Market potential for solar thermal energy supply systems in the United States industrial and commercial sectors: 1990--2030. Final report

Technical Report · Sun Dec 01 04:00:00 EST 1991

OSTI ID:10143905

This report revises and extends previous work sponsored by the US DOE on the potential industrial market in the United States for solar thermal energy systems and presents a new analysis of the commercial sector market potential. Current and future industrial process heat demand and commercial water heating, space heating and space cooling end-use demands are estimated. The PC Industrial Model (PCIM) and the commercial modules of the Building Energy End-Use Model (BEEM) used by the DOE`s Energy Information Administration (EIA) to support the recent National Energy Strategy (NES) analysis are used to forecast industrial and commercial end-use energy demand respectively. Energy demand is disaggregated by US Census region to account for geographic variation in solar insolation and regional variation in cost of alternative natural gas-fired energy sources. The industrial sector analysis also disaggregates demand by heat medium and temperature range to facilitate process end-use matching with appropriate solar thermal energy supply technologies. The commercial sector analysis disaggregates energy demand by three end uses: water heating, space heating, and space cooling. Generic conceptual designs are created for both industrial and commercial applications. Levelized energy costs (LEC) are calculated for industrial sector applications employing low temperature flat plate collectors for process water preheat; parabolic troughs for intermediate temperature process steam and direct heat industrial application; and parabolic dish technologies for high temperature, direct heat industrial applications. LEC are calculated for commercial sector applications employing parabolic trough technologies for low temperature water and space heating. Cost comparisons are made with natural gas-fired sources for both the industrial market and the commercial market assuming fuel price escalation consistent with NES reference case scenarios for industrial and commercial sector gas markets.

• Research Organization: EA Engineering, Science, and Technology, Inc., Arlington, VA (United States)
• Sponsoring Organization: USDOE, Washington, DC (United States)
• DOE Contract Number: AC01-87CE40762
• OSTI ID: 10143905
• Report Number(s): DOE/CE--40762T-H5; ON: DE92014042
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

14 SOLAR ENERGY
140300
140700
140900
29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY
290200
COMMERCIAL SECTOR
COST ESTIMATION
ECONOMIC, INDUSTRIAL, AND BUSINESS ASPECTS
ECONOMICS AND SOCIOLOGY
ENERGY CONSUMPTION
FORECASTING
INDUSTRY
MARKET
PARABOLIC DISH COLLECTORS
PARABOLIC TROUGH COLLECTORS
PROGRESS REPORT
SOLAR SPACE HEATING
SOLAR THERMAL CONVERSION
SOLAR THERMAL POWER SYSTEMS
SOLAR THERMAL UTILIZATION
SOLAR WATER HEATING