skip to main content
OSTI.GOV title logo U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

Title: Impact of Multidecadal Variability in Atlantic SST on Winter Atmospheric Blocking

Journal Article · · Journal of Climate

Recent studies have suggested that coherent multidecadal variability exists between North Atlantic atmospheric blocking frequency and the Atlantic multidecadal variability (AMV). However, the role of AMV in modulating blocking variability on multidecadal times scales is not fully understood. This study examines this issue primarily using the NOAA Twentieth Century Reanalysis for 1901–2010. The second mode of the empirical orthogonal function for winter (December–March) atmospheric blocking variability in the North Atlantic exhibits oppositely signed anomalies of blocking frequency over Greenland and the Azores. Furthermore, its principal component time series shows a dominant multidecadal variability lagging AMV by several years. Composite analyses show that this lag is due to the slow evolution of the AMV sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies, which is likely driven by the ocean circulation. Following the warm phase of AMV, the warm SST anomalies emerge in the western subpolar gyre over 3–7 years. The ocean–atmosphere interaction over these 3–7-yr periods is characterized by the damping of the warm SST anomalies by the surface heat flux anomalies, which in turn reduce the overall meridional gradient of the air temperature and thus weaken the meridional transient eddy heat flux in the lower troposphere. The anomalous transient eddy forcing then shifts the eddy-driven jet equatorward, resulting in enhanced Rossby wave breaking and blocking on the northern flank of the jet over Greenland. The opposite is true with the AMV cold phases but with much shorter lags, as the evolution of SST anomalies differs in the warm and cold phases.

Research Organization:
Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, MA (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER). Earth and Environmental Systems Science Division
Grant/Contract Number:
SC0019492
OSTI ID:
1593720
Journal Information:
Journal of Climate, Vol. 33, Issue 3; ISSN 0894-8755
Publisher:
American Meteorological SocietyCopyright Statement
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Citation Metrics:
Cited by: 14 works
Citation information provided by
Web of Science

References (74)

