Multi-Path Transportation Futures Study. Results from Phase 1

Technical Report · Fri Mar 09 00:00:00 EST 2007

DOI:https://doi.org/10.2172/1219514· OSTI ID:1219514

Phil Patterson, Phil ^[1]; Singh, Margaret ^[2]; Plotkin, Steve ^[2]; Moore, Jim ^[3]

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1. U.S. Dept. of Energy, Washington, DC (United States)
2. Argonne National Lab. (ANL), Argonne, IL (United States)
3. TAE

Presentation reporting Phase 1 results, 3/9/2007. Projecting the future role of advanced drivetrains and fuels in the light vehicle market is inherently difficult, given the uncertainty (and likely volatility) of future oil prices, inadequate understanding of likely consumer response to new technologies, the relative infancy of several important new technologies with inevitable future changes in their performance and costs, and the importance — and uncertainty — of future government marketplace interventions (e.g., new regulatory standards or vehicle purchase incentives). The Multi-Path Transportation Futures (MP) Study has attempted to improve our understanding of this future role by examining several scenarios of vehicle costs, fuel prices, government subsidies, and other key factors. These are projections, not forecasts, in that they try to answer a series of “what if” questions without assigning probabilities to most of the basic assumptions.

• Research Organization: Argonne National Laboratory (ANL), Argonne, IL (United States)
• Sponsoring Organization: USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE), Energy Analysis (EI-30) (Energy Analysis Corporate)
• OSTI ID: 1219514
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

study light vehicle future
fuel prices
alternative fuels
vehicle costs