Shared Socio-Economic Pathways of the Energy Sector – Quantifying the Narratives
Abstract
Energy is crucial for supporting basic human needs, development and well-being. The future evolution of the scale and character of the energy system will be fundamentally shaped by socioeconomic conditions and drivers, available energy resources, technologies of energy supply and transformation, and end-use energy demand. However, because energy-related activities are significant sources of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and other environmental and social externalities, energy system development will also be influenced by social acceptance and strategic policy choices. All of these uncertainties have important implications for many aspects of economic and environmental sustainability, and climate change in particular. In the Shared-Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) framework these uncertainties are structured into five narratives, arranged according to the challenges to climate change mitigation and adaptation. In this study we explore future energy sector developments across the five SSPs using Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs), and we also provide summary output and analysis for selected scenarios of global emissions mitigation policies. The mitigation challenge strongly corresponds with global baseline energy sector growth over the 21st century, which varies between 40% and 230% depending on final energy consumer behavior, technological improvements, resource availability and policies. The future baseline CO2-emission range is even larger, as the most energy-intensivemore »
- Authors:
-
more »
- Potsdam Inst. for CIimate Impact Research (Germany)
- Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), College Park, MD (United States). Joint Global Change Research Inst.
- Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM), Milan (Italy); Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC), Milan (Italy)
- International Inst. for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg (Austria)
- National Inst. for Environmental Studies (NIES), Tsukuba (Japan)
- Potsdam Inst. for CIimate Impact Research (Germany); Mercator Research Inst. for Global Commons and Climate Change (MCC), Berlin (Germany)
- Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), College Park, MD (United States). Joint Global Change Research Inst.; KAIST College of Business, Seoul (Korea, Republic of). Graduate School of Green Growth
- Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, The Hague (Netherlands)
- Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, The Hague (Netherlands); Utrecht Univ. (Netherlands). Copernicus Inst. for Sustainable Development
- Publication Date:
- Research Org.:
- Potsdam Inst. for CIimate Impact Research (Germany); National Inst. for Environmental Studies (NIES), Tsukuba (Japan); Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), College Park, MD (United States)
- Sponsoring Org.:
- USDOE; German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF); Ministry of the Environment (Japan)
- Contributing Org.:
- Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM), Milan (Italy); Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC), Milan (Italy); International Inst. for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg (Austria); Mercator Research Inst. for Global Commons and Climate Change (MCC), Berlin (Germany); KAIST College of Business, Seoul (Korea, Republic of); Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, The Hague (Netherlands); Utrecht Univ. (Netherlands)
- OSTI Identifier:
- 1353308
- Report Number(s):
- PNNL-SA-115383
Journal ID: ISSN 0959-3780; KP1703030
- Grant/Contract Number:
- AC05-76RL01830; 01LA11020B; 2-1402
- Resource Type:
- Accepted Manuscript
- Journal Name:
- Global Environmental Change
- Additional Journal Information:
- Journal Volume: 42; Journal ID: ISSN 0959-3780
- Publisher:
- Elsevier
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
- Subject:
- 54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; 29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY; Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs); Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs); Energy system; Energy demand; Energy supply; Energy resources
Citation Formats
Bauer, Nico, Calvin, Katherine, Emmerling, Johannes, Fricko, Oliver, Fujimori, Shinichiro, Hilaire, Jérôme, Eom, Jiyong, Krey, Volker, Kriegler, Elmar, Mouratiadou, Ioanna, Sytze de Boer, Harmen, van den Berg, Maarten, Carrara, Samuel, Daioglou, Vassilis, Drouet, Laurent, Edmonds, James E., Gernaat, David, Havlik, Petr, Johnson, Nils, Klein, David, Kyle, Page, Marangoni, Giacomo, Masui, Toshihiko, Pietzcker, Robert C., Strubegger, Manfred, Wise, Marshall, Riahi, Keywan, and van Vuuren, Detlef P. Shared Socio-Economic Pathways of the Energy Sector – Quantifying the Narratives. United States: N. p., 2016.
