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Abstract This study presents an assessment of the transport of suspended material by surface ocean currents, which have a critical role in determining the connectivity and distribution of living and non‐living material. Lagrangian experiments reveal pathways from the Equatorial Atlantic to 10 strategic regions within the Caribbean Sea, determined by considering the space‐time variability of climatological Lagrangian Coherent Structures, which act as recurrent attracting pathways and transport barriers. Due to windage or Stokes drift, wind forcing is a significant factor in determining the spatial locations where particles cluster and the time needed to reach the Caribbean from the Equatorial Atlantic.more » Pathways shift westward within the Caribbean and take less time to arrive with increasing wind influence. Depending on the wind effect, the particles show higher confluence in different areas of the Caribbean. A case study is presented for the Mexican Caribbean nearshore area, isolated from ocean‐current trajectories. Here, wind weakens the transport barrier responsible for this isolation and causes particle confluence toward that region. Spatial patterns of the Eulerian velocity identified through Self‐Organizing Maps, with time dependence given by their best matching units, can reproduce the characteristic Lagrangian patterns of surface current climate variability. Our study demonstrates the application of tools from dynamical systems and unsupervised neural networks to understand Lagrangian patterns and identify the processes that drive them. These findings improve our understanding of transport mechanisms of suspended material by surface ocean currents in the Western Atlantic and the Caribbean Sea, which is essential for managing and conserving marine ecosystems.« less

Matlab code to compute climatological Lagrangian Coherent Structures. Climatological Lagrangian Coherent Structures have been shown to be effective in identifying regions that persistently attract or isolate trajectories at the sea surface, while also identifying recurrent transport patterns and transport barriers. It is therefore known as the Climatological Isolation and Attraction Model within NETL DoE. This repository also includes the information necessary to replicate the cCLS published in the paper which is freely available at: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-018-23121-y The method is developed in: Duran, R., F. J. Beron-Vera, M. J. Olascoaga (2018). Extracting quasi-steady Lagrangian transport patterns from the ocean circulation: An applicationmore » to the Gulf of Mexico. Scientific Reports, 8(1), 5218. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-018-23121-y The method is successfully evaluated with a large dataset of satellite-tracked drifters, and with a different ocean model in: Gough M.K., F. J. Beron-Vera, M. J. Olascoaga, J. Sheinbaum, J. Jouenno, R. Duran (2019). Persistent Lagrangian transport patterns in the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 49, 353–367, https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-17-0207.1 and with floats and yet a different model in: Maslo, A., Azevedo Correia de Souza, J. M., Andrade-Canto, F., & Rodríguez Outerelo, J. (2020). Connectivity of deep waters in the Gulf of Mexico. Journal of Marine Systems, 203, 103267. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmarsys.2019.103267« less

The Brazil Current (BC) is a weak western boundary current flowing along the Southwestern Atlantic Ocean. It is frequently described as a flow with intense mesoscale activity and relatively low volume transport between 5.0 and 10.0 Sv. We use a 13-year eddy-resolving primitive-equation simulation to show that the presence of persistent meanders and eddies leads to characteristic quasi-steady Lagrangian transport patterns, aptly extracted through climatological Lagrangian Coherent Structures (cLCS). The cLCS position the surface expression of the BC core along the 2000-m isobath, in excellent visual agreement with high resolution satellite sea-surface temperature and the model Eulerian mean velocity. Themore » cLCS deformation pattern also responds to zonally persistent cross-shelf SSH transition from positive (high) values near coastline to low (negative) values between 200- and 2000-m and back to positive (high) offshore from the 2000-m isobath. Zonally-paired cyclonic and anticyclonic structures are embedded in this transition, also causing the cLCS to deform into chevrons. An efficient transport barrier is identified close to the 200-m isobath confirmed by limited inshore movement of drogued drifters and accurately indicated by an along slope maxima of climatological strength of attraction. We also show that the persistent cyclonic and anticyclonic structures may induce localized cross-shelf transport. Regions of low climatological strength of attraction coincide with large shelves and with stagnant synthetic trajectories. We also show that cLCS accurately depict trajectories initiated at the location of Chevron’s spill (November 2011) as compared to synthetic and satellite-tracked trajectories, and the outline of the oil from that accident. There is also an agreement between the large-scale oil slicks reaching the Brazilian beaches (from August 2019 to February 2020) and the strength of climatological attraction at the coast. Our work also clarifies the influence of persistent mesoscale structures on the regional circulation. The identification and quantitative description of climatological Lagrangian coherent structures is expected to improve the effectiveness of future emergency response to oil spills, contingency planning, rescue operations, larval and fish connectivity assessment, drifter launch strategies, waste pollutant and marine debris dispersion and destination.« less