Towards the Prediction of Decadal to Centennial Climate Processes in the Coupled Earth System Model
- Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI (United States)
- Argonne National Lab. (ANL), Argonne, IL (United States)
- Bristol Univ. (United Kingdom)
In this proposal, we have made major advances in the understanding of decadal and long term climate variability. (a) We performed a systematic study of multidecadal climate variability in FOAM-LPJ and CCSM-T31, and are starting exploring decadal variability in the IPCC AR4 models. (b) We develop several novel methods for the assessment of climate feedbacks in the observation. (c) We also developed a new initialization scheme DAI (Dynamical Analogue Initialization) for ensemble decadal prediction. (d) We also studied climate-vegetation feedback in the observation and models. (e) Finally, we started a pilot program using Ensemble Kalman Filter in CGCM for decadal climate prediction.
- Research Organization:
- Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI (United States)
- Sponsoring Organization:
- USDOE
- DOE Contract Number:
- FG02-01ER63249
- OSTI ID:
- 1030607
- Report Number(s):
- DOE/MSN-104628/144-KQ65
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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