Web. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.07.006.
Bauer, Nico, Calvin, Katherine, Emmerling, Johannes, Fricko, Oliver, Fujimori, Shinichiro, Hilaire, Jérôme, Eom, Jiyong, Krey, Volker, Kriegler, Elmar, Mouratiadou, Ioanna, Sytze de Boer, Harmen, van den Berg, Maarten, Carrara, Samuel, Daioglou, Vassilis, Drouet, Laurent, Edmonds, James E., Gernaat, David, Havlik, Petr, Johnson, Nils, Klein, David, Kyle, Page, Marangoni, Giacomo, Masui, Toshihiko, Pietzcker, Robert C., Strubegger, Manfred, Wise, Marshall, Riahi, Keywan, & van Vuuren, Detlef P. Shared Socio-Economic Pathways of the Energy Sector – Quantifying the Narratives. United States. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.07.006
Bauer, Nico, Calvin, Katherine, Emmerling, Johannes, Fricko, Oliver, Fujimori, Shinichiro, Hilaire, Jérôme, Eom, Jiyong, Krey, Volker, Kriegler, Elmar, Mouratiadou, Ioanna, Sytze de Boer, Harmen, van den Berg, Maarten, Carrara, Samuel, Daioglou, Vassilis, Drouet, Laurent, Edmonds, James E., Gernaat, David, Havlik, Petr, Johnson, Nils, Klein, David, Kyle, Page, Marangoni, Giacomo, Masui, Toshihiko, Pietzcker, Robert C., Strubegger, Manfred, Wise, Marshall, Riahi, Keywan, and van Vuuren, Detlef P. Tue .
"Shared Socio-Economic Pathways of the Energy Sector – Quantifying the Narratives". United States. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.07.006. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1353308.
@article{osti_1353308,
title = {Shared Socio-Economic Pathways of the Energy Sector – Quantifying the Narratives},
author = {Bauer, Nico and Calvin, Katherine and Emmerling, Johannes and Fricko, Oliver and Fujimori, Shinichiro and Hilaire, Jérôme and Eom, Jiyong and Krey, Volker and Kriegler, Elmar and Mouratiadou, Ioanna and Sytze de Boer, Harmen and van den Berg, Maarten and Carrara, Samuel and Daioglou, Vassilis and Drouet, Laurent and Edmonds, James E. and Gernaat, David and Havlik, Petr and Johnson, Nils and Klein, David and Kyle, Page and Marangoni, Giacomo and Masui, Toshihiko and Pietzcker, Robert C. and Strubegger, Manfred and Wise, Marshall and Riahi, Keywan and van Vuuren, Detlef P.},
abstractNote = {Energy is crucial for supporting basic human needs, development and well-being. The future evolution of the scale and character of the energy system will be fundamentally shaped by socioeconomic conditions and drivers, available energy resources, technologies of energy supply and transformation, and end-use energy demand. However, because energy-related activities are significant sources of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and other environmental and social externalities, energy system development will also be influenced by social acceptance and strategic policy choices. All of these uncertainties have important implications for many aspects of economic and environmental sustainability, and climate change in particular. In the Shared-Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) framework these uncertainties are structured into five narratives, arranged according to the challenges to climate change mitigation and adaptation. In this study we explore future energy sector developments across the five SSPs using Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs), and we also provide summary output and analysis for selected scenarios of global emissions mitigation policies. The mitigation challenge strongly corresponds with global baseline energy sector growth over the 21st century, which varies between 40% and 230% depending on final energy consumer behavior, technological improvements, resource availability and policies. The future baseline CO2-emission range is even larger, as the most energy-intensive SSP also incorporates a comparatively high share of carbon-intensive fossil fuels, and vice versa. Inter-regional disparities in the SSPs are consistent with the underlying socioeconomic assumptions; these differences are particularly strong in the SSPs with large adaptation challenges, which have little inter-regional convergence in long-term income and final energy demand levels. The scenarios presented do not include feedbacks of climate change on energy sector development. The energy sector SSPs with and without emissions mitigation policies are introduced and analyzed here in order to contribute to future research in climate sciences, mitigation analysis, and studies on impacts, adaptation and vulnerability.},
