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The Impact of Abrupt Suspension of Solar Radiation Management (Termination Effect) in Experiment G2 of the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP)

Journal Article · · Journal of Geophysical Research. D. (Atmospheres), 118(17):9743–9752
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1002/jgrd.50762· OSTI ID:1130690

We have examined changes in climate which result from the sudden termination of geoengineering after 50 years of offsetting a 1% per annum increase in CO2 concentra- tions as simulated by 11 different climate models in experiment G2 of the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project. The models agree on a rapid rate of global-mean warming following termination, accompanied by increases in global-mean precipitation rate and in plant net primary productivity, and decreases in sea-ice cover. While there is a considerable degree of consensus for the geographical distribution of warming, there is much less of an agreement regarding the patterns of change in the other quantities.

Research Organization:
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Richland, WA (US)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE
DOE Contract Number:
AC05-76RL01830
OSTI ID:
1130690
Report Number(s):
PNNL-SA-94600; 600306000
Journal Information:
Journal of Geophysical Research. D. (Atmospheres), 118(17):9743–9752, Journal Name: Journal of Geophysical Research. D. (Atmospheres), 118(17):9743–9752
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

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