skip to main content
OSTI.GOV title logo U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

Title: Parameter estimation and predictive uncertainty in stochastic inverse modeling of groundwater flow: Comparing null-space Monte Carlo and multiple starting point methods: NULL-SPACE MONTE CARLO AND MULTIPLE STARTING POINT

Journal Article · · Water Resources Research
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1002/wrcr.20064· OSTI ID:1381230
 [1];  [1];  [1]
  1. Geoscience Research and Applications Center, Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque New Mexico USA

Research Organization:
Energy Frontier Research Centers (EFRC) (United States). Center for Frontiers of Subsurface Energy Security (CFSES)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE Office of Science (SC), Basic Energy Sciences (BES)
DOE Contract Number:
SC0001114
OSTI ID:
1381230
Journal Information:
Water Resources Research, Vol. 49, Issue 1; Related Information: CFSES partners with University of Texas at Austin (lead); Sandia National Laboratory; ISSN 0043-1397
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

References (34)

Optimization and uncertainty assessment of strongly nonlinear groundwater models with high parameter dimensionality journal October 2010
Non-uniqueness of inverse transmissivity field calibration and predictive transport modeling journal October 2003
Completely Derandomized Self-Adaptation in Evolution Strategies journal June 2001
Pilot Point Methodology for Automated Calibration of an Ensemble of Conditionally Simulated Transmissivity Fields: 2. Application journal March 1995
Two statistics for evaluating parameter identifiability and error reduction journal March 2009
Pilot Point Methodology for Automated Calibration of an Ensemble of conditionally Simulated Transmissivity Fields: 1. Theory and Computational Experiments journal March 1995
Efficient nonlinear predictive error variance for highly parameterized models: EFFICIENT NONLINEAR PREDICTIVE ERROR journal July 2007
Maximum likelihood Bayesian averaging of uncertain model predictions journal November 2003
Reducing the Time Complexity of the Derandomized Evolution Strategy with Covariance Matrix Adaptation (CMA-ES) journal March 2003
Incorporating subjective and stochastic uncertainty in an interactive multi-objective groundwater calibration framework journal May 2010
Understanding predictive uncertainty in hydrologic modeling: The challenge of identifying input and structural errors: IDENTIFIABILITY OF INPUT AND STRUCTURAL ERRORS journal May 2010
Universal scaling of hydraulic conductivities and dispersivities in geologic media journal August 1990
Role of the calibration process in reducing model predictive error: CALIBRATION AND MODEL PREDICTIVE ERROR journal May 2005
Shuffled complex evolution approach for effective and efficient global minimization journal March 1993
A full-Bayesian approach to the groundwater inverse problem for steady state flow journal August 2000
Comment on “Two statistics for evaluating parameter identifiability and error reduction” by John Doherty and Randall J. Hunt journal January 2010
Using a Cloud to Replenish Parched Groundwater Modeling Efforts journal March 2010
Response to Comment on “Two statistics for evaluating parameter identifiability and error reduction” journal January 2010
The future of distributed models: Model calibration and uncertainty prediction journal July 1992
Inverse stochastic moment analysis of steady state flow in randomly heterogeneous media: INVERSE STOCHASTIC MOMENT ANALYSIS journal May 2006
Highly parameterized inverse estimation of hydraulic conductivity and porosity in a three-dimensional, heterogeneous transport experiment: HIGHLY PARAMETERIZED INVERSE ESTIMATION IN 3-D journal October 2012
Nonlinear Regression book January 1989
Estimation of Aquifer Parameters Under Transient and Steady State Conditions: 1. Maximum Likelihood Method Incorporating Prior Information journal February 1986
Calibration-constrained Monte Carlo analysis of highly parameterized models using subspace techniques: CALIBRATION-CONSTRAINED SSMC ANALYSIS journal January 2009
A national reconnaissance of pharmaceuticals and other organic wastewater contaminants in the United States — I) Groundwater journal September 2008
Nonlocal and localized analyses of conditional mean steady state flow in bounded, randomly nonuniform domains: 1. Theory and computational approach journal October 1999
Dynamically dimensioned search algorithm for computationally efficient watershed model calibration: DYNAMICALLY DIMENSIONED SEARCH ALGORITHM journal January 2007
Regularized pilot points method for reproducing the effect of small scale variability: Application to simulations of contaminant transport journal June 2008
Ground Water Model Calibration Using Pilot Points and Regularization journal March 2003
A comparison of seven geostatistically based inverse approaches to estimate transmissivities for modeling advective transport by groundwater flow journal June 1998
Ignorance is bliss: Or seven reasons not to use uncertainty analysis: OPINION journal May 2006
A hybrid regularized inversion methodology for highly parameterized environmental models: HYBRID REGULARIZATION METHODOLOGY journal October 2005
A manifesto for the equifinality thesis journal March 2006
Effective and efficient global optimization for conceptual rainfall-runoff models journal April 1992