Effect of soil property uncertainties on permafrost thaw projections: a calibration-constrained analysis: Modeling Archive

DOI: 10.5440/1236647
NGEE Arctic Record ID: NGA078

Abstract

This dataset contains an ensemble of thermal-hydro soil parameters including porosity, thermal conductivity, thermal conductivity shape parameters, and residual saturation of peat and mineral soil. The ensemble was generated using a Null-Space Monte Carlo analysis of parameter uncertainty based on a calibration to soil temperatures collected at the Barrow Environmental Observatory site by the NGEE team. The micro-topography of ice wedge polygons present at the site is included in the analysis using three 1D column models to represent polygon center, rim and trough features. The Arctic Terrestrial Simulator (ATS) was used in the calibration to model multiphase thermal and hydrological processes in the subsurface. This dataset includes one zipped file, one pdf file, and one csv file.

This Modeling Archive is in support of an NGEE Arctic publication. The citation for that publication can be found within the references section. 

The Next-Generation Ecosystem Experiments: Arctic (NGEE Arctic), was a research effort to reduce uncertainty in Earth System Models by developing a predictive understanding of carbon-rich Arctic ecosystems and feedbacks to climate. NGEE Arctic was supported by the Department of Energy's Office of Biological and Environmental Research.

The NGEE Arctic project had two field research sites: 1) located within the Arctic polygonal tundra coastal region on the Barrow Environmental Observatory (BEO) and the North Slope near Utqiagvik (Barrow), Alaska and 2) multiple areas on the discontinuous permafrost region of the Seward Peninsula north of Nome, Alaska.

Through observations, experiments, and synthesis with existing datasets, NGEE Arctic provided an enhanced knowledge base for multi-scale modeling and contributed to improved process representation at global pan-Arctic scales within the Department of Energy's Earth system Model (the Energy Exascale Earth System Model, or E3SM), and specifically within the E3SM Land Model component (ELM).

Dataset Citation

Dylan Harp, Adam Atchley, Scott Painter, Ethan Coon, Cathy Wilson, Vladimir Romanovsky, Joel Rowland. 2016. Effect of soil property uncertainties on permafrost thaw projections: a calibration-constrained analysis: Modeling Archive. Next Generation Ecosystem Experiments Arctic Data Collection, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, U.S. Department of Energy, Oak Ridge, Tennessee, USA. Dataset accessed on [INSERT_DATE] at https://doi.org/10.5440/1236647.

Dates:

-

Geographic Location:

NGEE Arctic Utqiagvik (Barrow), Alaska

Bounding Coordinates:

N:71.35
S:71.2
E:-156.4
W:-156.7

Place Keywords:

Utqiagvik, Alaska; North Slope, Alaska; Barrow, Alaska

Subject Keywords:

Soil property uncertainty, Active layer thickness, Permafrost projections, Calibration-constrained analysis,

GCMD Keywords:

GCMD Variables:

Dataset Usage Rights
Public Datasets

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this license, visit https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0.

See the NGEE Arctic Data Policies for more details https://ngee-arctic.ornl.gov/data-policies.