Bioenergy Supply and Environmental Impacts on Cropland: Insights from Multi-market Forecasts in a Great Lakes Subregional Bioeconomic Model

Journal Article · Sat Jan 03 00:00:00 EST 2015 · Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1093/aepp/ppu044· OSTI ID:1376315

Egbendewe-Mondzozo, Aklesso ^[1]; Swinton, Scott M. ^[1]; Kang, Shujiang ^[1]; Post, Wilfred M. ^[1]; Binfield, Julian C. ^[1]; Thompson, Wyatt ^[1]

---

1. Univ. of Lome, Lome (Togo)

Using subregional models of crop production choices in central Wisconsin and southwest Michigan, we predict biomass production, land use, and environmental impacts with details that are unavailable from national scale models. When biomass prices are raised exogenously, we find that the subregional models overestimate the supply, the land use, and the beneficial environmental aspects of perennial biomass crops. Multi-market price feedbacks tied to realistic policy parameters predict high threshold absolute prices for biomass to enter production, resulting in intensified production of biomass from annual grain crops with damaging environmental impacts. Multi-market feedbacks also predict regional specialization in energy biomass production in areas with lower yields of food crops. Furthermore, policies promoting biofuels will not necessarily generate environmental benefits in the absence of environmental regulations.

• Research Organization: Oak Ridge National Lab. (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States)
• Sponsoring Organization: USDOE
• DOE Contract Number: AC05-00OR22725
• OSTI ID: 1376315
• Journal Information: Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Vol. 37, Issue 4; ISSN 2040-5790
• Publisher: Oxford University Press
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
09 BIOMASS FUELS
60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES
Land use
environmental impact
biofuels