Harmonization of Land-Use Scenarios for the Period 1500-2100: 600 Years of Global Gridded Annual Land-Use Transitions, Wood Harvest, and Resulting Secondary Lands

Journal Article · Mon Aug 08 04:00:00 EDT 2011 · Climatic Change

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0153-2· OSTI ID:1029053

Hurtt, George; Chini, Louise Parsons; Frolking, Steve; Betts, Richard; Feddema, Johannes; Fischer, Gavin M; Fisk, J P; Hibbard, Kathleen A; Houghton, R A; Janetos, Anthony C; Jones, C; Kindermann, G; Kinoshita, Tsuguki; Goldeweijk, Kees K; Riahi, Keywan; Shevliakova, Elena; Smith, Steven J; Stehfest, Eike; Thomson, Allison M; Thornton, P ; Van Vuuren, Detlef; Wang, Y

In preparation for the fifth Assessment Report (AR5) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the international community is developing new advanced Earth System Models (ESM) to assess the combined effects of human activities (e.g. land use and fossil fuel emissions) on the carbon-climate system. In addition, four Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios of the future (2005-2100) are being provided by four Integrated Assessment Model (IAM) teams to be used as input to the ESMs for future carbon-climate projections (Moss et al., 2010). The diversity of approaches and requirements among IAMs and ESMs for tracking land-use change, along with the dependence of model projections on land-use history, presents a challenge for effectively passing data between these communities and for smoothly transitioning from the historical estimates to future projections. Here, a harmonized set of land-use scenarios are presented that smoothly connects historical reconstructions of land use with future projections, in the format required by ESMs.

• Research Organization: Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Richland, WA (US)
• Sponsoring Organization: USDOE
• DOE Contract Number: AC05-76RL01830
• OSTI ID: 1029053
• Report Number(s): PNNL-SA-75360; KP1703020
• Journal Information: Climatic Change, Journal Name: Climatic Change Journal Issue: 1-2 Vol. 109; ISSN 0165-0009; ISSN CLCHDX
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

09 BIOMASS FUELS
CLIMATES
CLIMATIC CHANGE
COMMUNITIES
FOSSIL FUELS
LAND USE
WOOD