Quantification of key long-term risks at CO₂ sequestration sites: Latest results from US DOE's National Risk Assessment Partnership (NRAP) Project

Pawar, Rajesh; Bromhal, Grant; Carroll, Susan; Chu, Shaoping; Dilmore, Robert; Gastelum, Jason; Oldenburg, Curt; Stauffer, Philip; Zhang, Yingqi; Guthrie, George

doi:10.1016/j.egypro.2014.11.512

Title: Quantification of key long-term risks at CO₂ sequestration sites: Latest results from US DOE's National Risk Assessment Partnership (NRAP) Project

Abstract

Risk assessment for geologic CO₂ storage including quantification of risks is an area of active investigation. The National Risk Assessment Partnership (NRAP) is a US-Department of Energy (US-DOE) effort focused on developing a defensible, science-based methodology and platform for quantifying risk profiles at geologic CO₂ sequestration sites. NRAP has been developing a methodology that centers round development of an integrated assessment model (IAM) using system modeling approach to quantify risks and risk profiles. The IAM has been used to calculate risk profiles with a few key potential impacts due to potential CO₂ and brine leakage. The simulation results are also used to determine long-term storage security relationships and compare the long-term storage effectiveness to IPCC storage permanence goal. Additionally, we also demonstrate application of IAM for uncertainty quantification in order to determine parameters to which the uncertainty in model results is most sensitive.

Authors:

Pawar, Rajesh ^[1]; Bromhal, Grant ^[2]; Carroll, Susan ^[3]; Chu, Shaoping ^[1]; Dilmore, Robert ^[2]; Gastelum, Jason ^[4]; Oldenburg, Curt ^[5]; Stauffer, Philip ^[1]; Zhang, Yingqi ^[5]; Guthrie, George ^[2]

Los Alamos National Lab. (LANL), Los Alamos, NM (United States)
National Energy Technology Lab., Pittsburg, PA (United States)
Lawrence Livermore National Lab. (LLNL), Livermore, CA (United States)
Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
Lawrence Berkeley National Lab. (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States)

Publication Date:: Wed Dec 31 00:00:00 EST 2014

Research Org.:: Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL), Livermore, CA (United States)

Sponsoring Org.:: USDOE

OSTI Identifier:: 1201506

Resource Type:: Accepted Manuscript

Journal Name:: Energy Procedia (Online)

Additional Journal Information:: Journal Name: Energy Procedia (Online); Journal Volume: 63; Journal Issue: C; Journal ID: ISSN 1876-6102

Publisher:: Elsevier

Country of Publication:: United States

Language:: English

Subject:: 54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; risk quantification; NRAP; uncertainty quantification; integrated assessment model

Citation Formats


                    Pawar, Rajesh, Bromhal, Grant, Carroll, Susan, Chu, Shaoping, Dilmore, Robert, Gastelum, Jason, Oldenburg, Curt, Stauffer, Philip, Zhang, Yingqi, and Guthrie, George. Quantification of key long-term risks at CO₂ sequestration sites: Latest results from US DOE's National Risk Assessment Partnership (NRAP) Project.  United States: N. p., 2014. 
Web.  doi:10.1016/j.egypro.2014.11.512.

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                    Pawar, Rajesh, Bromhal, Grant, Carroll, Susan, Chu, Shaoping, Dilmore, Robert, Gastelum, Jason, Oldenburg, Curt, Stauffer, Philip, Zhang, Yingqi, & Guthrie, George. Quantification of key long-term risks at CO₂ sequestration sites: Latest results from US DOE's National Risk Assessment Partnership (NRAP) Project.  United States.  https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egypro.2014.11.512

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                    Pawar, Rajesh, Bromhal, Grant, Carroll, Susan, Chu, Shaoping, Dilmore, Robert, Gastelum, Jason, Oldenburg, Curt, Stauffer, Philip, Zhang, Yingqi, and Guthrie, George. Wed .  
"Quantification of key long-term risks at CO₂ sequestration sites: Latest results from US DOE's National Risk Assessment Partnership (NRAP) Project".  United States.  https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egypro.2014.11.512.  https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1201506.

