Probabilistic wind/tornado/missile analyses for hazard and fragility evaluations

Conference · Sun Oct 01 00:00:00 EDT 1995

OSTI ID:110764

Park, Y J; Reich, M

Detailed analysis procedures and examples are presented for the probabilistic evaluation of hazard and fragility against high wind, tornado, and tornado-generated missiles. In the tornado hazard analysis, existing risk models are modified to incorporate various uncertainties including modeling errors. A significant feature of this paper is the detailed description of the Monte-Carlo simulation analyses of tornado-generated missiles. A simulation procedure, which includes the wind field modeling, missile injection, solution of flight equations, and missile impact analysis, is described with application examples.

• Research Organization: Brookhaven National Lab. (BNL), Upton, NY (United States)
• Sponsoring Organization: USDOE, Washington, DC (United States)
• DOE Contract Number: AC02-76CH00016
• OSTI ID: 110764
• Report Number(s): BNL-61588; CONF-9511128-2; ON: DE96000429
• Resource Relation: Conference: 5. Department of Energy (DOE) natural phenomena hazards mitigation symposium, Denver, CO (United States), 13-17 Nov 1995; Other Information: PBD: [1995]
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

22 NUCLEAR REACTOR TECHNOLOGY
99 MATHEMATICS
COMPUTERS
INFORMATION SCIENCE
MANAGEMENT
LAW
MISCELLANEOUS
HFBR REACTOR
RISK ASSESSMENT
WIND LOADS
HAZARDS
TORNADOES
PROBABILISTIC ESTIMATION
REACTOR SAFETY
PROJECTILES
MONTE CARLO METHOD
DAMAGE