skip to main content
OSTI.GOV title logo U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

Title: Nonlinear CO2 flux response to 7 years of experimentally induced permafrost thaw

Journal Article · · Global Change Biology
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13661· OSTI ID:1351785
ORCiD logo [1];  [2];  [1];  [2];  [3];  [1];  [4];  [1];  [2];  [1]
  1. Northern Arizona Univ., Flagstaff, AZ (United States)
  2. Univ. of Florida, Gainesville, FL (United States)
  3. Woods Hole Research Center, Falmouth, MA (United States)
  4. Oak Ridge National Lab. (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States)

Abstract Rapid Arctic warming is expected to increase global greenhouse gas concentrations as permafrost thaw exposes immense stores of frozen carbon (C) to microbial decomposition. Permafrost thaw also stimulates plant growth, which could offset C loss. Using data from 7 years of experimental Air and Soil warming in moist acidic tundra, we show that Soil warming had a much stronger effect on CO 2 flux than Air warming. Soil warming caused rapid permafrost thaw and increased ecosystem respiration (R eco ), gross primary productivity ( GPP ), and net summer CO 2 storage ( NEE ). Over 7 years R eco , GPP , and NEE also increased in Control (i.e., ambient plots), but this change could be explained by slow thaw in Control areas. In the initial stages of thaw, R eco , GPP , and NEE increased linearly with thaw across all treatments, despite different rates of thaw. As thaw in Soil warming continued to increase linearly, ground surface subsidence created saturated microsites and suppressed R eco , GPP , and NEE . However R eco and GPP remained high in areas with large Eriophorum vaginatum biomass. In general NEE increased with thaw, but was more strongly correlated with plant biomass than thaw, indicating that higher R eco in deeply thawed areas during summer months was balanced by GPP . Summer CO 2 flux across treatments fit a single quadratic relationship that captured the functional response of CO 2 flux to thaw, water table depth, and plant biomass. These results demonstrate the importance of indirect thaw effects on CO 2 flux: plant growth and water table dynamics. Nonsummer R eco models estimated that the area was an annual CO 2 source during all years of observation. Nonsummer CO 2 loss in warmer, more deeply thawed soils exceeded the increases in summer GPP , and thawed tundra was a net annual CO 2 source.

Research Organization:
Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER)
Grant/Contract Number:
AC05-00OR22725; SC0006982; SC0014085
OSTI ID:
1351785
Alternate ID(s):
OSTI ID: 1373823
Journal Information:
Global Change Biology, Vol. 23, Issue 9; ISSN 1354-1013
Publisher:
WileyCopyright Statement
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Citation Metrics:
Cited by: 57 works
Citation information provided by
Web of Science

References (111)

