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Title: Bioenergy Supply and Environmental Impacts on Cropland: Insights from Multi-market Forecasts in a Great Lakes Subregional Bioeconomic Model

Abstract

Using subregional models of crop production choices in central Wisconsin and southwest Michigan, we predict biomass production, land use, and environmental impacts with details that are unavailable from national scale models. When biomass prices are raised exogenously, we find that the subregional models overestimate the supply, the land use, and the beneficial environmental aspects of perennial biomass crops. Multi-market price feedbacks tied to realistic policy parameters predict high threshold absolute prices for biomass to enter production, resulting in intensified production of biomass from annual grain crops with damaging environmental impacts. Multi-market feedbacks also predict regional specialization in energy biomass production in areas with lower yields of food crops. Furthermore, policies promoting biofuels will not necessarily generate environmental benefits in the absence of environmental regulations.

Authors:
 [1];  [1];  [1];  [1];  [1];  [1]
  1. Univ. of Lome, Lome (Togo)
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Oak Ridge National Lab. (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE
OSTI Identifier:
1376315
DOE Contract Number:
AC05-00OR22725
Resource Type:
Journal Article
Resource Relation:
Journal Name: Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy; Journal Volume: 37; Journal Issue: 4
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; 09 BIOMASS FUELS; 60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES; Land use; environmental impact; biofuels

Citation Formats

Egbendewe-Mondzozo, Aklesso, Swinton, Scott M., Kang, Shujiang, Post, Wilfred M., Binfield, Julian C., and Thompson, Wyatt. Bioenergy Supply and Environmental Impacts on Cropland: Insights from Multi-market Forecasts in a Great Lakes Subregional Bioeconomic Model. United States: N. p., 2015. Web. doi:10.1093/aepp/ppu044.
Egbendewe-Mondzozo, Aklesso, Swinton, Scott M., Kang, Shujiang, Post, Wilfred M., Binfield, Julian C., & Thompson, Wyatt. Bioenergy Supply and Environmental Impacts on Cropland: Insights from Multi-market Forecasts in a Great Lakes Subregional Bioeconomic Model. United States. doi:10.1093/aepp/ppu044.
Egbendewe-Mondzozo, Aklesso, Swinton, Scott M., Kang, Shujiang, Post, Wilfred M., Binfield, Julian C., and Thompson, Wyatt. Sat . "Bioenergy Supply and Environmental Impacts on Cropland: Insights from Multi-market Forecasts in a Great Lakes Subregional Bioeconomic Model". United States. doi:10.1093/aepp/ppu044.
@article{osti_1376315,
title = {Bioenergy Supply and Environmental Impacts on Cropland: Insights from Multi-market Forecasts in a Great Lakes Subregional Bioeconomic Model},
author = {Egbendewe-Mondzozo, Aklesso and Swinton, Scott M. and Kang, Shujiang and Post, Wilfred M. and Binfield, Julian C. and Thompson, Wyatt},
abstractNote = {Using subregional models of crop production choices in central Wisconsin and southwest Michigan, we predict biomass production, land use, and environmental impacts with details that are unavailable from national scale models. When biomass prices are raised exogenously, we find that the subregional models overestimate the supply, the land use, and the beneficial environmental aspects of perennial biomass crops. Multi-market price feedbacks tied to realistic policy parameters predict high threshold absolute prices for biomass to enter production, resulting in intensified production of biomass from annual grain crops with damaging environmental impacts. Multi-market feedbacks also predict regional specialization in energy biomass production in areas with lower yields of food crops. Furthermore, policies promoting biofuels will not necessarily generate environmental benefits in the absence of environmental regulations.},
doi = {10.1093/aepp/ppu044},
journal = {Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy},
number = 4,
volume = 37,
place = {United States},
year = {Sat Jan 03 00:00:00 EST 2015},
month = {Sat Jan 03 00:00:00 EST 2015}
}