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Improving the representation of hydrologic processes in Earth System Models

Journal Article · · Water Resources Research
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1002/2015WR017096· OSTI ID:1229939
 [1];  [2];  [1];  [3];  [4];  [1];  [5];  [6];  [7];  [8];  [9];  [10];  [1];  [11]
  1. National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder Colorado USA
  2. Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Rutgers University, New Brunswick New Jersey USA
  3. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Washington State University, Pullman Washington USA
  4. Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering and Earth Sciences, University of Notre Dame, South Bend Indiana USA
  5. The Consortium of Universities for the Advancement of Hydrologic Science, Inc.
  6. Nichols Schools of Environment, Duke University, Durham North Carolina USA
  7. Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland Washington USA
  8. Department of Geography, University at Buffalo, State University of New York, Buffalo New York USA
  9. Department of Geology and Geological Engineering, Colorado School of Mines, Golden Colorado USA
  10. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Pennsylvania State University, State College Pennsylvania USA
  11. Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Arizona, Tucson Arizona USA
Many of the scientific and societal challenges in understanding and preparing for global environmental change rest upon our ability to understand and predict the water cycle change at large river basin, continent, and global scales. However, current large-scale models, such as the land components of Earth System Models (ESMs), do not yet represent the terrestrial water cycle in a fully integrated manner or resolve the finer-scale processes that can dominate large-scale water budgets. This paper reviews the current representation of hydrologic processes in ESMs and identifies the key opportunities for improvement. This review suggests that (1) the development of ESMs has not kept pace with modeling advances in hydrology, both through neglecting key processes (e.g., groundwater) and neglecting key aspects of spatial variability and hydrologic connectivity; and (2) many modeling advances in hydrology can readily be incorporated into ESMs and substantially improve predictions of the water cycle. Accelerating modeling advances in ESMs requires comprehensive hydrologic benchmarking activities, in order to systematically evaluate competing modeling alternatives, understand model weaknesses, and prioritize model development needs. This demands stronger collaboration, both through greater engagement of hydrologists in ESM development and through more detailed evaluation of ESM processes in research watersheds. Advances in the representation of hydrologic process in ESMs can substantially improve energy, carbon and nutrient cycle prediction capabilities through the fundamental role the water cycle plays in regulating these cycles.
Research Organization:
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE
Grant/Contract Number:
AC05-76RL01830
OSTI ID:
1229939
Report Number(s):
PNNL-SA--108240; KP1703020
Journal Information:
Water Resources Research, Journal Name: Water Resources Research Journal Issue: 8 Vol. 51; ISSN 0043-1397
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union (AGU)Copyright Statement
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

