The use of formal and informal expert judgments when interpreting data for performance assessments
- Sandia National Labs., Albuquerque, NM (United States)
- New Mexico Univ., Albuquerque, NM (United States)
- Science Applications International Corp., Albuquerque, NM (United States)
- Hawaii Univ., Hilo, HI (United States)
This paper es the general process by which data and information are compiled and used for defining modeling parameters. These modeling parameters are input for the mathematical models that are used in performance assessment of the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP), near Carlsbad, NM which is designed to safely manage, store, and dispose of transuranic radioactive wastes. The physical and temporal scales and the difficulty of obtain measurements in geologic media make interpretation of measured data, including the difference between laboratory experiment scale and repository scale, important task. In most instances, standard scientific practices can ensure consistency of data use. To illustrate this point, an example is provided of the interpretation of field measurements of intrinsic permeability for use in computational models using the bootstrap technique. In some cases, sufficient information can never be collected, interpretation of the information is controversial, or information from diverse disciplines must be used. A procedure that formalizes the standard scientific practices under these conditions has been developed. An example is provided of how this procedure has been applied in eliciting expert judgments on markers to deter inadvertant human intrusion into the WIPP.
- Research Organization:
- Sandia National Labs., Albuquerque, NM (United States)
- Sponsoring Organization:
- USDOE, Washington, DC (United States)
- DOE Contract Number:
- AC04-76DP00789
- OSTI ID:
- 10115363
- Report Number(s):
- SAND-92-1148C; CONF-921206-6; ON: DE93005360
- Resource Relation:
- Conference: Materials Research Society (MRS) symposium,Boston, MA (United States),2-6 Dec 1992; Other Information: PBD: [1992]
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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The use of formal and informal expert judgments when interpreting data for performance assessments
The use of formal and informal expert judgments when interpreting data for performance assessments