doi = {10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.07.006},
journal = {Global Environmental Change},
number = ,
volume = 42,
place = {United States},
year = {Tue Aug 23 00:00:00 EDT 2016},
month = {Tue Aug 23 00:00:00 EDT 2016}
}
Web of Science
Works referenced in this record:
Depletion and the Future Availability of Petroleum Resources
journal, January 2009
- Aguilera, Roberto F.; Eggert, Roderick G.; Lagos C. C., Gustavo
- The Energy Journal, Vol. 30, Issue 1
CO2 emission mitigation and fossil fuel markets: Dynamic and international aspects of climate policies
journal, January 2015
- Bauer, Nico; Bosetti, Valentina; Hamdi-Cherif, Meriem
- Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 90
Assessing global fossil fuel availability in a scenario framework
journal, September 2016
- Bauer, Nico; Hilaire, Jérôme; Brecha, Robert J.
- Energy, Vol. 111
Opportunities for advances in climate change economics
journal, April 2016
- Burke, M.; Craxton, M.; Kolstad, C. D.
- Science, Vol. 352, Issue 6283
The SSP4: A world of deepening inequality
journal, January 2017
- Calvin, Katherine; Bond-Lamberty, Ben; Clarke, Leon
- Global Environmental Change, Vol. 42
Integrated assessment of climate impacts and adaptation in the energy sector
journal, November 2014
- Ciscar, Juan-Carlos; Dowling, Paul
- Energy Economics, Vol. 46
Global energy use: Decoupling or convergence?
journal, September 2015
- Csereklyei, Zsuzsanna; Stern, David I.
- Energy Economics, Vol. 51
Long-term economic growth projections in the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways
journal, January 2017
- Dellink, Rob; Chateau, Jean; Lanzi, Elisa
- Global Environmental Change, Vol. 42
Electrification of the economy and CO2 emissions mitigation
journal, September 2006
- Edmonds, Jae; Wilson, Tom; Wise, Marshall
- Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Vol. 7, Issue 3
Overview of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) experimental design and organisation
journal, January 2015
- Eyring, V.; Bony, S.; Meehl, G. A.
- Geoscientific Model Development Discussions, Vol. 8, Issue 12
Past and prospective energy transitions: Insights from history
journal, November 2012
- Fouquet, Roger; Pearson, Peter J. G.
- Energy Policy, Vol. 50
The marker quantification of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2: A middle-of-the-road scenario for the 21st century
journal, January 2017
- Fricko, Oliver; Havlik, Petr; Rogelj, Joeri
- Global Environmental Change, Vol. 42
Energy sector water use implications of a 2 °C climate policy
journal, March 2016
- Fricko, Oliver; Parkinson, Simon C.; Johnson, Nils
- Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 11, Issue 3
SSP3: AIM implementation of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways
journal, January 2017
- Fujimori, Shinichiro; Hasegawa, Tomoko; Masui, Toshihiko
- Global Environmental Change, Vol. 42
Bridging analytical approaches for low-carbon transitions
journal, May 2016
- Geels, Frank W.; Berkhout, Frans; van Vuuren, Detlef P.
- Nature Climate Change, Vol. 6, Issue 6
Dynamics of energy technologies and global change
journal, May 1999
- Grübler, Arnulf; Nakićenović, Nebojša; Victor, David G.
- Energy Policy, Vol. 27, Issue 5
Modeling global residential sector energy demand for heating and air conditioning in the context of climate change
journal, February 2009
- Isaac, Morna; van Vuuren, Detlef P.