Climate variability during warm and cold phases of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) 1871–2008 journal May 2014
Influence of eddy-driven jet latitude on North Atlantic jet persistence and blocking frequency in CMIP3 integrations: ATLANTIC JET VARIABILITY IN GCMS journal December 2010
A methodology for the comparison of blocking climatologies across indices, models and climate scenarios journal November 2011
Classification, Seasonality and Persistence of Low-Frequency Atmospheric Circulation Patterns journal June 1987
Synoptic View of the North Atlantic Oscillation journal January 2004
Feasibility of a 100-Year Reanalysis Using Only Surface Pressure Data journal February 2006
The Twentieth Century Reanalysis Project
  • Compo, G. P.; Whitaker, J. S.; Sardeshmukh, P. D.
  • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Vol. 137, Issue 654 https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.776
journal January 2011
A decade of weather extremes journal March 2012
On the misinterpretation of the North Atlantic Oscillation in CMIP5 models journal October 2013
Coupling between Greenland blocking and the North Atlantic Oscillation pattern: COUPLING BETWEEN GB AND NAO PATTERN journal July 2012
Tropical origin for the impacts of the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability on the Euro-Atlantic climate journal September 2015
Uncertainty in climate change projections: the role of internal variability journal December 2010
Lanczos Filtering in One and Two Dimensions journal August 1979
A Method to Estimate the Statistical Significance of a Correlation When the Data Are Serially Correlated journal September 1997
The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and its relation to rainfall and river flows in the continental U.S. journal May 2001
Sahel rainfall and worldwide sea temperatures, 1901–85 journal April 1986
The surface heat flux feedback. Part I: estimates from observations in the Atlantic and the North Pacific journal October 2002
Gulf Stream Variability and Ocean–Atmosphere Interactions* journal December 2001
Influence of the Meridional Shifts of the Kuroshio and the Oyashio Extensions on the Atmospheric Circulation journal February 2011
Multidecadal variability of the continental precipitation annual amplitude driven by AMO and ENSO: Decadal precipitation driven by AMO/ENSO journal January 2015
Cold-season atmospheric response to the natural variability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation journal June 2011
Influence of the North Atlantic SST Variability on the Atmospheric Circulation during the Twentieth Century journal February 2015
Mechanisms Determining the Winter Atmospheric Response to the Atlantic Overturning Circulation journal May 2016
The Recent Increase in Atlantic Hurricane Activity: Causes and Implications journal July 2001
Analysis of Atlantic SST Variability Factoring Interbasin Links and the Secular Trend: Clarified Structure of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation journal August 2009
North Atlantic Ocean control on surface heat flux on multidecadal timescales journal July 2013
Atmospheric Blocking and Atlantic Multidecadal Ocean Variability journal November 2011
Warm and saline events embedded in the meridional circulation of the northern North Atlantic journal January 2011
Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature, Version 5 (ERSSTv5): Upgrades, Validations, and Intercomparisons journal October 2017
Decadal Trends in the North Atlantic Oscillation: Regional Temperatures and Precipitation journal August 1995
Surface air temperature and its changes over the past 150 years journal May 1999
A North Atlantic Climate Pacemaker for the Centuries journal June 2000
A signature of persistent natural thermohaline circulation cycles in observed climate journal January 2005
Mechanisms of Tropical Atlantic SST Influence on North American Precipitation Variability* journal November 2010
Northern Hemisphere Winter Atmospheric Transient Eddy Heat Fluxes and the Gulf Stream and Kuroshio–Oyashio Extension Variability journal December 2013
North Atlantic winter eddy-driven jet and atmospheric blocking variability in the Community Earth System Model version 1 Large Ensemble simulations journal January 2018
Characteristics of northern hemisphere blocking as determined from a long time series of observational data journal January 1983
Decadal Relationship between European Blocking and the North Atlantic Oscillation during 1978–2011. Part I: Atlantic Conditions journal March 2015
A Study of the Interaction of the North Atlantic Oscillation with Ocean Circulation journal April 2001
Breaking planetary waves in the stratosphere journal October 1983
The Link between Rossby Wave Breakings and Weather Regime Transitions journal August 2011
Gulf Stream Excursions and Sectional Detachments Generate the Decadal Pulses in the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation journal April 2018
The Life Cycle of the North Atlantic Storm Track* journal February 2015
The signature of low‐frequency oceanic forcing in the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation journal March 2016
The influence of the Gulf Stream on wintertime European blocking journal November 2015
The Gulf Stream influence on wintertime North Atlantic jet variability: The Gulf Stream Influence on Wintertime North Atlantic Jet Variability
  • O'Reilly, Christopher H.; Minobe, Shoshiro; Kuwano-Yoshida, Akira
  • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Vol. 143, Issue 702 https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2907
journal October 2016
The Dynamical Influence of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation on Continental Climate journal September 2017
Stratosphere key for wintertime atmospheric response to warm Atlantic decadal conditions journal July 2013
Troposphere–stratosphere response to large-scale North Atlantic Ocean variability in an atmosphere/ocean coupled model journal May 2015
Marine surface temperature: Observed variations and data requirements journal December 1995
Forcing of the wintertime atmospheric circulation by the multidecadal fluctuations of the North Atlantic ocean journal March 2014
Wintertime atmospheric response to Atlantic multidecadal variability: effect of stratospheric representation and ocean–atmosphere coupling journal October 2015
A New Perspective on Blocking journal March 2003
Global analyses of sea surface temperature, sea ice, and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth century journal January 2003
Effect of Latitudinal Variations in Low-Level Baroclinicity on Eddy Life Cycles and Upper-Tropospheric Wave-Breaking Processes journal June 2009
Assessing the Climate Impacts of the Observed Atlantic Multidecadal Variability Using the GFDL CM2.1 and NCAR CESM1 Global Coupled Models journal April 2017
Two-dimensional indices of atmospheric blocking and their statistical relationship with winter climate patterns in the Euro-Atlantic region journal January 2006
Present and future atmospheric blocking and its impact on European mean and extreme climate journal January 2009
Tropospheric Rossby Wave Breaking and the NAO/NAM journal September 2008
Atlantic Ocean Forcing of North American and European Summer Climate journal July 2005
Atlantic Ocean influence on a shift in European climate in the 1990s journal October 2012
Seasonal Evolutions of Atmospheric Response to Decadal SST Anomalies in the North Pacific Subarctic Frontal Zone: Observations and a Coupled Model Simulation journal January 2012
On the operational predictability of blocking journal January 1990
Forced and Internal Twentieth-Century SST Trends in the North Atlantic journal March 2009
Robust features of Atlantic multi-decadal variability and its climate impacts: ROBUST AMV PATTERNS journal September 2011
“The Stippling Shows Statistically Significant Grid Points”: How Research Results are Routinely Overstated and Overinterpreted, and What to Do about It journal December 2016
ICOADS Release 2.5: extensions and enhancements to the surface marine meteorological archive journal March 2010
Ocean Effects of Blocking journal November 2011
A New Rossby Wave–Breaking Interpretation of the North Atlantic Oscillation journal February 2008
Variability of the North Atlantic eddy-driven jet stream
  • Woollings, Tim; Hannachi, Abdel; Hoskins, Brian
  • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Vol. 136, Issue 649 https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.625
journal April 2010
Dynamical Evolution of North Atlantic Ridges and Poleward Jet Stream Displacements journal May 2011
Daily to Decadal Modulation of Jet Variability journal February 2018
Impact of Atlantic multidecadal oscillations on India/Sahel rainfall and Atlantic hurricanes journal January 2006
Comment on "The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation without a role for ocean circulation" journal June 2016