Responses of Arctic Tundra to Experimental and Observed Changes in Climate journal April 1995
Decomposition of old organic matter as a result of deeper active layers in a snow depth manipulation experiment journal January 2010
Response of NDVI, biomass, and ecosystem gas exchange to long-term warming and fertilization in wet sedge tundra journal March 2003
Controls on ecosystem and root respiration across a permafrost and wetland gradient in interior Alaska journal December 2013
Pan-Arctic modelling of net ecosystem exchange of CO 2 journal August 2013
The unseen iceberg: plant roots in arctic tundra journal September 2014
Temperature and substrate controls on intra-annual variation in ecosystem respiration in two subarctic vegetation types journal March 2005
Increased photosynthesis compensates for shorter growing season in subarctic tundra—8 years of snow accumulation manipulations journal September 2014
Response of CO 2 exchange in a tussock tundra ecosystem to permafrost thaw and thermokarst development journal January 2009
Temperature and Plant Species Control Over Litter Decomposition in Alaskan Tundra journal February 1996
CLIMATE CHANGE: Permafrost and the Global Carbon Budget journal June 2006
Effects of Experimental Water Table and Temperature Manipulations on Ecosystem CO2 Fluxes in an Alaskan Rich Fen journal October 2009
From The Cover: Plant community responses to experimental warming across the tundra biome journal January 2006
An assessment of the carbon balance of Arctic tundra: comparisons among observations, process models, and atmospheric inversions journal January 2012
The Effects of Permafrost Thaw on Soil Hydrologic, Thermal, and Carbon Dynamics in an Alaskan Peatland journal November 2011
Winter precipitation and snow accumulation drive the methane sink or source strength of Arctic tussock tundra journal May 2016
Long-term increases in snow pack elevate leaf N and photosynthesis in Salix arctica : responses to a snow fence experiment in the High Arctic of NW Greenland journal June 2013
Interactions between Carbon and Nitrogen Mineralization and Soil Organic Matter Chemistry in Arctic Tundra Soils journal March 2003
Experiment, monitoring, and gradient methods used to infer climate change effects on plant communities yield consistent patterns journal December 2014
Autumn warming reduces the CO 2 sink of a black spruce forest in interior Alaska based on a nine-year eddy covariance measurement journal February 2014
Biomass offsets little or none of permafrost carbon release from soils, streams, and wildfire: an expert assessment journal March 2016
CO2 exchange in three Canadian High Arctic ecosystems: response to long-term experimental warming journal December 2004
Nitrogen Cycling and the Spread of Shrubs Control Changes in the Carbon Balance of Arctic Tundra Ecosystems journal January 2005
Changes in the structure and function of northern Alaskan ecosystems when considering variable leaf-out times across groupings of species in a dynamic vegetation model journal January 2014
Open-top designs for manipulating field temperature in high-latitude ecosystems journal December 1997
Increased wintertime CO 2 loss as a result of sustained tundra warming : Tundra Wintertime CO journal February 2016
The effect of permafrost thaw on old carbon release and net carbon exchange from tundra journal May 2009
PLANT CARBON–NUTRIENT INTERACTIONS CONTROL CO 2 EXCHANGE IN ALASKAN WET SEDGE TUNDRA ECOSYSTEMS journal February 2000
Pan-Arctic ice-wedge degradation in warming permafrost and its influence on tundra hydrology journal March 2016
A general and simple method for obtaining R 2 from generalized linear mixed-effects models journal December 2012
Vegetation, climatic changes and net carbon sequestration in a North-Scandinavian subarctic mire over 30 years journal October 2005
What is the relationship between changes in canopy leaf area and changes in photosynthetic CO 2 flux in arctic ecosystems? journal January 2007
Long-term experimental manipulation of winter snow regime and summer temperature in arctic and alpine tundra journal October 1999
Decadal warming causes a consistent and persistent shift from heterotrophic to autotrophic respiration in contrasting permafrost ecosystems journal September 2015
Increasing shrub abundance in the Arctic journal May 2001
Recent change of Arctic tundra ecosystems from a net carbon dioxide sink to a source journal February 1993
Estimated stocks of circumpolar permafrost carbon with quantified uncertainty ranges and identified data gaps journal January 2014
Environmental and Vegetation Drivers of Seasonal CO2 Fluxes in a Sub-arctic Forest–Mire Ecotone journal November 2013
Effects of experimental warming of air, soil and permafrost on carbon balance in Alaskan tundra: WARMING OF ALASKAN TUNDRA journal February 2011
Direct and indirect effects of temperature on arctic plants journal June 1983
TUNDRA CO 2 FLUXES IN RESPONSE TO EXPERIMENTAL WARMING ACROSS LATITUDINAL AND MOISTURE GRADIENTS journal May 2007
Carbon turnover in Alaskan tundra soils: effects of organic matter quality, temperature, moisture and fertilizer journal May 2006
Growing season and spatial variations of carbon fluxes of Arctic and boreal ecosystems in Alaska (USA) journal December 2013
Mixed effects models and extensions in ecology with R book January 2009
Plant Species Composition and Productivity following Permafrost Thaw and Thermokarst in Alaskan Tundra journal March 2007
Extension of Nakagawa & Schielzeth's R 2 GLMM to random slopes models journal July 2014
THE RESPONSE OF TUNDRA PLANT BIOMASS, ABOVEGROUND PRODUCTION, NITROGEN, AND CO 2 FLUX TO EXPERIMENTAL WARMING journal July 1998
Permafrost Destabilization and Thermokarst Following Snow Fence Installation, Barrow, Alaska, U.S.A journal November 2006
Permafrost soils and carbon cycling journal January 2015
Old soil carbon losses increase with ecosystem respiration in experimentally thawed tundra journal October 2015
Thawing permafrost increases old soil and autotrophic respiration in tundra: Partitioning ecosystem respiration using δ 13 C and ∆ 14 C journal November 2012
A synthesis: The role of nutrients as constraints on carbon balances in boreal and arctic regions journal May 2002
Seven-year trends of CO 2 exchange in a tundra ecosystem affected by long-term permafrost thaw : CARBON EXCHANGE IN THAWING TUNDRA journal June 2012
Effects of drainage and temperature on carbon balance of tussock tundra micrososms journal December 1996
Impact of hydrological variations on modeling of peatland CO 2 fluxes: Results from the North American Carbon Program site synthesis : MODELED AND OBSERVED PEATLAND CO journal March 2012
BIOMASS AND CO 2 FLUX IN WET SEDGE TUNDRAS: RESPONSES TO NUTRIENTS, TEMPERATURE, AND LIGHT journal February 1998