- Energy Policy, Vol. 37, Issue 2
Will history repeat itself? Economic convergence and convergence in energy use patterns
journal, January 2012
- Jakob, Michael; Haller, Markus; Marschinski, Robert
- Energy Economics, Vol. 34, Issue 1
Energy security under de-carbonization scenarios: An assessment framework and evaluation under different technology and policy choices
journal, February 2014
- Jewell, Jessica; Cherp, Aleh; Riahi, Keywan
- Energy Policy, Vol. 65
The human core of the shared socioeconomic pathways: Population scenarios by age, sex and level of education for all countries to 2100
journal, January 2017
- Kc, Samir; Lutz, Wolfgang
- Global Environmental Change, Vol. 42
Getting from here to there – energy technology transformation pathways in the EMF27 scenarios
journal, December 2013
- Krey, Volker; Luderer, Gunnar; Clarke, Leon
- Climatic Change, Vol. 123, Issue 3-4
The need for and use of socio-economic scenarios for climate change analysis: A new approach based on shared socio-economic pathways
journal, October 2012
- Kriegler, Elmar; O’Neill, Brian C.; Hallegatte, Stephane
- Global Environmental Change, Vol. 22, Issue 4
A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared climate policy assumptions
journal, January 2014
- Kriegler, Elmar; Edmonds, Jae; Hallegatte, Stéphane
- Climatic Change, Vol. 122, Issue 3
Making or breaking climate targets: The AMPERE study on staged accession scenarios for climate policy
journal, January 2015
- Kriegler, Elmar; Riahi, Keywan; Bauer, Nico
- Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 90
Fossil-fueled development (SSP5): An energy and resource intensive scenario for the 21st century
journal, January 2017
- Kriegler, Elmar; Bauer, Nico; Popp, Alexander
- Global Environmental Change, Vol. 42
Human development in a climate-constrained world: What the past says about the future
journal, July 2015
- Lamb, William F.; Rao, Narasimha D.
- Global Environmental Change, Vol. 33
Fossil resource and energy security dynamics in conventional and carbon-constrained worlds
journal, October 2013
- McCollum, David; Bauer, Nico; Calvin, Katherine
- Climatic Change, Vol. 123, Issue 3-4
The geographical distribution of fossil fuels unused when limiting global warming to 2 °C
journal, January 2015
- McGlade, Christophe; Ekins, Paul
- Nature, Vol. 517, Issue 7533
The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment
journal, February 2010
- Moss, Richard H.; Edmonds, Jae A.; Hibbard, Kathy A.
- Nature, Vol. 463, Issue 7282
The roads ahead: Narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century
journal, January 2017
- O’Neill, Brian C.; Kriegler, Elmar; Ebi, Kristie L.
- Global Environmental Change, Vol. 42
Pathways to achieve universal household access to modern energy by 2030
journal, May 2013
- Pachauri, Shonali; van Ruijven, Bas J.; Nagai, Yu
- Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 8, Issue 2
Land-use futures in the shared socio-economic pathways
journal, January 2017
- Popp, Alexander; Calvin, Katherine; Fujimori, Shinichiro
- Global Environmental Change, Vol. 42
Future air pollution in the Shared Socio-economic Pathways
journal, January 2017
- Rao, Shilpa; Klimont, Zbigniew; Smith, Steven J.
- Global Environmental Change, Vol. 42
The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview
journal, January 2017
- Riahi, Keywan; van Vuuren, Detlef P.; Kriegler, Elmar
- Global Environmental Change, Vol. 42
Bioenergy in energy transformation and climate management
journal, December 2013
- Rose, Steven K.; Kriegler, Elmar; Bibas, Ruben
- Climatic Change, Vol. 123, Issue 3-4
Structural change in energy use
journal, March 2005
- Schäfer, Andreas
- Energy Policy, Vol. 33, Issue 4
Development without energy? Assessing future scenarios of energy consumption in developing countries
journal, June 2013
- Steckel, Jan Christoph; Brecha, Robert J.; Jakob, Michael
- Ecological Economics, Vol. 90
Climate change mitigation and electrification
journal, May 2012
- Sugiyama, Masahiro
- Energy Policy, Vol. 44
Reinvigorating the scenario technique to expand uncertainty consideration
journal, January 2016
- Trutnevyte, Evelina; Guivarch, Céline; Lempert, Robert
- Climatic Change, Vol. 135, Issue 3-4
Understanding carbon lock-in
journal, October 2000
- Unruh, Gregory C.
