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Title: ON PREDICTION AND MODEL VALIDATION

Quantification of prediction uncertainty is an important consideration when using mathematical models of physical systems. This paper proposes a way to incorporate ''validation data'' in a methodology for quantifying uncertainty of the mathematical predictions. The report outlines a theoretical framework.
Authors:
; ;
Publication Date:
OSTI Identifier:
774507
Report Number(s):
LA-UR-01-759
TRN: AH200121%%82
DOE Contract Number:
W-7405-ENG-36
Resource Type:
Conference
Resource Relation:
Conference: Conference title not supplied, Conference location not supplied, Conference dates not supplied; Other Information: PBD: 1 Feb 2001
Research Org:
Los Alamos National Lab., NM (US)
Sponsoring Org:
US Department of Energy (US)
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS//MATHEMATICS, COMPUTING, AND INFORMATION SCIENCE; FORECASTING; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; VALIDATION; PREDICTION EQUATIONS