Prospects for the power sector in nine developing countries

Technical Report · Thu Apr 01 04:00:00 EST 1993

DOI:https://doi.org/10.2172/10167025· OSTI ID:10167025

Meyers, S; Goldman, N; Martin, N; Friedmann, R

Based on information drawn primarily from official planning documents issued by national governments and/or utilities, the authors examined the outlook for the power sector in the year 2000 in nine countries: China, India, Indonesia, Thailand, the Philippines, South Korea, Taiwan, Argentina and Mexico. They found that the implicit rates of average annual growth of installed electric power capacity between 1991 and 2001 range from a low of 3.3% per year in Argentina to a high of 13.2% per year in Indonesia. In absolute terms, China and India account for the vast majority of the growth. The plans call for a shift in the generating mix towards coal in six of the countries, and continued strong reliance on coal in China and India. The use of natural gas is expected to increase substantially in a number of the countries. The historic movement away from oil continues, although some countries are maintaining dual-fuel capabilities. Plans call for considerable growth of nuclear power in South Korea and China and modest increases in India and Taiwan. The feasibility of the official plans varies among the countries. Lack of public capital is leading towards greater reliance on private sector participation in power projects in many of the countries. Environmental issues are becoming a more significant constraint than in the past, particularly in the case of large-scale hydropower projects. The financial and environmental constraints are leading to a rising interest in methods of improving the efficiency of electricity supply and end use. The scale of such activities is growing in most of the study countries.

• Research Organization: Lawrence Berkeley Lab., CA (United States)
• Sponsoring Organization: USDOE, Washington, DC (United States)
• DOE Contract Number: AC03-76SF00098
• OSTI ID: 10167025
• Report Number(s): LBL--33741; ON: DE93016712
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY
290201
292000
296000
ARGENTINA
CAPACITY
CAPITAL
CHINA
COAL
CONSTRAINTS
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMICS
EFFICIENCY
ELECTRIC POWER
ELECTRIC POWER INDUSTRY
ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY
INDIA
INDONESIA
INFORMATION
MEXICO
NATURAL GAS
NUCLEAR POWER
PHILIPPINES
PLANNING
POWER DEMAND
POWER GENERATION
REPUBLIC OF KOREA
SUPPLY, DEMAND, AND FORECASTING
TAIWAN
THAILAND