity from well-understood and robustly simulated feedbacks are discussed.

View Accepted Manuscript (DOE)

Research Organization:: Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL), Livermore, CA (United States)

Sponsoring Organization:: USDOE

Grant/Contract Number:: AC52-07NA27344

OSTI ID:: 1357354

Alternate ID(s):: OSTI ID: 1402393

Report Number(s):: LLNL-JRNL--693677

Journal Information:: Geophysical Research Letters, Journal Name: Geophysical Research Letters Journal Issue: 17 Vol. 43; ISSN 0094-8276

Publisher:: American Geophysical UnionCopyright Statement

Country of Publication:: United States

Language:: English

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