Large historical growth in global terrestrial gross primary production

Campbell, J. E.; Berry, J. A.; Seibt, U.; Smith, S. J.; Montzka, S. A.; Launois, T.; Belviso, S.; Bopp, L.; Laine, M.

doi:10.1038/nature22030

Large historical growth in global terrestrial gross primary production

Journal Article · Wed Apr 05 00:00:00 EDT 2017 · Nature (London)

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1038/nature22030· OSTI ID:1398774

Campbell, J. E. ^[1]; Berry, J. A. ^[2]; Seibt, U. ^[3]; Smith, S. J. ^[4]; Montzka, S. A. ^[5]; Launois, T. ^[6]; Belviso, S. ^[7]; Bopp, L. ^[7]; Laine, M. ^[8]

Univ. of California, Merced, CA (United States). Sierra Nevada Research Inst.; uc santa cruz
Carnegie Inst. for Science, Stanford, CA (United States). Dept. of Global Ecology
Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA (United States). Dept. of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences
Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States). Joint Global Change Research Inst.
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Boulder, CO (United States). Earth System Research Lab.
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement (LSCE), Gif-sur-Yvette (France); French National Institute for Agricultural Research (INRA), Villenave-d'Ornon (France)
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement (LSCE), Gif-sur-Yvette (France)
Finnish Meteorological Inst. (FMI), Helsinki (Finland)

Growth in terrestrial gross primary production (GPP) may provide a negative feedback for climate change. It remains uncertain, however, to what extent biogeochemical processes can suppress global GPP growth. In consequence, model estimates of terrestrial carbon storage and carbon cycle –climate feedbacks remain poorly constrained. Here we present a global, measurement-based estimate of GPP growth during the twentieth century based on long-term atmospheric carbonyl sulphide (COS) records derived from ice core, firn, and ambient air samples. Here, we interpret these records using a model that simulates changes in COS concentration due to changes in its sources and sinks, including a large sink that is related to GPP. We find that the COS record is most consistent with climate-carbon cycle model simulations that assume large GPP growth during the twentieth century (31% ± 5%; mean ± 95% confidence interval). Finally, while this COS analysis does not directly constrain estimates of future GPP growth it provides a global-scale benchmark for historical carbon cycle simulations.

View Accepted Manuscript (DOE)

Research Organization:: UC Merced

Sponsoring Organization:: European Research Council (ERC); National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA); USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER) (SC-23)

Grant/Contract Number:: SC0011999

OSTI ID:: 1398774

Alternate ID(s):: OSTI ID: 1358471

Journal Information:: Nature (London), Journal Name: Nature (London) Journal Issue: 7648 Vol. 544; ISSN 0028-0836

Publisher:: Nature Publishing GroupCopyright Statement

Country of Publication:: United States

Language:: English

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