- Energy Policy, Vol. 28, Issue 12
Energy, land-use and greenhouse gas emissions trajectories under a green growth paradigm
journal, January 2017
- van Vuuren, Detlef P.; Stehfest, Elke; Gernaat, David E. H. J.
- Global Environmental Change, Vol. 42
Climate and socio-economic scenarios for climate change research and assessment: reconciling the new with the old
journal, November 2013
- van Vuuren, Detlef P.; Carter, Timothy R.
- Climatic Change, Vol. 122, Issue 3
Comparing future patterns of energy system change in 2 °C scenarios with historically observed rates of change
journal, November 2015
- van Sluisveld, Mariësse A. E.; Harmsen, J. H. M.; Bauer, Nico
- Global Environmental Change, Vol. 35
The representative concentration pathways: an overview
journal, August 2011
- van Vuuren, Detlef P.; Edmonds, Jae; Kainuma, Mikiko
- Climatic Change, Vol. 109, Issue 1-2
Scenarios in Global Environmental Assessments: Key characteristics and lessons for future use
journal, October 2012
- van Vuuren, Detlef P.; Kok, Marcel T. J.; Girod, Bastien
- Global Environmental Change, Vol. 22, Issue 4
A new scenario framework for Climate Change Research: scenario matrix architecture
journal, October 2013
- van Vuuren, Detlef P.; Kriegler, Elmar; O’Neill, Brian C.
- Climatic Change, Vol. 122, Issue 3
Integrating Global Climate Change Mitigation Goals with Other Sustainability Objectives: A Synthesis
journal, November 2015
- von Stechow, Christoph; McCollum, David; Riahi, Keywan
- Annual Review of Environment and Resources, Vol. 40, Issue 1
Future capacity growth of energy technologies: are scenarios consistent with historical evidence?
journal, November 2012
- Wilson, C.; Grubler, A.; Bauer, N.
- Climatic Change, Vol. 118, Issue 2
The representative concentration pathways: an overview
journal, August 2011
- van Vuuren, Detlef P.; Edmonds, Jae; Kainuma, Mikiko
- Climatic Change, Vol. 109, Issue 1-2
A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared climate policy assumptions
journal, January 2014
- Kriegler, Elmar; Edmonds, Jae; Hallegatte, Stéphane
- Climatic Change, Vol. 122, Issue 3
Comparing future patterns of energy system change in 2 °C scenarios with historically observed rates of change
journal, November 2015
- van Sluisveld, Mariësse A. E.; Harmsen, J. H. M.; Bauer, Nico
- Global Environmental Change, Vol. 35
Fossil-fueled development (SSP5): An energy and resource intensive scenario for the 21st century
journal, January 2017
- Kriegler, Elmar; Bauer, Nico; Popp, Alexander
- Global Environmental Change, Vol. 42
Energy, land-use and greenhouse gas emissions trajectories under a green growth paradigm
text, January 2016
- Van Vuuren, Detlef P.; Stehfest, Elke; Gernaat, David E. H. J.
