Observational constraint on cloud susceptibility weakened by aerosol retrieval limitations

Ma, Po -Lun; Rasch, Philip J.; Chepfer, Helene; Winker, David M.; Ghan, Steven J.

doi:10.1038/S41467-018-05028-4

Title: Observational constraint on cloud susceptibility weakened by aerosol retrieval limitations

Journal Article · Fri Jul 06 00:00:00 EDT 2018 · Nature Communications

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1038/S41467-018-05028-4· OSTI ID:1463346

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^[1]; Chepfer, Helene ^[2];

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Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
Sorbonne Univ., Paris (France); Ecole Polytechnique, Palaiseau (France)
NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA (United States)

Model estimates of aerosol impacts on climate frequently exceed observational estimates. Conventional evaluation procedures generally neglect sampling and retrieval differences that confound interpretation of discrepancies. Here we show that satellite simulators can reconcile differences between modeled and retrieved estimates of aerosol climate impacts. A-train satellite simulators overflying the model atmosphere matching satellite retrieval procedures moderately underestimate the model’s total aerosol direct radiative effect and significantly underestimate anthropogenic aerosol indirect effects (by a factor of 3). Model cloud droplet size and precipitation probability retrieved from simulators indicate significantly less sensitivity to aerosols than the real model sensitivity, exhibiting much better agreement with satellite estimates. While climate models are still likely to have substantial deficiencies in representing aerosolclimate interactions, inconsistent comparisons between modeled and observed estimates can lead to inappropriate model calibration, development, and interpretation. Simulators are a necessary tool for comparing models and satellite estimates of aerosol climate effects.

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Research Organization:: Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)

Sponsoring Organization:: USDOE

Grant/Contract Number:: AC05-76RL01830

OSTI ID:: 1463346

Alternate ID(s):: OSTI ID: 1513205

Report Number(s):: PNNL-SA-118058; PII: 5028

Journal Information:: Nature Communications, Vol. 9, Issue 1; ISSN 2041-1723

Publisher:: Nature Publishing GroupCopyright Statement

Country of Publication:: United States

Language:: English

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Cited by: 29 works

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