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@article{osti_1201506,

  title        = {Quantification of key long-term risks at CO₂ sequestration sites: Latest results from US DOE's National Risk Assessment Partnership (NRAP) Project},

  author       = {Pawar, Rajesh and Bromhal, Grant and Carroll, Susan and Chu, Shaoping and Dilmore, Robert and Gastelum, Jason and Oldenburg, Curt and Stauffer, Philip and Zhang, Yingqi and Guthrie, George},

  abstractNote = {Risk assessment for geologic CO₂ storage including quantification of risks is an area of active investigation. The National Risk Assessment Partnership (NRAP) is a US-Department of Energy (US-DOE) effort focused on developing a defensible, science-based methodology and platform for quantifying risk profiles at geologic CO₂ sequestration sites. NRAP has been developing a methodology that centers round development of an integrated assessment model (IAM) using system modeling approach to quantify risks and risk profiles. The IAM has been used to calculate risk profiles with a few key potential impacts due to potential CO₂ and brine leakage. The simulation results are also used to determine long-term storage security relationships and compare the long-term storage effectiveness to IPCC storage permanence goal. Additionally, we also demonstrate application of IAM for uncertainty quantification in order to determine parameters to which the uncertainty in model results is most sensitive.},

  doi          = {10.1016/j.egypro.2014.11.512},

  journal      = {Energy Procedia (Online)},

  number       = C,

  volume       = 63,

  place        = {United States},

  year         = {Wed Dec 31 00:00:00 EST 2014},

  month        = {Wed Dec 31 00:00:00 EST 2014}

}

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https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egypro.2014.11.512

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Cited by: 19 works

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Works referenced in this record:

Key factors for determining groundwater impacts due to leakage from geologic carbon sequestration reservoirs
journal, October 2014

Carroll, Susan A.; Keating, Elizabeth; Mansoor, Kayyum
International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control, Vol. 29
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijggc.2014.07.007

Quantification of Risk Profiles and Impacts of Uncertainties as part of US DOE's National Risk Assessment Partnership (NRAP)
journal, January 2013

Pawar, Rajesh; Bromhal, Grant; Dilmore, Robert
Energy Procedia, Vol. 37
DOI: 10.1016/j.egypro.2013.06.386

Quantification of Risk Profiles and Impacts of Uncertainties as part of US DOE's National Risk Assessment Partnership (NRAP)
journal, January 2013

Pawar, Rajesh; Bromhal, Grant; Dilmore, Robert
Energy Procedia, Vol. 37
DOI: 10.1016/j.egypro.2013.06.386

Works referencing / citing this record:

Carbon capture and sequestration in power generation: review of impacts and opportunities for water sustainability
journal, February 2018

Eldardiry, Hisham; Habib, Emad
Energy, Sustainability and Society, Vol. 8, Issue 1
DOI: 10.1186/s13705-018-0146-3

Effect of outer boundary condition, reservoir size, and CO ₂ effective permeability on pressure and CO ₂ saturation predictions under carbon sequestration conditions: Modeling and Analysis: Effect of outer boundary condition, reservoir size, and CO ₂ effective permeability L. Zhang et al.
journal, February 2016

Zhang, Liwei; Dilmore, Robert M.; Bromhal, Grant S.
Greenhouse Gases: Science and Technology, Vol. 6, Issue 4
DOI: 10.1002/ghg.1586

Risk, Liability, and Economic Issues with Long-Term CO2 Storage—A Review
journal, July 2016

Anderson, Steven T.
Natural Resources Research, Vol. 26, Issue 1
DOI: 10.1007/s11053-016-9303-6

Review: Role of chemistry, mechanics, and transport on well integrity in CO2 storage environments
journal, June 2016

Carroll, Susan; Carey, J. William; Dzombak, David
International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control, Vol. 49
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijggc.2016.01.010

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Title: Quantification of key long-term risks at CO₂ sequestration sites: Latest results from US DOE's National Risk Assessment Partnership (NRAP) Project

Abstract

Citation Formats

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