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Open science in practice: Learning integrated modeling of coupled surface-subsurface flow processes from scratch: Reusable Simulation of Hydrologic Models journal May 2016
Accelerating advances in continental domain hydrologic modeling: ACCELERATING ADVANCES IN CONTINENTAL HYDROLOGIC MODELING journal December 2015
Fifty years of Water Resources Research : Legacy and perspectives for the science of hydrology: FIFTY YEARS OF WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH journal September 2015
Influences and interactions of inundation, peat, and snow on active layer thickness journal May 2016
Studying the influence of groundwater representations on land surface-atmosphere feedbacks during the European heat wave in 2003: Groundwater Feedbacks on 2003 Heat Wave journal November 2016
Improving Budyko curve-based estimates of long-term water partitioning using hydrologic signatures from GRACE: PREDICTING DEPARTURE FROM BUDYKO USING GRACE journal July 2016
Improving the realism of hydrologic model functioning through multivariate parameter estimation: IMPROVING THE REALISM OF HYDROLOGIC MODEL FUNCTIONING journal October 2016
Regional patterns of future runoff changes from Earth system models constrained by observation: Future Runoff Change journal June 2017
A Systematic Evaluation of Noah-MP in Simulating Land-Atmosphere Energy, Water, and Carbon Exchanges Over the Continental United States: Noah-MP Evaluation in CONUS journal November 2017
A Comparison of the Diel Cycle of Modeled and Measured Latent Heat Flux During the Warm Season in a Colorado Subalpine Forest journal March 2018
Blue Water Trade‐Offs With Vegetation in a CO 2 ‐Enriched Climate journal April 2018
When is a hydrological model sufficiently calibrated to depict flow preferences of riverine species? journal April 2020
Integrating geographically isolated wetlands into land management decisions journal June 2017
Plant source water apportionment using stable isotopes: A comparison of simple linear, two-compartment mixing model approaches journal July 2017
Moving beyond run-off calibration-Multivariable optimization of a surface-subsurface-atmosphere model journal July 2018
Improvement of surface run‐off in the hydrological model ParFlow by a scale‐consistent river parameterization journal April 2019
Green infrastructure and its catchment-scale effects: an emerging science: Green infrastructure and its catchment-scale effects journal September 2017
On the Sensitivity of the Precipitation Partitioning Into Evapotranspiration and Runoff in Land Surface Parameterizations journal January 2019
Exploiting Soil Moisture, Precipitation, and Streamflow Observations to Evaluate Soil Moisture/Runoff Coupling in Land Surface Models journal May 2018
Impact of Lateral Terrestrial Water Flow on Land‐Atmosphere Interactions in the Heihe River Basin in China: Fully Coupled Modeling and Precipitation Recycling Analysis journal August 2019
Development and Verification of a Numerical Library for Solving Global Terrestrial Multiphysics Problems journal June 2019
Global Isotope Hydrogeology―Review journal July 2019
A Transdisciplinary Review of Deep Learning Research and Its Relevance for Water Resources Scientists journal November 2018
Distributed Plant Hydraulic and Hydrological Modeling to Understand the Susceptibility of Riparian Woodland Trees to Drought‐Induced Mortality journal July 2018
Sensitivity of Global Hydrological Simulations to Groundwater Capillary Flux Parameterizations journal January 2019
Hillslope Hydrology in Global Change Research and Earth System Modeling journal February 2019
A Comprehensive Distributed Hydrological Modeling Intercomparison to Support Process Representation and Data Collection Strategies journal February 2019
Contrasting Hydroclimatic Model‐Data Agreements Over the Nordic‐Arctic Region journal December 2019
Representing Intrahillslope Lateral Subsurface Flow in the Community Land Model journal December 2019
Modeling Variably Saturated Flow in Stratified Soils With Explicit Tracking of Wetting Front and Water Table Locations journal October 2019
Improving the Predictive Skill of a Distributed Hydrological Model by Calibration on Spatial Patterns With Multiple Satellite Data Sets journal January 2020
The potential to reduce uncertainty in regional runoff projections from climate models journal November 2019
Climate-induced changes in continental-scale soil macroporosity may intensify water cycle journal September 2018
Relative contribution of groundwater to plant transpiration estimated with stable isotopes journal September 2017
Prevalence and magnitude of groundwater use by vegetation: a global stable isotope meta-analysis journal March 2017
Is land surface processes representation a possible weak link in current Regional Climate Models? journal July 2016
Towards Real-Time Continental Scale Streamflow Simulation in Continuous and Discrete Space journal October 2017
Simulating the sensitivity of evapotranspiration and streamflow to large-scale groundwater depletion journal June 2019
Connections between groundwater flow and transpiration partitioning journal July 2016
Global extent of rivers and streams journal June 2018
When is a hydrological model sufficiently calibrated to depict flow preferences of riverine species? text January 2020
The TERENO-Rur Hydrological Observatory: A Multiscale Multi-Compartment Research Platform for the Advancement of Hydrological Science journal January 2018
Diagnosis of the hydrology of a small Arctic permafrost catchment using HBV conceptual rainfall-runoff model journal January 2019
When is a hydrological model sufficiently calibrated to depict flow preferences of riverine species? text January 2020
Watershed Hydrology: Scientific Advances and Environmental Assessments journal March 2018
Is land surface processes representation a possible weak link in current Regional Climate Models? text January 2016
LS3MIP (v1.0) contribution to CMIP6: The Land Surface, Snow and Soil moisture Model Intercomparison Project - Aims, setup and expected outcome text January 2016
A Budyko framework for estimating how spatial heterogeneity and lateral moisture redistribution affect average evapotranspiration rates as seen from the atmosphere text January 2017
Accelerating advances in continental domain hydrologic modeling text January 2015
Coupling a three-dimensional subsurface flow and transport model with a land surface model to simulate stream–aquifer–land interactions (CP v1.0) journal January 2017
The UKC2 regional coupled environmental prediction system journal January 2018
Using observed river flow data to improve the hydrological functioning of the JULES land surface model (vn4.3) used for regional coupled modelling in Great Britain (UKC2) journal January 2019
LS3MIP (v1.0) contribution to CMIP6: the Land Surface, Snow and Soil moisture Model Intercomparison Project – aims, setup and expected outcome journal January 2016
A Budyko framework for estimating how spatial heterogeneity and lateral moisture redistribution affect average evapotranspiration rates as seen from the atmosphere posted_content August 2016
Planning for climate change impacts on hydropower in the Far North journal January 2017
A Budyko framework for estimating how spatial heterogeneity and lateral moisture redistribution affect average evapotranspiration rates as seen from the atmosphere journal January 2017
The evolution of process-based hydrologic models: historical challenges and the collective quest for physical realism journal January 2017
Technical note: A hydrological routing scheme for the Ecosystem Demography model (ED2+R) tested in the Tapajós River basin in the Brazilian Amazon journal January 2017
A hydrological prediction system based on the SVS land-surface scheme: efficient calibration of GEM-Hydro for streamflow simulation over the Lake Ontario basin journal January 2017
Monthly streamflow forecasting at varying spatial scales in the Rhine basin journal January 2018
Representation and improved parameterization of reservoir operation in hydrological and land-surface models journal January 2019
Process-level model evaluation: a snow and heat transfer metric journal January 2017
Monthly streamflow forecasting at varying spatial scales in the Rhine basin text January 2018

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