A methodology for the transfer of probabilities between accident severity categories
A methodology has been developed which allows the accident probabilities associated with one accident-severity category scheme to be transferred to another severity category scheme. The methodology requires that the schemes use a common set of parameters to define the categories. The transfer of accident probabilities is based on the relationships between probability of occurrence and each of the parameters used to define the categories. Because of the lack of historical data describing accident environments in engineering terms, these relationships may be difficult to obtain directly for some parameters. Numerical models or experienced judgement are often needed to obtain the relationships. These relationships, even if they are not exact, allow the accident probability associated with any severity category to be distributed within that category in a manner consistent with accident experience, which in turn will allow the accident probability to be appropriately transferred to a different category scheme.
- Research Organization:
- Sandia National Labs., Albuquerque, NM (United States)
- Sponsoring Organization:
- USDOE, Washington, DC (United States)
- DOE Contract Number:
- AC04-76DP00789
- OSTI ID:
- 7132223
- Report Number(s):
- SAND-91-2642C; TTC-1134; CONF-920905-30; ON: DE93000712
- Resource Relation:
- Conference: 10. international symposium on the packaging and transportation of radioactive materials: PATRAM '92, Yokohama (Japan), 13-18 Sep 1992
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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Related Subjects
99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS//MATHEMATICS, COMPUTING, AND INFORMATION SCIENCE
ACCIDENTS
PROBABILITY
RADIOACTIVE MATERIALS
TRANSPORT
COMPARATIVE EVALUATIONS
CORRELATIONS
PACKAGING
RISK ASSESSMENT
STATISTICS
EVALUATION
MATERIALS
MATHEMATICS
050900* - Nuclear Fuels- Transport
Handling
& Storage
990200 - Mathematics & Computers