- Amsterdam : Elsevier
Works referencing / citing this record:
Divestment prevails over the green paradox when anticipating strong future climate policies
journal, January 2018
- Bauer, Nico; McGlade, Christophe; Hilaire, Jérôme
- Nature Climate Change, Vol. 8, Issue 2
Socioeconomic factors and future challenges of the goal of limiting the increase in global average temperature to 1.5 °C
journal, June 2018
- Liu, Jing-Yu; Fujimori, Shinichiro; Takahashi, Kiyoshi
- Carbon Management, Vol. 9, Issue 5
Economic consequences of global climate change and mitigation on future hydropower generation
journal, January 2018
- Zhou, Qian; Hanasaki, Naota; Fujimori, Shinichiro
- Climatic Change, Vol. 147, Issue 1-2
Evaluating climate geoengineering proposals in the context of the Paris Agreement temperature goals
journal, September 2018
- Lawrence, Mark G.; Schäfer, Stefan; Muri, Helene
- Nature Communications, Vol. 9, Issue 1
Shared socio-economic pathways extended for the Baltic Sea: exploring long-term environmental problems
journal, January 2019
- Zandersen, Marianne; Hyytiäinen, Kari; Meier, H. E. Markus
- Regional Environmental Change, Vol. 19, Issue 4
Energy and Environmental Aspects of Using Eucalyptus from Brazil for Energy and Transportation Services in Europe
journal, November 2018
- Cavalett, Otavio; Norem Slettmo, Sigurd; Cherubini, Francesco
- Sustainability, Vol. 10, Issue 11
Investigating the BECCS resource nexus: delivering sustainable negative emissions
journal, January 2018
- Fajardy, Mathilde; Chiquier, Solene; Mac Dowell, Niall
- Energy & Environmental Science, Vol. 11, Issue 12
Scenarios towards limiting global mean temperature increase below 1.5 °C
journal, March 2018
- Rogelj, Joeri; Popp, Alexander; Calvin, Katherine V.
- Nature Climate Change, Vol. 8, Issue 4
Species and river specific effects of river fragmentation on European anadromous fish species
journal, November 2018
- Puijenbroek, Peter J. T. M.; Buijse, Anthonie D.; Kraak, Michiel H. S.
- River Research and Applications, Vol. 35, Issue 1
Strong time dependence of ocean acidification mitigation by atmospheric carbon dioxide removal
journal, December 2019
- Hofmann, M.; Mathesius, S.; Kriegler, E.
- Nature Communications, Vol. 10, Issue 1
A Continental‐Scale Hydroeconomic Model for Integrating Water‐Energy‐Land Nexus Solutions
journal, October 2018
- Kahil, Taher; Parkinson, Simon; Satoh, Yusuke
- Water Resources Research, Vol. 54, Issue 10
Defining climate change scenario characteristics with a phase space of cumulative primary energy and carbon intensity
journal, February 2018
- Ritchie, Justin; Dowlatabadi, Hadi
- Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 13, Issue 2
The role of lifestyle changes in low-emissions development strategies: an economy-wide assessment for Brazil
journal, February 2020
- Grottera, Carolina; La Rovere, Emilio Lèbre; Wills, William
- Climate Policy, Vol. 20, Issue 2
Negative emissions—Part 1: Research landscape and synthesis
journal, May 2018
- Minx, Jan C.; Lamb, William F.; Callaghan, Max W.
- Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 13, Issue 6
Food supply and bioenergy production within the global cropland planetary boundary
journal, March 2018
- Henry, R. C.; Engström, K.; Olin, S.
- PLOS ONE, Vol. 13, Issue 3
Aligning Pixel Values of DMSP and VIIRS Nighttime Light Images to Evaluate Urban Dynamics
journal, June 2019
- Wu, Kang; Wang, Xiaonan
- Remote Sensing, Vol. 11, Issue 12
Negative emissions—Part 2: Costs, potentials and side effects
journal, May 2018
- Fuss, Sabine; Lamb, William F.; Callaghan, Max W.
- Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 13, Issue 6
Nationally Determined Contributions under the Paris Agreement and the costs of delayed action
text, January 2019
- Winning, Matthew; Price, James; Ekins, Paul
- Figshare
The potential contribution of disruptive low-carbon innovations to 1.5 °C climate mitigation
journal, May 2018
- Wilson, Charlie; Pettifor, Hazel; Cassar, Emma
- Energy Efficiency, Vol. 12, Issue 2
The Carbon Dioxide Removal Model Intercomparison Project (CDRMIP): rationale and experimental protocol for CMIP6
journal, January 2018
- Keller, David P.; Lenton, Andrew; Scott, Vivian
- Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 11, Issue 3
Assessing Conditions for the Development of Advanced Energy Technologies on the Regional Level in Russian Federation
journal, April 2019
- Volkova, I. O.; Burda, Y. D.; Gavrikova, E. V.
- Management Science, Vol. 9, Issue 1
Coal and carbonization in sub-Saharan Africa
journal, December 2019
- Steckel, Jan Christoph; Hilaire, Jérôme; Jakob, Michael
- Nature Climate Change, Vol. 10, Issue 1
Simulation-Based Design and Economic Evaluation of a Novel Internally Circulating Fluidized Bed Reactor for Power Production with Integrated CO2 Capture
journal, October 2019
- Cloete, Jan Hendrik; Khan, Mohammed N.; Cloete, Schalk
- Processes, Vol. 7, Issue 10
Evaluating the use of biomass energy with carbon capture and storage in low emission scenarios
journal, March 2018
- Vaughan, Naomi E.; Gough, Clair; Mander, Sarah
- Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 13, Issue 4
Greater gains for Australia by tackling all SDGs but the last steps will be the most challenging
journal, November 2019
- Allen, Cameron; Metternicht, Graciela; Wiedmann, Thomas
- Nature Sustainability, Vol. 2, Issue 11
MAgPIE 4 – a modular open-source framework for modeling global land systems
journal, January 2019
- Dietrich, Jan Philipp; Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon; Humpenöder, Florian
- Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 12, Issue 4
Potential and costs of carbon dioxide removal by enhanced weathering of rocks
journal, March 2018
- Strefler, Jessica; Amann, Thorben; Bauer, Nico
- Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 13, Issue 3
Pathways limiting warming to 1.5°C: a tale of turning around in no time?
journal, April 2018
- Kriegler, Elmar; Luderer, Gunnar; Bauer, Nico
- Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, Vol. 376, Issue 2119
Global emissions pathways under different socioeconomic scenarios for use in CMIP6: a dataset of harmonized emissions trajectories through the end of the century
journal, January 2019
- Gidden, Matthew J.; Riahi, Keywan; Smith, Steven J.
- Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 12, Issue 4
Impact of Carbon Price on Renewable Energy Using Power Market System
book, January 2020
- Hu, Xiangping; Cheng, Xiaomei; Qiu, Xinlu
- Lecture Notes in Electrical Engineering
Integrated Solutions for the Water-Energy-Land Nexus: Are Global Models Rising to the Challenge?
journal, October 2019
- Johnson, Nils; Burek, Peter; Byers, Edward
- Water, Vol. 11, Issue 11
Demand-side approaches for limiting global warming to 1.5 °C
journal, August 2018
- Mundaca, Luis; Ürge-Vorsatz, Diana; Wilson, Charlie
- Energy Efficiency, Vol. 12, Issue 2
Gridded emissions and land-use data for 2005–2100 under diverse socioeconomic and climate mitigation scenarios
journal, October 2018
- Fujimori, Shinichiro; Hasegawa, Tomoko; Ito, Akihiko
- Scientific Data, Vol. 5, Issue 1
Net-zero emissions energy systems
journal, June 2018
- Davis, Steven J.; Lewis, Nathan S.; Shaner, Matthew
- Science, Vol. 360, Issue 6396
The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) for CMIP6
text, January 2016
- O'Neill, Brian C.; Tebaldi, Claudia; Van Vuuren, Detlef P.
