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U.S. Department of Energy
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Collaborative Proposal: Improving Decadal Prediction of Arctic Climate Variability and Change Using a Regional Arctic System Model (RASM)

Technical Report ·
DOI:https://doi.org/10.2172/1330744· OSTI ID:1330744
 [1]
  1. Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA (United States); Naval Postgraduate School
This project aims to develop, apply and evaluate a regional Arctic System model (RASM) for enhanced decadal predictions. Its overarching goal is to advance understanding of the past and present states of arctic climate and to facilitate improvements in seasonal to decadal predictions. In particular, it will focus on variability and long-term change of energy and freshwater flows through the arctic climate system. The project will also address modes of natural climate variability as well as extreme and rapid climate change in a region of the Earth that is: (i) a key indicator of the state of global climate through polar amplification and (ii) which is undergoing environmental transitions not seen in instrumental records. RASM will readily allow the addition of other earth system components, such as ecosystem or biochemistry models, thus allowing it to facilitate studies of climate impacts (e.g., droughts and fires) and of ecosystem adaptations to these impacts. As such, RASM is expected to become a foundation for more complete Arctic System models and part of a model hierarchy important for improving climate modeling and predictions.
Research Organization:
Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER) (SC-23)
DOE Contract Number:
SC0005783
OSTI ID:
1330744
Report Number(s):
Final Report: DOE-NPS--0005783-1
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

References (19)

Comparison of wintertime mesoscale winds over the ocean around southeastern Greenland in WRF and ERA-Interim journal June 2015
Multiregime states of Arctic atmospheric circulation journal January 2011
Simulating transient ice-ocean Ekman transport in the Regional Arctic System Model and Community Earth System Model journal January 2015
The climatological distribution of extreme Arctic winds and implications for ocean and sea ice processes journal August 2015
The Future of Arctic Sea Ice journal May 2012
Land Surface Climate in the Regional Arctic System Model journal September 2016
Implementation and Initial Evaluation of the Glimmer Community Ice Sheet Model in the Community Earth System Model journal October 2013
A technique for generating consistent ice sheet initial conditions for coupled ice sheet/climate models journal January 2014
WRF summer extreme daily precipitation over the CORDEX Arctic journal February 2014
WRF winter extreme daily precipitation over the North American CORDEX Arctic: WRF ARCTIC WINTER EXTREME PRECIPITATION journal September 2014
Evaluation and control mechanisms of volume and freshwater export through the Canadian Arctic Archipelago in a high-resolution pan-Arctic ice-ocean model: CANADIAN ARCHIPELAGO THROUGHFLOW journal March 2012
Performance of the Weather Research and Forecasting Model for Month-Long Pan-Arctic Simulations journal November 2011
Evaluation of WRF Model Resolution on Simulated Mesoscale Winds and Surface Fluxes near Greenland journal March 2013
Effects of Spectral Nudging in WRF on Arctic Temperature and Precipitation Simulations journal June 2013
The pattern of anthropogenic signal emergence in Greenland Ice Sheet surface mass balance journal August 2014
Future climate warming increases Greenland ice sheet surface mass balance variability journal January 2014
Winter Atmospheric Buoyancy Forcing and Oceanic Response during Strong Wind Events around Southeastern Greenland in the Regional Arctic System Model (RASM) for 1990–2010 journal February 2016
Exploration of turbulent heat fluxes and wind stress curl in WRF and ERA-Interim during wintertime mesoscale wind events around southeastern Greenland: SURFACE FORCING BY STRONG ARCTIC WINDS journal May 2015
Analysis of WRF extreme daily precipitation over Alaska using self-organizing maps: WRF PRECIPITATION EXTREMES OVER ALASKA journal July 2016