P50/P90 Analysis for Solar Energy Systems Using the System Advisor Model: Preprint
Conference
·
OSTI ID:1044455
To secure competitive financing for a solar energy generation project, the economic risk associated with interannual solar resource variability must be quantified. One way to quantify this risk is to calculate exceedance probabilities representing the amount of energy expected to be produced by a plant. Many years of solar radiation and metereological data are required to determine these values,often called P50 or P90 values for the level of certainty they represent. This paper describes the two methods implemented in the National Renewable Energy Laboratory's System Advisor Model (SAM) to calculate P50 and P90 exceedance probabilities for solar energy projects. The methodology and supporting data sets are applicable to photovoltaic, solar water heating, and concentrating solar power(CSP) systems.
- Research Organization:
- National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), Golden, CO (United States)
- Sponsoring Organization:
- USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE), Solar Energy Technologies Office (EE-4S)
- DOE Contract Number:
- AC36-08GO28308
- OSTI ID:
- 1044455
- Report Number(s):
- NREL/CP-6A20-54488
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
Similar Records
System Advisor Model, SAM 2014.1.14: General Description
System Advisor Model (SAM) General Description (Version 2017.9.5)
CSP-Plant Modeling Guidelines and Compliance of the System Advisor Model (SAM): Preprint
Technical Report
·
Fri Jan 31 23:00:00 EST 2014
·
OSTI ID:1126294
System Advisor Model (SAM) General Description (Version 2017.9.5)
Technical Report
·
Wed May 30 00:00:00 EDT 2018
·
OSTI ID:1440404
CSP-Plant Modeling Guidelines and Compliance of the System Advisor Model (SAM): Preprint
Conference
·
Mon Nov 26 23:00:00 EST 2018
·
OSTI ID:1484337