Wintertime CO 2 efflux from Arctic soils: Implications for annual carbon budgets journal September 1999
Long-term ecosystem level experiments at Toolik Lake, Alaska, and at Abisko, Northern Sweden: generalizations and differences in ecosystem and plant type responses to global change journal January 2004
Increased plant productivity in Alaskan tundra as a result of experimental warming of soil and permafrost: Increased plant productivity in Alaskan tundra journal November 2011
Soil organic carbon pools in the northern circumpolar permafrost region: SOIL ORGANIC CARBON POOLS journal June 2009
Field information links permafrost carbon to physical vulnerabilities of thawing: C AND N VULERABLITIES OF THAWING journal August 2012
Vulnerability of Permafrost Carbon to Climate Change: Implications for the Global Carbon Cycle journal September 2008
Climate change and the permafrost carbon feedback journal April 2015
Sensitivity of C Sequestration in Reintroduced Sphagnum to Water-Level Variation in a Cutaway Peatland journal December 2004
Sensitivity and response of northern hemisphere altitudinal and polar treelines to environmental change at landscape and local scales: Treeline and environmental change journal August 2005
Effects of permafrost thaw on nitrogen availability and plant–soil interactions in a boreal Alaskan lowland journal July 2016
Permafrost degradation stimulates carbon loss from experimentally warmed tundra journal March 2014
Rapid responses of permafrost and vegetation to experimentally increased snow cover in sub-arctic Sweden journal August 2013
Annual patterns and budget of CO 2 flux in an Arctic tussock tundra ecosystem journal March 2014
Responses of Tundra Plants to Experimental Warming:Meta-Analysis of the International Tundra Experiment journal November 1999
Experimental Warming Alters Productivity and Isotopic Signatures of Tundra Mosses journal May 2015
Permafrost Degradation and Ecological Changes Associated with a WarmingClimate in Central Alaska journal March 2001
Tundra ecosystems observed to be CO 2 sources due to differential amplification of the carbon cycle journal August 2013
Physical and ecological changes associated with warming permafrost and thermokarst in Interior Alaska journal July 2009
Nitrogen availability increases in a tundra ecosystem during five years of experimental permafrost thaw journal February 2016
Ecosystem carbon storage in arctic tundra reduced by long-term nutrient fertilization journal September 2004
The timing of snow melt controls the annual CO 2 balance in a subarctic fen journal January 2004
Permafrost thaw and soil moisture driving CO 2 and CH 4 release from upland tundra journal March 2015
The response of Alaskan arctic tundra to experimental warming: differences between short- and long-term responses journal April 2005
Effects of unfrozen water on heat and mass transport processes in the active layer and permafrost journal January 2000
Landscape and Ecosystem-Level Controls on Net Carbon Dioxide Exchange along a Natural Moisture Gradient in Canadian Low Arctic Tundra journal March 2008
Seasonal patterns of carbon dioxide and water fluxes in three representative tundra ecosystems in northern Alaska journal January 2012
Moisture drives surface decomposition in thawing tundra: DECOMPOSITION IN THAWING TUNDRA journal July 2013
Random effects structure for confirmatory hypothesis testing: Keep it maximal journal April 2013
Methane fluxes during the initiation of a large-scale water table manipulation experiment in the Alaskan Arctic tundra: WATER TABLE IMPACTS ON METHANE FLUXES journal May 2009
Long-term CO2 production following permafrost thaw journal July 2013
Long-term experimental warming and nutrient additions increase productivity in tall deciduous shrub tundra journal June 2014
A frozen feast: thawing permafrost increases plant-available nitrogen in subarctic peatlands journal March 2012
Global distribution of soil organic carbon – Part 1: Masses and frequency distributions of SOC stocks for the tropics, permafrost regions, wetlands, and the world journal January 2015
Physiological responses of two contrasting desert plant species to precipitation variability are differentially regulated by soil moisture and nitrogen dynamics journal May 2009
Observational Evidence of Recent Change in the Northern High-Latitude Environment journal January 2000
Respiration and Microbial Dynamics in Two Subarctic Ecosystems during Winter and Spring Thaw: Effects of Increased Snow Depth journal May 2007
Plant functional types do not predict biomass responses to removal and fertilization in Alaskan tussock tundra journal July 2008
Incorporating spatial heterogeneity created by permafrost thaw into a landscape carbon estimate: SPATIAL VARIATION IN CARBON EXCHANGE journal March 2012
Differential response of carbon fluxes to climate in three peatland ecosystems that vary in the presence and stability of permafrost: Carbon fluxes and permafrost thaw journal August 2014
Thermal Regime of Permafrost in Alaska and Predicted Global Warming journal March 1990
Small-scale hydrological variation determines landscape CO2 fluxes in the high Arctic journal June 2006
Permafrost carbon-climate feedbacks accelerate global warming journal August 2011
Effects of Temperature and Substrate Quality on Element Mineralization in Six Arctic Soils journal February 1991
Reduction in areal extent of high-latitude wetlands in response to permafrost thaw journal June 2011
Response of Arctic ecosystems to climate change: results of long-term field experiments in Sweden and Alaska journal December 1999
Identifying the sources and uncertainties of ecosystem respiration in Arctic tussock tundra journal August 2014
Response of Arctic ecosystems to climate change: results of long-term field experiments in Sweden and Alaska journal January 1999
Vegetation responses in Alaskan arctic tundra after 8 years of a summer warming and winter snow manipulation experiment journal April 2005
Variability in the sensitivity among model simulations of permafrost and carbon dynamics in the permafrost region between 1960 and 2009: MODELING PERMAFROST CARBON DYNAMICS journal July 2016
The effects of water table manipulation and elevated temperature on the net CO 2 flux of wet sedge tundra ecosystems journal January 1998
Reorganization of vegetation, hydrology and soil carbon after permafrost degradation across heterogeneous boreal landscapes journal July 2013
Carbon respiration from subsurface peat accelerated by climate warming in the subarctic journal July 2009
Permafrost carbon−climate feedback is sensitive to deep soil carbon decomposability but not deep soil nitrogen dynamics journal March 2015
An assessment of the carbon balance of arctic tundra: comparisons among observations, process models, and atmospheric inversions journal January 2012
Permafrost soils and carbon cycling journal January 2014

