A program for preserving and advancing nuclear power in the USA
In the USA, utilities are very unlikely to begin ordering any new nuclear plants for use before the year 2000. Too many obstacles currently exist. On the other hand, long-term influences ultimately will force construction of more nuclear units. The problem is whether to do nothing now, and wait until economic forces dictate action, or begin meaningful preparations for the future. Approximately 100 nuclear plants currently are operating in the USA and another dozen will start up within the next few years. Completion of those plants will mark the end of new startups for more than a decade to come. Many nuclear facilities have already operated for 10 to 20 years, and in some cases longer. While the average operating lifetime of nuclear stations has yet to be determined, 30 to 50 years is usually assumed. Therefore, as plants age, decommissioning will be necessary and the number of operating units will steadily decline. Nuclear energy production will peak (after new startups) at approximately 20 percent of total national electricity production and, as decommissioning accelerates, will decline towards zero during the first few decades of the next century. All types of power plants age and must eventually be replaced. Furthermore, even taking into account modest growth and ever improving conservation, increasing demand will require the building of several hundred new electrical generating facilities during the next several decades. What types of generating plants will be built is not clear. Will coal satisfy all our needs? Most unlikely. Oil? Out of the question. Natural gas? A share. Hydro? Few new dams will be built. Passive energies, such as solar? A minor fraction. Do without nuclear power? Most unlikely.
- OSTI ID:
- 104840
- Journal Information:
- NUEXCO. Monthly Report to the Nuclear Industry, Journal Issue: 237; Other Information: PBD: May 1988
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
Similar Records
Light Water Reactor Sustainability Program Integrated Program Plan
Light Water Reactor Sustainability Program: Integrated Program Plan