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Disaggregation and Refinement of System Dynamics Models via Agent-based Modeling

Conference ·
OSTI ID:1133580

System dynamics models are usually used to investigate aggregate level behavior, but these models can be decomposed into agents that have more realistic individual behaviors. Here we develop a simple model of the STEM workforce to illuminate the impacts that arise from the disaggregation and refinement of system dynamics models via agent-based modeling. Particularly, alteration of Poisson assumptions, adding heterogeneity to decision-making processes of agents, and discrete-time formulation are investigated and their impacts are illustrated. The goal is to demonstrate both the promise and danger of agent-based modeling in the context of a relatively simple model and to delineate the importance of modeling decisions that are often overlooked.

Research Organization:
Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL)
Sponsoring Organization:
ORNL LDRD Director's R&D
DOE Contract Number:
AC05-00OR22725
OSTI ID:
1133580
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

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