- ETH Zurich
The role of lifestyle changes in low-emissions development strategies: an economy-wide assessment for Brazil
text, January 2020
- Grottera, Carolina; Rovere, Emilio Lèbre La; Wills, William
- Taylor & Francis
Socioeconomic factors and future challenges of the goal of limiting the increase in global average temperature to 1.5 °C
text, January 2018
- Liu, Jing-Yu; Fujimori, Shinichiro; Takahashi, Kiyoshi
- Taylor & Francis
Nationally Determined Contributions under the Paris Agreement and the costs of delayed action
text, January 2019
- Winning, Matthew; Price, James; Ekins, Paul
- Figshare
Negative emissions-Part 2: Costs, potentials and side effects
text, January 2018
- Fuss, Sabine; Lamb, William F.; Callaghan, Max W.
- ETH Zurich
MAgPIE 4 - A modular open source framework for modeling global land-systems
posted_content, December 2018
- Dietrich, Jan Philipp; Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon; Humpenöder, Florian
- Geoscientific Model Development Discussions
The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) for CMIP6
journal, January 2016
- O'Neill, Brian C.; Tebaldi, Claudia; van Vuuren, Detlef P.
- Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 9, Issue 9
The role of lifestyle changes in low-emissions development strategies: an economy-wide assessment for Brazil
text, January 2020
- Grottera, Carolina; Rovere, Emilio Lèbre La; Wills, William
- Taylor & Francis
Nationally Determined Contributions under the Paris Agreement and the costs of delayed action
journal, May 2019
- Winning, Matthew; Price, James; Ekins, Paul
- Climate Policy, Vol. 19, Issue 8
Negative emissions-Part 1: Research landscape and synthesis
text, January 2018
- C., Minx, Jan; F., Lamb, William; W., Callaghan, Max
- ETH Zurich
Future air pollution in the Shared Socio-economic Pathways
journal, January 2017
- Rao, Shilpa; Klimont, Zbigniew; Smith, Steven J.
- Global Environmental Change, Vol. 42
Fossil-fueled development (SSP5): An energy and resource intensive scenario for the 21st century
journal, January 2017
- Kriegler, Elmar; Bauer, Nico; Popp, Alexander
- Global Environmental Change, Vol. 42
Shared Socio-economic Pathways for European agriculture and food systems: The Eur-Agri-SSPs
journal, November 2020
- Mitter, Hermine; Techen, Anja-K.; Sinabell, Franz
- Global Environmental Change, Vol. 65
An assessment of the performance of scenarios against historical global emissions for IPCC reports
journal, January 2021
- Strandsbjerg Tristan Pedersen, Jiesper; Duarte Santos, Filipe; van Vuuren, Detlef
- Global Environmental Change, Vol. 66
Evaluating climate geoengineering proposals in the context of the Paris Agreement temperature goals
journal, September 2018
- Lawrence, Mark G.; Schäfer, Stefan; Muri, Helene
- Nature Communications, Vol. 9, Issue 1
Trayectorias Socioeconómicas Compartidas (SSP): nuevas maneras de comprender el cambio climático y social
journal, August 2017
- Escoto Castillo, Ana; Sánchez Peña, Landy; Gachuz Delgado, Sheila
- Estudios Demográficos y Urbanos, Vol. 32, Issue 3
Physical Constraints on Global Social-Ecological Energy System
journal, December 2021
- Casazza, Marco; Gonella, Francesco; Liu, Gengyuan
- Energies, Vol. 14, Issue 23
Building Regional Sustainable Development Scenarios with the SSP Framework
journal, October 2019
- Yang, Shuhui; Cui, Xuefeng
- Sustainability, Vol. 11, Issue 20
Integrated Solutions for the Water-Energy-Land Nexus: Are Global Models Rising to the Challenge?
text, January 2019
- Johnson, Nils; Burek, Peter; Byers, Edward
- Basel : MDPI
Energy, land-use and greenhouse gas emissions trajectories under a green growth paradigm
text, January 2016
- Van Vuuren, Detlef P.; Stehfest, Elke; Gernaat, David E. H. J.
- Amsterdam : Elsevier