Risk Assessment Using The Homeland-Defense Operational Planning System (HOPS)

Conference · Mon Jun 06 00:00:00 EDT 2005

OSTI ID:878610

Durling, R L; Price, D E; Spero, K K

For over ten years, the Counterproliferation Analysis and Planning System (CAPS) at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) has been a planning tool used by U.S. combatant commands for mission support planning against foreign programs engaged in the manufacture of weapons of mass destruction (WMD). CAPS is endorsed by the Secretary of Defense as the preferred counterproliferation tool to be used by the nation's armed services. A sister system, the Homeland-Defense Operational Planning System (HOPS), is a new operational planning tool leveraging CAPS expertise designed to support the defense of the U.S. homeland. HOPS provides planners with a basis to make decisions to protect against acts of terrorism, focusing on the defense of facilities critical to U.S. infrastructure. Criticality of facilities, structures, and systems is evaluated on a composite matrix of specific projected casualty, economic, and sociopolitical impact bins. Based on these criteria, significant unidentified vulnerabilities are identified and secured. To provide insight into potential successes by malevolent actors, HOPS analysts strive to base their efforts mainly on unclassified open-source data. However, more cooperation is needed between HOPS analysts and facility representatives to provide an advantage to those whose task is to defend these facilities. Evaluated facilities include: refineries, major ports, nuclear power plants and other nuclear licensees, dams, government installations, convention centers, sports stadiums, tourist venues, and public and freight transportation systems. A generalized summary of analyses of U.S. infrastructure facilities will be presented.

• Research Organization: Lawrence Livermore National Lab. (LLNL), Livermore, CA (United States)
• Sponsoring Organization: USDOE
• DOE Contract Number: W-7405-ENG-48
• OSTI ID: 878610
• Report Number(s): UCRL-CONF-212887; TRN: US0602420
• Resource Relation: Conference: Presented at: International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Analysis, PSA'05, San Francisco, CA, United States, Sep 11 - Sep 15, 2005
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

13 HYDRO ENERGY
21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS
29 ENERGY PLANNING
POLICY AND ECONOMY
32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATION
98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL PROTECTION
99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS//MATHEMATICS, COMPUTING, AND INFORMATION SCIENCE
CARGO
CRITICALITY
DAMS
FOCUSING
LAWRENCE LIVERMORE NATIONAL LABORATORY
NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS
PLANNING
RISK ASSESSMENT
SAFETY ANALYSIS
TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS
WEAPONS