Cited By (17)

Tundra is a consistent source of CO 2 at a site with progressive permafrost thaw during 6 years of chamber and eddy covariance measurements : Tundra CO journal June 2017
Increased CO2 efflux due to long-term experimental summer warming and litter input in subarctic tundra – CO2 fluxes at snowmelt, in growing season, fall and winter journal September 2019
Interactions Between Land-Use Change and Climate-Carbon Cycle Feedbacks journal April 2018
Direct observation of permafrost degradation and rapid soil carbon loss in tundra journal July 2019
Below-ground plant traits influence tundra plant acquisition of newly thawed permafrost nitrogen journal September 2018
Increasing canopy photosynthesis in rice can be achieved without a large increase in water use—A model based on free‐air CO 2 enrichment journal December 2017
Biotic responses buffer warming-induced soil organic carbon loss in Arctic tundra journal June 2018
Ecosystem carbon response of an Arctic peatland to simulated permafrost thaw journal February 2019
Model parameterization to represent processes at unresolved scales and changing properties of evolving systems journal January 2020
Mycobiont contribution to tundra plant acquisition of permafrost‐derived nitrogen journal January 2020
Partitioning net ecosystem exchange of CO 2 on the pedon scale in the Lena River Delta, Siberia journal January 2019
High mesophyll conductance in the high-yielding rice cultivar Takanari quantified with the combined gas exchange and chlorophyll fluorescence measurements under free-air CO2 enrichment text January 2019
High mesophyll conductance in the high-yielding rice cultivar Takanari quantified with the combined gas exchange and chlorophyll fluorescence measurements under free-air CO 2 enrichment journal July 2019
Divergent patterns of experimental and model-derived permafrost ecosystem carbon dynamics in response to Arctic warming journal October 2018
Denitrifiers, nitrogen-fixing bacteria and N2O soil gas flux in high Arctic ice-wedge polygon cryosols journal April 2019
Soil moisture and hydrology projections of the permafrost region – a model intercomparison journal January 2020
Species interactions and distinct microbial communities in high Arctic permafrost affected cryosols are associated with the CH 4 and CO 2 gas fluxes journal July 2019