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Title: IEA/ORAU. IEA/ORAU Long-Term Global Energy-CO2 Model

Technical Report ·
OSTI ID:140083
 [1]
  1. Oak Ridge National Lab., TN (United States)

The IEA/ORAU LONG-TERM GLOBAL ENERGY-CO2 MODEL is a mathematical model which integrates economic, demographic, technological, and geological factors to make long-term projections about global energy and CO2 and CH4 emissions. The model can make projections through the year 2100. The model divides the world into nine global regions: 1) the United States, 2) Western Europe and Canada, 3) Japan, Australia, and New Zealand, 4) USSR and Eastern Europe, 5) China and other Asian Centrally Planned Economies, 6) Mideast, 7) Africa, 8) Latin America, and 9) Southeast Asia, and consists primarily of four parts: demand, supply, energy balance, and CO2 and CH4 emissions. The model computes energy demand for each global region for the six major sources of energy: oil, gas, solids (e.g., coal and biomass), resource-constrained renewables (i.e., hydroelectric power), nuclear, and solar. Energy demand is a function of the population, labor productivity, economic activity, technological change, energy prices, and energy taxes in each of the nine global regions. Energy supply is disaggregated into renewable and non-renewable and is dependent upon resource constraints, behavioral assumptions, and energy prices for the various regions. In addition to the supply and demand for energy by region and forecast model, the model also estimates world and regional energy prices consistent with overall global energy balance. An emissions calculator for methane is incorporated in the model.

Research Organization:
Oak Ridge National Lab. (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE Office of Energy Research, Washington, DC (United States)
DOE Contract Number:
AC05-84OR21400
OSTI ID:
140083
Report Number(s):
ESTSC-000623IBMPC00; NESC-9527
Resource Relation:
Other Information: DN: The documentation for the personal computer model, which was developed to run on IBM PCs (DOS Version 3.0 and above), is available from the Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center (CDIAC). The executable version of the model and the FORTRAN source code files are available on IBM-formatted floppy diskettes, 5.25 or 3.5 high or low density. The Materials offered by CDIAC are available free-of charge. The address oc CDIAC follows: Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, P.O. Box 2008, Building 1000, MS6335, Oak Ridge Tennessee 37831-6335. Phone 615-574-0390. Fax 615-574-2232.; PBD: 1 Aug 1988
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English