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Title: Combining multiple lower-fidelity models for emulating complex model responses for CCS environmental risk assessment

Journal Article · · International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control
 [1];  [1];  [1]
  1. Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States)
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Numerical modeling is essential to support natural resource management and environmental policy-making. In the context of CO2 geological sequestration, these models are indispensible parts of risk assessment tools. However, because of increasing complexity, modern numerical models require a great computational effort, which in some cases may be infeasible. An increasingly popular approach to overcome computational limitations is the use of surrogate models. This paper presents a new surrogate modeling approach to reduce the computational cost of running a complex, high-fidelity model. The approach is based on the simplification the high-fidelity model into computationally efficient, lower-fidelity models and on linking them with a mathematical function (linking function) that addresses the discrepancies between outputs from models with different levels of fidelity. The resulting linking function model, which can be developed with small computational effort, can be efficiently used in numerical applications where multiple runs of the original high-fidelity model are required, such as for uncertainty quantification or sensitivity analysis. The proposed approach was then applied to the development of a reduced order model for the prediction of groundwater quality impacts from CO2 and brine leakage for the National Risk Assessment Partnership (NRAP) project.

Research Organization:
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE Office of Fossil Energy (FE)
Grant/Contract Number:
AC02-05CH11231
OSTI ID:
1474924
Alternate ID(s):
OSTI ID: 1337579
Journal Information:
International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control, Vol. 46, Issue C; ISSN 1750-5836
Publisher:
ElsevierCopyright Statement
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Citation Metrics:
Cited by: 11 works
Citation information provided by
Web of Science

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Cited By (2)

Data-driven Surrogate Model Approach for Improving the Performance of Reactive Transport Simulations journal November 2016
Data-informed Emulators for Multi-Physics Simulations preprint January 2020

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54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING
risk assessment
model
reduced order model
groundwater
surrogate modeling